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Full-Text Articles in Macroeconomics
Foreign Capital Flows And Economic Growth In Pakistan: An Empirical Analysis, Sharafat Ali
Foreign Capital Flows And Economic Growth In Pakistan: An Empirical Analysis, Sharafat Ali
Sharafat Ali
Pakistan economy has received large inflows of foreign capital, in shape of foreign debt, FDI and worker’s remittances, over the years. The present study is focused on the examination of effects of these flows on economic growth in Pakistan. Johansen cointegration technique and Granger causality test has been used for the analysis for the sample period of 1972-2013. The results reveal negative impacts of these flows on economic growth of the economy in long run. Short run analysis confirmed unidirectional causality running from debt service, FDI, inflation and literacy rate to growth. Causality from domestic investment is not concluded but …
Cointegration Analysis Of Oil Prices And Consumer Price Index In South Africa Using Stata Software, Mphumuzi A. Sukati Mr
Cointegration Analysis Of Oil Prices And Consumer Price Index In South Africa Using Stata Software, Mphumuzi A. Sukati Mr
Mphumuzi A Sukati Mr
This paper investigates the concept of vector autoregression (VAR) and cointegration using a bivariate model of global oil prices and headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) in South Africa. The study aims to determine how much of inflation is driven by oil prices. Particular attention is paid to the theoretical underpinnings of cointergration analysis and the application of STATA software to undertake such analysis and perform test statistics. Contrary to the popular myth that a rise in global oil prices fuels inflation, this study has observed that global oil prices are not the drivers of inflation in South Africa. In this …
Cointegration Analysis Of Exports And Imports: The Case Of Pakistan Economy, Sharafat Ali
Cointegration Analysis Of Exports And Imports: The Case Of Pakistan Economy, Sharafat Ali
Sharafat Ali
No abstract provided.
Income Inequality And Economic Incentives: Is There An Equity-Efficiency Tradeoff?, Lonnie K. Stevans
Income Inequality And Economic Incentives: Is There An Equity-Efficiency Tradeoff?, Lonnie K. Stevans
Lonnie K. Stevans
What is the basis and direction of relationship between income inequality and economic growth? The equity versus efficiency dictum which predicts a positive relationship between inequality, capital formation, and real GDP growth—emphasizes the importance of economic incentives. Subsequently, this was challenged by the incomplete markets and political outcomes theories, because of increasing empirical evidence of an inverse relationship between income inequality and economic growth. In this paper, a further explanation of the basis and nature of the inequality–capital–growth relationship is presented, which emphasizes the divergence between savings and investment. For the United States, over the period 1970–2006, we have found …
Workers’ Remittances And Real Exchange Rate In Bangladesh: A Cointegration Analysis, Mamta B. Chowdhury, Fazle Rabbi
Workers’ Remittances And Real Exchange Rate In Bangladesh: A Cointegration Analysis, Mamta B. Chowdhury, Fazle Rabbi
Fazle Rabbi
Workers’ remittances have an ever important role as one of the major sources of foreign exchange earnings for the Bangladesh economy. It accounts for over 12 per cent of GDP in 2010 and having colossal socio economic implications for the country. Using Cointegation an Error Correction model, this paper attempts to contribute to the literature by investigating the effects of increasing flow of remittances on the real exchange rate of the country. Our results suggest that the influx of workers’ remittances significantly appreciating the real exchange rate by lowering the relative prices tradables to nontradables of the country compared to …
The Sustainability Of South African Fiscal Policy: An Historical Perspective, John Thornton, Lusine Lusinyan
The Sustainability Of South African Fiscal Policy: An Historical Perspective, John Thornton, Lusine Lusinyan
John Thornton
This article examines the issue of long-term fiscal sustainability in South Africa by applying a battery of recently developed unit root and cointegration tests to real revenue and spending data the period 1895 to 2005. The results provide evidence that, allowing for structural breaks, South African revenue and spending during this period were I(1) series and cointegrated, with the estimated long-run equilibrium relation supporting the presence of a weak deficit sustainability condition.