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Full-Text Articles in Economics
The Influence Of Learning And Price-Level Targeting On Central Bank Forward Guidance, Stephen J. Cole
The Influence Of Learning And Price-Level Targeting On Central Bank Forward Guidance, Stephen J. Cole
Economics Faculty Research and Publications
This paper examines how the effectiveness of central bank forward guidance depends on two key channels: the expectations formation process and the monetary policy regime. The results show that rational expectations relative to an adaptive learning rule amplifies the positive benefits a price-level targeting central bank creates for forward guidance. Specifically, forward guidance generates greater amounts of output and inflation under a price-level than inflation targeting monetary policy regime, but rational expectations overstates these positive benefits compared to adaptive learning. The different responses of expectations between rational expectations and adaptive learning to forward guidance are driving this performance gap. Thus, …
Uncertainty And Identity: A Post Keynesian Approach, John B. Davis
Uncertainty And Identity: A Post Keynesian Approach, John B. Davis
Economics Faculty Research and Publications
Marshall’s asset equilibrium model provides a way of
explaining the identity of entrepreneurs. Keynes adopted this model but
transformed it when he emphasized the short-period and volatile
character of long-term expectations. This entails a view of entrepreneur
identity in which radical uncertainty plays a central role. This in turn
deepens the post Keynesian view of uncertainty as ontological in that
entrepreneurs’ survival plays into their behavior. This paper explores
this role-based view of individual identity and uses the analysis to
comment on Keynes’s ideas for the socialization of investment and
euthanasia of the rentier in the last chapter of The …