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Applied Statistics Commons

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Statistical Models

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2015

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Full-Text Articles in Applied Statistics

Gis-Integrated Mathematical Modeling Of Social Phenomena At Macro- And Micro- Levels—A Multivariate Geographically-Weighted Regression Model For Identifying Locations Vulnerable To Hosting Terrorist Safe-Houses: France As Case Study, Elyktra Eisman Nov 2015

Gis-Integrated Mathematical Modeling Of Social Phenomena At Macro- And Micro- Levels—A Multivariate Geographically-Weighted Regression Model For Identifying Locations Vulnerable To Hosting Terrorist Safe-Houses: France As Case Study, Elyktra Eisman

FIU Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Adaptability and invisibility are hallmarks of modern terrorism, and keeping pace with its dynamic nature presents a serious challenge for societies throughout the world. Innovations in computer science have incorporated applied mathematics to develop a wide array of predictive models to support the variety of approaches to counterterrorism. Predictive models are usually designed to forecast the location of attacks. Although this may protect individual structures or locations, it does not reduce the threat—it merely changes the target. While predictive models dedicated to events or social relationships receive much attention where the mathematical and social science communities intersect, models dedicated to …


Variable Selection In Single Index Varying Coefficient Models With Lasso, Peng Wang Nov 2015

Variable Selection In Single Index Varying Coefficient Models With Lasso, Peng Wang

Doctoral Dissertations

Single index varying coefficient model is a very attractive statistical model due to its ability to reduce dimensions and easy-of-interpretation. There are many theoretical studies and practical applications with it, but typically without features of variable selection, and no public software is available for solving it. Here we propose a new algorithm to fit the single index varying coefficient model, and to carry variable selection in the index part with LASSO. The core idea is a two-step scheme which alternates between estimating coefficient functions and selecting-and-estimating the single index. Both in simulation and in application to a Geoscience dataset, we …


Preparedness Of Hospitals In The Republic Of Ireland For An Influenza Pandemic, An Infection Control Perspective, Mary Reidy, Fiona Ryan, Dervla Hogan, Seán Lacey, Claire Buckley Sep 2015

Preparedness Of Hospitals In The Republic Of Ireland For An Influenza Pandemic, An Infection Control Perspective, Mary Reidy, Fiona Ryan, Dervla Hogan, Seán Lacey, Claire Buckley

Department of Mathematics Publications

When an influenza pandemic occurs most of the population is susceptible and attack rates can range as high as 40–50 %. The most important failure in pandemic planning is the lack of standards or guidelines regarding what it means to be ‘prepared’. The aim of this study was to assess the preparedness of acute hospitals in the Republic of Ireland for an influenza pandemic from an infection control perspective.


Beta-Binomial Kriging: A New Approach To Modeling Spatially Correlated Proportions, Aimee Schwab Aug 2015

Beta-Binomial Kriging: A New Approach To Modeling Spatially Correlated Proportions, Aimee Schwab

Department of Statistics: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Work

Spatially correlated count data sets appear often in applied data analysis problems, but there is little consensus in the literature about how best to analyze the data. The two prevailing approaches provide accurate parameter estimates and predictions, at the cost of model interpretability and simplicity. This dissertation will present a new approach to modeling spatially correlated binomial observations: beta-binomial kriging. The model proposed here is a modified form of spatial kriging which assumes the data are generated from a correlated beta-binomial distribution. Given this assumption, the spatial parameters and predicted values can be estimated using simple matrix algebra. Beta-binomial kriging …


Statistical Consulting - Senior Project, Cary Hernandez Jun 2015

Statistical Consulting - Senior Project, Cary Hernandez

Statistics

No abstract provided.


Video Event Understanding With Pattern Theory, Fillipe Souza, Sudeep Sarkar, Anuj Srivastava, Jingyong Su May 2015

Video Event Understanding With Pattern Theory, Fillipe Souza, Sudeep Sarkar, Anuj Srivastava, Jingyong Su

MODVIS Workshop

We propose a combinatorial approach built on Grenander’s pattern theory to generate semantic interpretations of video events of human activities. The basic units of representations, termed generators, are linked with each other using pairwise connections, termed bonds, that satisfy predefined relations. Different generators are specified for different levels, from (image) features at the bottom level to (human) actions at the highest, providing a rich representation of items in a scene. The resulting configurations of connected generators provide scene interpretations; the inference goal is to parse given video data and generate high-probability configurations. The probabilistic structures are imposed using energies that …


Binocular 3d Motion Perception As Bayesian Inference, Martin Lages, Suzanne Heron May 2015

Binocular 3d Motion Perception As Bayesian Inference, Martin Lages, Suzanne Heron

MODVIS Workshop

The human visual system encodes monocular motion and binocular disparity input before it is integrated into a single 3D percept. Here we propose a geometric-statistical model of human 3D motion perception that solves the aperture problem in 3D by assuming that (i) velocity constraints arise from inverse projection of local 2D velocity constraints in a binocular viewing geometry, (ii) noise from monocular motion and binocular disparity processing is independent, and (iii) slower motions are more likely to occur than faster ones. In two experiments we found that instantiation of this Bayesian model can explain perceived 3D line motion direction under …


Best Practice Recommendations For Data Screening, Justin A. Desimone, Peter D. Harms, Alice J. Desimone Feb 2015

Best Practice Recommendations For Data Screening, Justin A. Desimone, Peter D. Harms, Alice J. Desimone

Department of Management: Faculty Publications

Survey respondents differ in their levels of attention and effort when responding to items. There are a number of methods researchers may use to identify respondents who fail to exert sufficient effort in order to increase the rigor of analysis and enhance the trustworthiness of study results. Screening techniques are organized into three general categories, which differ in impact on survey design and potential respondent awareness. Assumptions and considerations regarding appropriate use of screening techniques are discussed along with descriptions of each technique. The utility of each screening technique is a function of survey design and administration. Each technique has …


Negative Binomial Regerssion, 2nd Ed, 2nd Print, Errata And Comments, Joseph Hilbe Jan 2015

Negative Binomial Regerssion, 2nd Ed, 2nd Print, Errata And Comments, Joseph Hilbe

Joseph M Hilbe

Errata and Comments for 2nd printing of NBR2, 2nd edition. Previous errata from first printing all corrected. Some added and new text as well.


On Fixed Effects Estimation In Spline-Based Semiparametric Regression For Spatial Data, Guilherme Ludwig, Jun Zhu, Chun-Shu Chen Jan 2015

On Fixed Effects Estimation In Spline-Based Semiparametric Regression For Spatial Data, Guilherme Ludwig, Jun Zhu, Chun-Shu Chen

Conference on Applied Statistics in Agriculture

Spline surfaces are often used to capture spatial variability sources in linear mixed-effects models, without imposing a parametric covariance structure on the random effects. However, including a spline component in a semiparametric model may change the estimated regression coefficients, a problem analogous to spatial confounding in spatially correlated random effects. Our research aims to investigate such effects in spline-based semiparametric regression for spatial data. We discuss estimators' behavior under the traditional spatial linear regression, how the estimates change in spatial confounding-like situations, and how selecting a proper tuning parameter for the spline can help reduce bias.


Bayesian Function-On-Function Regression For Multi-Level Functional Data, Mark J. Meyer, Brent A. Coull, Francesco Versace, Paul Cinciripini, Jeffrey S. Morris Jan 2015

Bayesian Function-On-Function Regression For Multi-Level Functional Data, Mark J. Meyer, Brent A. Coull, Francesco Versace, Paul Cinciripini, Jeffrey S. Morris

Jeffrey S. Morris

Medical and public health research increasingly involves the collection of more and more complex and high dimensional data. In particular, functional data|where the unit of observation is a curve or set of curves that are finely sampled over a grid -- is frequently obtained. Moreover, researchers often sample multiple curves per person resulting in repeated functional measures. A common question is how to analyze the relationship between two functional variables. We propose a general function-on-function regression model for repeatedly sampled functional data, presenting a simple model as well as a more extensive mixed model framework, along with multiple functional posterior …


Functional Regression, Jeffrey S. Morris Jan 2015

Functional Regression, Jeffrey S. Morris

Jeffrey S. Morris

Functional data analysis (FDA) involves the analysis of data whose ideal units of observation are functions defined on some continuous domain, and the observed data consist of a sample of functions taken from some population, sampled on a discrete grid. Ramsay and Silverman's 1997 textbook sparked the development of this field, which has accelerated in the past 10 years to become one of the fastest growing areas of statistics, fueled by the growing number of applications yielding this type of data. One unique characteristic of FDA is the need to combine information both across and within functions, which Ramsay and …


Ordinal Probit Wavelet-Based Functional Models For Eqtl Analysis, Mark J. Meyer, Jeffrey S. Morris, Craig P. Hersh, Jarret D. Morrow, Christoph Lange, Brent A. Coull Jan 2015

Ordinal Probit Wavelet-Based Functional Models For Eqtl Analysis, Mark J. Meyer, Jeffrey S. Morris, Craig P. Hersh, Jarret D. Morrow, Christoph Lange, Brent A. Coull

Jeffrey S. Morris

Current methods for conducting expression Quantitative Trait Loci (eQTL) analysis are limited in scope to a pairwise association testing between a single nucleotide polymorphism (SNPs) and expression probe set in a region around a gene of interest, thus ignoring the inherent between-SNP correlation. To determine association, p-values are then typically adjusted using Plug-in False Discovery Rate. As many SNPs are interrogated in the region and multiple probe-sets taken, the current approach requires the fitting of a large number of models. We propose to remedy this by introducing a flexible function-on-scalar regression that models the genome as a functional outcome. The …


Applications Of Monte Carlo Methods In Statistical Inference Using Regression Analysis, Ji Young Huh Jan 2015

Applications Of Monte Carlo Methods In Statistical Inference Using Regression Analysis, Ji Young Huh

CMC Senior Theses

This paper studies the use of Monte Carlo simulation techniques in the field of econometrics, specifically statistical inference. First, I examine several estimators by deriving properties explicitly and generate their distributions through simulations. Here, simulations are used to illustrate and support the analytical results. Then, I look at test statistics where derivations are costly because of the sensitivity of their critical values to the data generating processes. Simulations here establish significance and necessity for drawing statistical inference. Overall, the paper examines when and how simulations are needed in studying econometric theories.


New Results In Ell_1 Penalized Regression, Edward A. Roualdes Jan 2015

New Results In Ell_1 Penalized Regression, Edward A. Roualdes

Theses and Dissertations--Statistics

Here we consider penalized regression methods, and extend on the results surrounding the l1 norm penalty. We address a more recent development that generalizes previous methods by penalizing a linear transformation of the coefficients of interest instead of penalizing just the coefficients themselves. We introduce an approximate algorithm to fit this generalization and a fully Bayesian hierarchical model that is a direct analogue of the frequentist version. A number of benefits are derived from the Bayesian persepective; most notably choice of the tuning parameter and natural means to estimate the variation of estimates – a notoriously difficult task for the …