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Full-Text Articles in Applied Statistics
Early-Warning Alert Systems For Financial-Instability Detection: An Hmm-Driven Approach, Xing Gu
Early-Warning Alert Systems For Financial-Instability Detection: An Hmm-Driven Approach, Xing Gu
Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository
Regulators’ early intervention is crucial when the financial system is experiencing difficulties. Financial stability must be preserved to avert banks’ bailouts, which hugely drain government's financial resources. Detecting in advance periods of financial crisis entails the development and customisation of accurate and robust quantitative techniques. The goal of this thesis is to construct automated systems via the interplay of various mathematical and statistical methodologies to signal financial instability episodes in the near-term horizon. These signal alerts could provide regulatory bodies with the capacity to initiate appropriate response that will thwart or at least minimise the occurrence of a financial crisis. …
Intra-Hour Solar Forecasting Using Cloud Dynamics Features Extracted From Ground-Based Infrared Sky Images, Guillermo Terrén-Serrano
Intra-Hour Solar Forecasting Using Cloud Dynamics Features Extracted From Ground-Based Infrared Sky Images, Guillermo Terrén-Serrano
Electrical and Computer Engineering ETDs
Due to the increasing use of photovoltaic systems, power grids are vulnerable to the projection of shadows from moving clouds. An intra-hour solar forecast provides power grids with the capability of automatically controlling the dispatch of energy, reducing the additional cost for a guaranteed, reliable supply of energy (i.e., energy storage). This dissertation introduces a novel sky imager consisting of a long-wave radiometric infrared camera and a visible light camera with a fisheye lens. The imager is mounted on a solar tracker to maintain the Sun in the center of the images throughout the day, reducing the scattering effect produced …
Evaluating An Ordinal Output Using Data Modeling, Algorithmic Modeling, And Numerical Analysis, Martin Keagan Wynne Brown
Evaluating An Ordinal Output Using Data Modeling, Algorithmic Modeling, And Numerical Analysis, Martin Keagan Wynne Brown
Murray State Theses and Dissertations
Data and algorithmic modeling are two different approaches used in predictive analytics. The models discussed from these two approaches include the proportional odds logit model (POLR), the vector generalized linear model (VGLM), the classification and regression tree model (CART), and the random forests model (RF). Patterns in the data were analyzed using trigonometric polynomial approximations and Fast Fourier Transforms. Predictive modeling is used frequently in statistics and data science to find the relationship between the explanatory (input) variables and a response (output) variable. Both approaches prove advantageous in different cases depending on the data set. In our case, the data …