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Articles 121 - 128 of 128

Full-Text Articles in Statistics and Probability

Optimum Preventive Maintenance Policies For The Amraam Missile, Scott J. Ruflin Feb 1998

Optimum Preventive Maintenance Policies For The Amraam Missile, Scott J. Ruflin

Theses and Dissertations

The overall objective of this research effort was to formulate a preventive maintenance strategy for AMRAAM missiles subject to extended captive carry flight time. A preventive maintenance policy is only applicable if the item in question is aging, or deteriorating with time. Therefore, a supporting objective of this research is to characterize the aging process of the missile system through a non-parametric analysis of its Mean Residual Life (MRL) function. Three non-parametric, censored-data MRL function estimation techniques discussed in the literature are examined via a numerical example. All three estimation techniques provide MRL functions that exhibit greatly exaggerated decreasing trends …


Monte Carlo Simulation In Environmental Risk Assessment--Science, Policy And Legal Issues, Susan R. Poulter Jan 1998

Monte Carlo Simulation In Environmental Risk Assessment--Science, Policy And Legal Issues, Susan R. Poulter

RISK: Health, Safety & Environment (1990-2002)

Dr. Poulter notes that agencies should anticipate judicial requirements for justification of Monte Carlo simulations and, meanwhile, should consider, e.g., whether their use will make risk assessment policy choices more opaque or apparent.


Empirical Estimates Of Power For Binomial Data With Mixed Models, R. K. Splan, L. D. Van Vleck, H. D. Hafs Apr 1997

Empirical Estimates Of Power For Binomial Data With Mixed Models, R. K. Splan, L. D. Van Vleck, H. D. Hafs

Conference on Applied Statistics in Agriculture

Observations on return to estrus from anestrus postpartum beef cows were used as the basis for a simulation study to develop a method to determine numbers of locations and animals per treatment per location to achieve a specified power of test. Estimates of among location and total variance were obtained by REML from the data set and then used to generate simulated data for the binomial trait. Each combination of several pre-determined factors was replicated 1000 times. Pre-determined factors were number of locations, number of animals per treatment per location, desired detectable difference due to treatment, alpha-probability level and ratio …


Nepotism In Honey Bees, Computer Programs And Scientific Hypotheses, Benjamin P. Oldroyd, Thomas E. Rinderer Apr 1990

Nepotism In Honey Bees, Computer Programs And Scientific Hypotheses, Benjamin P. Oldroyd, Thomas E. Rinderer

Conference on Applied Statistics in Agriculture

Page et al. (1989) attempted to show that bees on queen cells preferentially reared their super sisters as replacement queens rather than half sisters. In support of their contention, they used computer simulation to model the biological system. We argue that the simulation did not accurately reflect the biological system in several important respects. We show that random data will produce the same kinds of statistical significance as the actual data.


Regionalization Of Flood Data Using Probability Distributions And Their Parameters, Nageshwar Rao Bhaskar, Carol Alf O'Connor, Harold Andrew Myers, William Paul Puckett Dec 1989

Regionalization Of Flood Data Using Probability Distributions And Their Parameters, Nageshwar Rao Bhaskar, Carol Alf O'Connor, Harold Andrew Myers, William Paul Puckett

KWRRI Research Reports

The U. S. Geological survey recently used the method of residuals to delineate seven flood regions for the State of Kentucky. As an alternative approach, the FASTCLUS clustering procedure of the Statistical Analysis system (SAS) is used in this study to delineate five to six cluster regions in conjunction with statistical properties of the AMF series, like the coefficient of variation as estimated using method of L-moments, LCV, the parameters of the EVl and GEV flood frequency distributions, and the specific mean annual flood, QSP. For both cluster and USGS flood regions, regionalized flood frequency growth curves are developed and …


Monte Carlo Simulation Of The Game Of Twenty-One, Douglas E. Loer Jan 1985

Monte Carlo Simulation Of The Game Of Twenty-One, Douglas E. Loer

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the application of computer simulation to the game of Twenty-One to predict a player's expected return from the game. Twenty-One has traditionally been one of the most popular casino games and has attracted much effort to accurately estimate the house's true advantage. Probability theory has been tried, but the thousands of different combinations of cards possible in all hands throughout the entire pack make it practically impossible to apply probability theory without overlooking some possibilities. For this reason, Twenty-One is a perfect candidate for simulation. By blocking several simulations, normal theory can …


The Practical Solutions And Computer Program Of Two Statistical Problems In Simulation, Yee Fong May 1969

The Practical Solutions And Computer Program Of Two Statistical Problems In Simulation, Yee Fong

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

In the last several years monte-carlo simulation has become a major tool for the analysis of complex queuing systems which are no readily amenable to analysis by conventional mathematical methods. By a complex queueing system is mean a system composed of, physically or by analogy, a network of stations or servers with traffic units moving through all or some of the servers, into the system and out or around within the system. A traffic unit desiring service by a server may either have to enter a queue first or may be served immediately. Such systems have been simulated often with …


Simulating Regional Interindustry Models For Western States, William A. Schaffer, Kong Chu Jan 1969

Simulating Regional Interindustry Models For Western States, William A. Schaffer, Kong Chu

Applications

Although regional input-output models are now most frequently constructed on the basis of reasonably adequate surveys, simulation (estimating) techniques not based on original survey data are still in use by many regional scientists for quick and less costly results. We will modify our original aggregation procedures, examine our results through several statistical tests of tables constructed for three Western states, and discuss a possible correction procedure for improving raw estimates of interindustry transactions.