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Applied Mathematics Commons

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Optimal control

Ateneo de Manila University

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Full-Text Articles in Applied Mathematics

Impact Of Vaccine Supplies And Delays On Optimal Control Of The Covid-19 Pandemic: Mapping Interventions For The Philippines, Carlo Delfin S. Estadilla, Joshua Uyheng, Elvira P. De Lara-Tuprio, Timothy Robin Y. Teng, Jay Michael R. Macalalag, Ma. Regina Justina E. Estuar Jan 2021

Impact Of Vaccine Supplies And Delays On Optimal Control Of The Covid-19 Pandemic: Mapping Interventions For The Philippines, Carlo Delfin S. Estadilla, Joshua Uyheng, Elvira P. De Lara-Tuprio, Timothy Robin Y. Teng, Jay Michael R. Macalalag, Ma. Regina Justina E. Estuar

Mathematics Faculty Publications

Background

Around the world, controlling the COVID-19 pandemic requires national coordination of multiple intervention strategies. As vaccinations are globally introduced into the repertoire of available interventions, it is important to consider how changes in the local supply of vaccines, including delays in administration, may be addressed through existing policy levers. This study aims to identify the optimal level of interventions for COVID-19 from 2021 to 2022 in the Philippines, which as a developing country is particularly vulnerable to shifting assumptions around vaccine availability. Furthermore, we explore optimal strategies in scenarios featuring delays in vaccine administration, expansions of vaccine supply, and …