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Applied Mathematics Commons

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Epidemiology

The University of Maine

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Nonsmooth Epidemic Models With Evolutionary Game Theory, Cameron Morin Dec 2023

Nonsmooth Epidemic Models With Evolutionary Game Theory, Cameron Morin

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

This thesis explores the utilization of game theory and nonsmooth functions to enhance the accuracy of epidemiological simulations. Traditional sensitivity analysis encounters difficulties when dealing with nondifferentiable points in nonsmooth functions. However, by incorporating recent advancements in nonsmooth analysis, sensitivity analysis techniques have been adapted to accommodate these complex functions. In pursuit of more accurate simulations, evolutionary game theory, primarily the replicator equation, is introduced, modeling individuals’ decision making processes when observing others’ choices. The SEIR model is explored in depth, and additional complexities are incorporated, leading to the creation of an expanded SEIR model, the Be-SEIMR model.