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Epidemiology

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Full-Text Articles in Applied Mathematics

Nonsmooth Epidemic Models With Evolutionary Game Theory, Cameron Morin Dec 2023

Nonsmooth Epidemic Models With Evolutionary Game Theory, Cameron Morin

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

This thesis explores the utilization of game theory and nonsmooth functions to enhance the accuracy of epidemiological simulations. Traditional sensitivity analysis encounters difficulties when dealing with nondifferentiable points in nonsmooth functions. However, by incorporating recent advancements in nonsmooth analysis, sensitivity analysis techniques have been adapted to accommodate these complex functions. In pursuit of more accurate simulations, evolutionary game theory, primarily the replicator equation, is introduced, modeling individuals’ decision making processes when observing others’ choices. The SEIR model is explored in depth, and additional complexities are incorporated, leading to the creation of an expanded SEIR model, the Be-SEIMR model.


A Novel Family Of Chain Binomial Models To Investigate Correlated Vaccination And Infection Rates In Sveirs Epidemic Dynamics, Divine Wanduku May 2023

A Novel Family Of Chain Binomial Models To Investigate Correlated Vaccination And Infection Rates In Sveirs Epidemic Dynamics, Divine Wanduku

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Generalized Differential Equation Models For Disease Interventions: A Novel Approach For Predicting Sexually Transmitted Disease Outbreaks, Scott Greenhalgh May 2023

Generalized Differential Equation Models For Disease Interventions: A Novel Approach For Predicting Sexually Transmitted Disease Outbreaks, Scott Greenhalgh

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Relative Efficacy Of Resource Constrained Forward And Backward Contact Tracing In An Open Population, Nicholas Roberts May 2023

Relative Efficacy Of Resource Constrained Forward And Backward Contact Tracing In An Open Population, Nicholas Roberts

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Modeling The Dynamics Of Alcohol-Marijuana Co-Abuse In Virginia, Ana L. Vivas-Barber, James Tipton, Sujan Pant, Anne Fernando May 2023

Modeling The Dynamics Of Alcohol-Marijuana Co-Abuse In Virginia, Ana L. Vivas-Barber, James Tipton, Sujan Pant, Anne Fernando

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Imperfect Immunity And The Stability Of A Modified Kermack-Mckendrick Model, Kaylee Sims May 2023

Imperfect Immunity And The Stability Of A Modified Kermack-Mckendrick Model, Kaylee Sims

Honors Theses

The classic Kermack-McKendrick model of mathematical epidemiology suggests that a population is only in equilibrium when there is no disease present. In the modern era, we have several cyclic infectious diseases that show no signs of eradication, despite global health measures. In this thesis, we introduce a coefficient of waning immunity in order to produce a modified Kermack-McKendrick model and analyze whether the model yields system stability with a certain amount of infection present. Ultimately, the model is incongruent with real-world case data, with its most glaring failure being exponential dampening of the height of each disease case peak due …


Epidemiological Assessment Of Wolbachia-Based Biocontrol For Reduction Of Dengue Morbidity, Olga Vasilieva, Oscar E. Escobar, Hector J. Martinez, Pierre-Alexandre Bliman, Yves Dumont May 2022

Epidemiological Assessment Of Wolbachia-Based Biocontrol For Reduction Of Dengue Morbidity, Olga Vasilieva, Oscar E. Escobar, Hector J. Martinez, Pierre-Alexandre Bliman, Yves Dumont

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Understanding Biofilm-Phage Interactions In Mathematical Framework, Blessing Emerenini May 2022

Understanding Biofilm-Phage Interactions In Mathematical Framework, Blessing Emerenini

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Optimal Intervention Strategies To Minimize Spread Of Infectious Diseases And Economic Impact On A Dynamic Small-World Network, Malindi Whyte, Danielle Dasilva May 2022

Optimal Intervention Strategies To Minimize Spread Of Infectious Diseases And Economic Impact On A Dynamic Small-World Network, Malindi Whyte, Danielle Dasilva

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Mathematical Model Of Zika Epidemic In Colombia, Sethupathy Ganesan May 2022

Mathematical Model Of Zika Epidemic In Colombia, Sethupathy Ganesan

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Modeling And Analysis Of Social Contagion In Overweight And Obesity Epidemic, Chathuri Edirisinghe Arachchige May 2022

Modeling And Analysis Of Social Contagion In Overweight And Obesity Epidemic, Chathuri Edirisinghe Arachchige

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Rewriting The Rules For Diagnostics: Implications Of Probability And Measure Theory For Sars-Cov-2 Testing, Paul Patrone, Anthony Kearsley May 2022

Rewriting The Rules For Diagnostics: Implications Of Probability And Measure Theory For Sars-Cov-2 Testing, Paul Patrone, Anthony Kearsley

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


The Effect Of Prep Uptake And Adherence On The Spread Of Hiv In The Presence Of Casual And Long-Term Partnerships, Sylvia J. Gutowska, Katharine Gurski, Kathleen Hoffman May 2022

The Effect Of Prep Uptake And Adherence On The Spread Of Hiv In The Presence Of Casual And Long-Term Partnerships, Sylvia J. Gutowska, Katharine Gurski, Kathleen Hoffman

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Analysis Of Sir Epidemic Models With Sociological Phenomenon, Robert F. Allen, Katherine C. Heller, Matthew A. Pons Mar 2022

Analysis Of Sir Epidemic Models With Sociological Phenomenon, Robert F. Allen, Katherine C. Heller, Matthew A. Pons

Spora: A Journal of Biomathematics

We propose two SIR models which incorporate sociological behavior of groups of individuals. It is these differences in behaviors which impose different infection rates on the individual susceptible populations, rather than biological differences. We compute the basic reproduction number for each model, as well as analyze the sensitivity of R0 to changes in sociological parameter values.


Exploring Optimal Lockdown Policies During The Covid-19 Pandemic, Cameron Bundy Oct 2021

Exploring Optimal Lockdown Policies During The Covid-19 Pandemic, Cameron Bundy

Symposium Of University Research and Creative Expression (SOURCE)

COVID-19 has impacted public and economic health worldwide. To bolster the economy and maintain human life, economic and epidemiological research is vital. Nations have implemented lockdowns intent on slowing the spread of the virus. This research examines how lockdown parameter adjustments can help control a nations fatalities. The study incorporated an SIRD disease model that is simulated over a 200 day period. The goal of the research is to take the SIRD model and use it to create a minimization function that analyzes dynamics that best produce minimal loss of GDP as well as low loss of life in a …


Coevolution Of Hosts And Pathogens In The Presence Of Multiple Types Of Hosts, Evan J. Mitchell Aug 2021

Coevolution Of Hosts And Pathogens In The Presence Of Multiple Types Of Hosts, Evan J. Mitchell

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

How will hosts and pathogens coevolve in response to multiple types of hosts? I study this question from three different perspectives. First, I model a scenario in which hosts are categorized as female or male. Hosts invest resources in maintaining their immune system at a cost to their reproductive success, while pathogens face a trade-off between transmission and duration of infection. Importantly, female hosts are also able to vertically transmit an infection to their newborn offspring. The main result is that as the rate of vertical transmission increases, female hosts will have a greater incentive to pay the cost to …


Expanding Social Network Modeling Software And Agent Models For Diffusion Processes, Patrick Vaden Shepherd Jan 2021

Expanding Social Network Modeling Software And Agent Models For Diffusion Processes, Patrick Vaden Shepherd

Theses and Dissertations--Computer Science

In an increasingly digitally interconnected world, the study of social networks and their dynamics is burgeoning. Anthropologically, the ubiquity of online social networks has had striking implications for the condition of large portions of humanity. This technology has facilitated content creation of virtually all sorts, information sharing on an unprecedented scale, and connections and communities among people with similar interests and skills. The first part of my research is a social network evolution and visualization engine. Built on top of existing technologies, my software is designed to provide abstractions from the underlying libraries, drive real-time network evolution based on user-defined …


The Role Of Diversity Amplification For Personal Protection Control Strategies In Vector-Borne Disease Models, Jeffery Demers, Sharon Bewick, Justin M. Calabrese, William F. Fagan May 2020

The Role Of Diversity Amplification For Personal Protection Control Strategies In Vector-Borne Disease Models, Jeffery Demers, Sharon Bewick, Justin M. Calabrese, William F. Fagan

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Using Network Modeling To Understand The Relationship Between Sars-Cov-1 And Sars-Cov-2, Elizabeth Brooke Haywood, Nicole A. Bruce May 2020

Using Network Modeling To Understand The Relationship Between Sars-Cov-1 And Sars-Cov-2, Elizabeth Brooke Haywood, Nicole A. Bruce

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Exploring The Effect Of The Nestling Recruitment Curve On Enzootic West Nile Virus Transmission, Emily B. Horton May 2020

Exploring The Effect Of The Nestling Recruitment Curve On Enzootic West Nile Virus Transmission, Emily B. Horton

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Investigating Drivers Of Dengue Emergence In Cordoba, Argentina, Michael Andrew Robert, Rachel Sippy, Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra, Rebecca C. Christofferson, Helen J. Wearing, Elizabet L. Estallo May 2019

Investigating Drivers Of Dengue Emergence In Cordoba, Argentina, Michael Andrew Robert, Rachel Sippy, Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra, Rebecca C. Christofferson, Helen J. Wearing, Elizabet L. Estallo

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Parameter Identification For A Stochastic Seirs Epidemic Model: Case Study Influenza, Olusegun M. Otunuga, Anna Mummert May 2019

Parameter Identification For A Stochastic Seirs Epidemic Model: Case Study Influenza, Olusegun M. Otunuga, Anna Mummert

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Quantifying The Contribution Of Environmental Pathways To The Transmission Of Clostridium Difficile, Lindsey R. Fox, Cara Sulyok, Judy Day, Cristina Lanzas, Suzanne Lenhart May 2019

Quantifying The Contribution Of Environmental Pathways To The Transmission Of Clostridium Difficile, Lindsey R. Fox, Cara Sulyok, Judy Day, Cristina Lanzas, Suzanne Lenhart

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Optimal Spraying Strategies For Controlling Re-Infestation By Chagas Disease Vectors, Bismark Oduro, Winfried Just, Mario Grijalva May 2019

Optimal Spraying Strategies For Controlling Re-Infestation By Chagas Disease Vectors, Bismark Oduro, Winfried Just, Mario Grijalva

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


A Study Of Pair Formation Disease Models With A Two Phase Infection, Berlinda Rosa Batista May 2019

A Study Of Pair Formation Disease Models With A Two Phase Infection, Berlinda Rosa Batista

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Applications Of Multidimensional Time Model For Pdf To Model Permeability Of Plasma Membrane And Transcription Of Cytoplasmic Dna For Different Vaccination Trails., Michael Fundator May 2018

Applications Of Multidimensional Time Model For Pdf To Model Permeability Of Plasma Membrane And Transcription Of Cytoplasmic Dna For Different Vaccination Trails., Michael Fundator

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


A Mathematical Model Of The Obesity Epidemic, Ana L. Vivas-Barber May 2018

A Mathematical Model Of The Obesity Epidemic, Ana L. Vivas-Barber

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Staged Hiv Transmission And Treatment In A Dynamic Model With Concurrency, Katharine Gurski, Kathleen Hoffman May 2018

Staged Hiv Transmission And Treatment In A Dynamic Model With Concurrency, Katharine Gurski, Kathleen Hoffman

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


Indicators For Early Assessment Of Palliative Care In Lung Cancer Patients: A Population Study Using Linked Health Data, Maria Kelly, Katie M. O'Brien, Michael Lucey, Kerri Clough-Gorr, Ailish Hannigan Feb 2018

Indicators For Early Assessment Of Palliative Care In Lung Cancer Patients: A Population Study Using Linked Health Data, Maria Kelly, Katie M. O'Brien, Michael Lucey, Kerri Clough-Gorr, Ailish Hannigan

Department of Mathematics Publications

Analysing linked, routinely collected data may be useful to identify characteristics of patients with suspected lung cancer who could benefit from early assessment for palliative care. The aim of this study was to compare characteristics of newly diagnosed lung cancer patients dying within 30 days of diagnosis (short term survivors) with those surviving more than 30 days. To identify indicators for early palliative care assessment we distinguished between characteristics available at diagnosis (age, gender, smoking status, marital status, comorbid disease, admission type, tumour stage and histology) from those available post diagnosis. A second aim was to examine the association between …


A Primer On Noise-Induced Transitions In Applied Dynamical Systems, Eric Forgoston, Richard O. Moore Jan 2018

A Primer On Noise-Induced Transitions In Applied Dynamical Systems, Eric Forgoston, Richard O. Moore

Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

Noise plays a fundamental role in a wide variety of physical and biological dynamical systems. It can arise from an external forcing or due to random dynamics internal to the system. It is well established that even weak noise can result in large behavioral changes such as transitions between or escapes from quasi-stable states. These transitions can correspond to critical events such as failures or extinctions that make them essential phenomena to understand and quantify, despite the fact that their occurrence is rare. This article will provide an overview of the theory underlying the dynamics of rare events for stochastic …