Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®
- Discipline
- Publication
- Publication Type
Articles 1 - 7 of 7
Full-Text Articles in Applied Mathematics
Leveraging Subject Matter Expertise To Optimize Machine Learning Techniques For Air And Space Applications, Philip Y. Cho
Leveraging Subject Matter Expertise To Optimize Machine Learning Techniques For Air And Space Applications, Philip Y. Cho
Theses and Dissertations
We develop new machine learning and statistical methods that are tailored for Air and Space applications through the incorporation of subject matter expertise. In particular, we focus on three separate research thrusts that each represents a different type of subject matter knowledge, modeling approach, and application. In our first thrust, we incorporate knowledge of natural phenomena to design a neural network algorithm for localizing point defects in transmission electron microscopy (TEM) images of crystalline materials. In our second research thrust, we use Bayesian feature selection and regression to analyze the relationship between fighter pilot attributes and flight mishap rates. We …
Correlation Does Not Imply Correlation: A Thesis On Causal Influence And Simpson’S Paradox, Emily Naitoh
Correlation Does Not Imply Correlation: A Thesis On Causal Influence And Simpson’S Paradox, Emily Naitoh
Scripps Senior Theses
In our data-driven world, it has become commonplace to attempt to find
causal relationships. One of the themes of this thesis is to show methods of
determining causation. The second theme follows a saying in mathematics,
"correlation does not imply causation". We will also discuss situations where
correlation does not even imply correlation itself. These cases are described
by Simpson’s paradox in an exploration of different areas of mathematics
and computer coding.
Data Adaptive Estimation Of The Treatment Specific Mean, Yue Wang, Oliver Bembom, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Data Adaptive Estimation Of The Treatment Specific Mean, Yue Wang, Oliver Bembom, Mark J. Van Der Laan
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
An important problem in epidemiology and medical research is the estimation of the causal effect of a treatment action at a single point in time on the mean of an outcome, possibly within strata of the target population defined by a subset of the baseline covariates. Current approaches to this problem are based on marginal structural models, i.e., parametric models for the marginal distribution of counterfactural outcomes as a function of treatment and effect modifiers. The various estimators developed in this context furthermore each depend on a high-dimensional nuisance parameter whose estimation currently also relies on parametric models. Since misspecification …
History-Adjusted Marginal Structural Models And Statically-Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Maya L. Petersen
History-Adjusted Marginal Structural Models And Statically-Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Maya L. Petersen
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Marginal structural models (MSM) provide a powerful tool for estimating the causal effect of a treatment. These models, introduced by Robins, model the marginal distributions of treatment-specific counterfactual outcomes, possibly conditional on a subset of the baseline covariates. Marginal structural models are particularly useful in the context of longitudinal data structures, in which each subject's treatment and covariate history are measured over time, and an outcome is recorded at a final time point. However, the utility of these models for some applications has been limited by their inability to incorporate modification of the causal effect of treatment by time-varying covariates. …
Locally Efficient Estimation Of Nonparametric Causal Effects On Mean Outcomes In Longitudinal Studies, Romain Neugebauer, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Locally Efficient Estimation Of Nonparametric Causal Effects On Mean Outcomes In Longitudinal Studies, Romain Neugebauer, Mark J. Van Der Laan
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Marginal Structural Models (MSM) have been introduced by Robins (1998a) as a powerful tool for causal inference as they directly model causal curves of interest, i.e. mean treatment-specific outcomes possibly adjusted for baseline covariates. Two estimators of the corresponding MSM parameters of interest have been proposed, see van der Laan and Robins (2002): the Inverse Probability of Treatment Weighted (IPTW) and the Double Robust (DR) estimators. A parametric MSM approach to causal inference has been favored since the introduction of MSM. It relies on correct specification of a parametric MSM to consistently estimate the parameter of interest using the IPTW …
A Bootstrap Confidence Interval Procedure For The Treatment Effect Using Propensity Score Subclassification, Wanzhu Tu, Xiao-Hua Zhou
A Bootstrap Confidence Interval Procedure For The Treatment Effect Using Propensity Score Subclassification, Wanzhu Tu, Xiao-Hua Zhou
UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series
In the analysis of observational studies, propensity score subclassification has been shown to be a powerful method for adjusting unbalanced covariates for the purpose of causal inferences. One practical difficulty in carrying out such an analysis is to obtain a correct variance estimate for such inferences, while reducing bias in the estimate of the treatment effect due to an imbalance in the measured covariates. In this paper, we propose a bootstrap procedure for the inferences concerning the average treatment effect; our bootstrap method is based on an extension of Efron’s bias-corrected accelerated (BCa) bootstrap confidence interval to a two-sample problem. …
An Empirical Study Of Marginal Structural Models For Time-Independent Treatment, Tanya A. Henneman, Mark J. Van Der Laan
An Empirical Study Of Marginal Structural Models For Time-Independent Treatment, Tanya A. Henneman, Mark J. Van Der Laan
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
In non-randomized treatment studies a significant problem for statisticians is determining how best to adjust for confounders. Marginal structural models (MSMs) and inverse probability of treatment weighted (IPTW) estimators are useful in analyzing the causal effect of treatment in observational studies. Given an IPTW estimator a doubly robust augmented IPTW (AIPTW) estimator orthogonalizes it resulting in a more e±cient estimator than the IPTW estimator. One purpose of this paper is to make a practical comparison between the IPTW estimator and the doubly robust AIPTW estimator via a series of Monte- Carlo simulations. We also consider the selection of the optimal …