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Environmental Public Health Commons

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Occupational Health and Industrial Hygiene

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2021

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Full-Text Articles in Environmental Public Health

Projecting Sex Imbalances At Birth At Global, Regional And National Levels From 2021 To 2100: Scenario-Based Bayesian Probabilistic Projections Of The Sex Ratio At Birth And Missing Female Births Based On 3.26 Billion Birth Records, Fengqing Chao, Patrick Gerland, Alex Richard Cook, Christophe Z. Guilmoto, Leontine Alkema Jan 2021

Projecting Sex Imbalances At Birth At Global, Regional And National Levels From 2021 To 2100: Scenario-Based Bayesian Probabilistic Projections Of The Sex Ratio At Birth And Missing Female Births Based On 3.26 Billion Birth Records, Fengqing Chao, Patrick Gerland, Alex Richard Cook, Christophe Z. Guilmoto, Leontine Alkema

Biostatistics and Epidemiology Faculty Publications Series

Introduction Skewed levels of the sex ratio at birth (SRB) due to sex-selective abortions have been observed in several countries since the 1970s. They will lead to long-term sex imbalances in more than one-third of the world's population with yet unknown social and economic impacts on affected countries. Understanding the potential evolution of sex imbalances at birth is therefore essential for anticipating and planning for changing sex structures across the world. Methods We produced probabilistic SRB projections from 2021 to 2100 based on different scenarios of sex ratio transition and assessed their implications in terms of missing female births at …