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Ground Risk Model For Uavs, Andrew V. Shelley
Ground Risk Model For Uavs, Andrew V. Shelley
International Journal of Aviation, Aeronautics, and Aerospace
This paper develops an alternative to the ground risk model provided by JARUS SORA. Key inconsistencies in the SORA ground risk model are identified, specifically ground risk continuing to increase when there is no further increase in fatality probability.
Population density is a critical component of UAS ground risk. Definitions of population density adopted by various regulatory jurisdictions are reviewed. A categorisation of population density is developed based on official statistics categories for New Zealand. This categorisation is more granular than that provided by SORA, enabling a more nuanced assessment of risk.
A ground risk model is then developed using …