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Full-Text Articles in Other Computer Engineering
Multiple-Change-Point Modeling And Exact Bayesian Inference Of Degradation Signal For Prognostic Improvement, Yuxin Wen, Jianguo Wu, Qiang Matthew Zhou, Tzu-Liang Bill Tseng
Multiple-Change-Point Modeling And Exact Bayesian Inference Of Degradation Signal For Prognostic Improvement, Yuxin Wen, Jianguo Wu, Qiang Matthew Zhou, Tzu-Liang Bill Tseng
Engineering Faculty Articles and Research
Prognostics play an increasingly important role in modern engineering systems for smart maintenance decision-making. In parametric regression-based approaches, the parametric models are often too rigid to model degradation signals in many applications. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian multiple-change-point (CP) modeling framework to better capture the degradation path and improve the prognostics. At the offline modeling stage, a novel stochastic process is proposed to model the joint prior of CPs and positions. All hyperparameters are estimated through an empirical two-stage process. At the online monitoring and remaining useful life (RUL) prediction stage, a recursive updating algorithm is developed to …
Degradation Modeling And Rul Prediction Using Wiener Process Subject To Multiple Change Points And Unit Heterogeneity, Yuxin Wen, Jianguo Wu, Devashish Das, Tzu-Liang Bill Tseng
Degradation Modeling And Rul Prediction Using Wiener Process Subject To Multiple Change Points And Unit Heterogeneity, Yuxin Wen, Jianguo Wu, Devashish Das, Tzu-Liang Bill Tseng
Engineering Faculty Articles and Research
Degradation modeling is critical for health condition monitoring and remaining useful life prediction (RUL). The prognostic accuracy highly depends on the capability of modeling the evolution of degradation signals. In many practical applications, however, the degradation signals show multiple phases, where the conventional degradation models are often inadequate. To better characterize the degradation signals of multiple-phase characteristics, we propose a multiple change-point Wiener process as a degradation model. To take into account the between-unit heterogeneity, a fully Bayesian approach is developed where all model parameters are assumed random. At the offline stage, an empirical two-stage process is proposed for model …