Finance and Financial Management Commons^™

Does Momentum Matter? Modeling Stock Returns Through Fama-French And Carhart Model For Pakistan Stock Exchange, Mirza Osama Bin Shahid, Abdurrahman Aleemi, Muhammad Asadullah

Business Review

Asset pricing models are widely applied for explaining variations in stock returns. The applicability of these models is tested on different markets for assessing different stock price anomalies. In this paper, Fama and French three-factor model and Carhart Model were applied to the KSE-100 Index, over the period of 2004 to 2019. Following the FF 3 factor methodology, we create a relatively large number of portfolios based on size, value, and momentum, whereas the existence of the momentum factor was checked through the Carhart model. The results indicate that, out of 25 portfolios, 15 were able to explain the variations …

Risk Spillover From World Energy Markets To Pakistan Agricultural Commodity Markets. An Application Of Dependence Switching Copula Model, Hira Saeed, Rukhsana Bibi, Muhammad Tahir

Business Review

This study aims to examine the risk spillover from world energy markets to Pakistan’s agricultural commodities market using a time-varying copulas model. It also analyzes the dependence structure between energy and agricultural markets. The results show commodities such as wheat has less volatile behavior and weak lower tail dependence in energy-agricultural commodity pairs. The world energy volatility index is more volatile as compared to Pakistan’s agricultural commodities markets. Wheat is the least volatile commodity while palmolien is most volatile. The normal copula is best fitted for all energy and commodity pairs at 1% level of significance. Student-t copula is the …

Linking Green Innovation, Corporate Environmental Performance With Financing Constraints: A Sustainable Transition Towards Environmental Protection, Syeda Fizza Abbas, Iqra Tariq, Fareeha Waseem

Business Review

Purpose: Accessing different sources of finance becomes difficult when companies fail to take action towards environmental protection. Motivated by the theoretical propositions of stakeholder theory, this research investigates the impact of green innovation (GI) and corporate environmental performance (CEP) on financing constraints (FC) in the context of the most polluting industries of an emerging economy.

Methodology: The sample is based on 33 companies from the cement, chemical and fertilizer sectors of Pakistan for the period of 2017 to 2020. For data analysis, random effects and VCE Robust regressions models have been employed to explore the link between GI, CEP and …

Behavioral Biases, Financial Literacy, And Investment Decision: A Case Of Individual Investors In Pakistan, Arslan Saleem, Muhammad Usman, Zahid Bashir

Business Review

This research dives into the interesting world of investment choices and analyses the influence that behavioural biases and financial literacy play in the process. The study uncovers the direct impact of behavioural biases such as anchoring, optimism bias, and loss aversion on investment decisions by using primary data from individual investors in the Lahore region. These individuals participated in the study. According to the findings of the study, having a solid understanding of finance can help mitigate the effects of cognitive biases and lessen the toll they take on investment choices. The study underscores the necessity for future research on …

Islamic Banks' Decomposed Financing And Industrial Output Growth In Pakistan, Sadia Yasmin, Mohammad Ayaz Dr

Business Review

Abstract

Finance is considered as "the lifeblood of an economy" and imperative to a country's growth and stability. However, this perception has been called into two propositions, "More finance more growth "and "Does too much finance harm economic growth”? Existing literature considered only a single indicator i.e. total financing, assuming all financing has the same effect on growth. Furthermore, these studies also overlooked the nonlinear dynamics of Islamic decomposed financing and sectoral growth. As the composition of every economic sector is different, therefore financing can impact differently. This gap is covered in this study by decomposing Islamic financing into Islamic …

Ipo Waiting Period In Pakistan, Tayyeba Zanib, Muhammad Zubair Mumtaz

Business Review

This study examined the IPO waiting period from offering to the first trading day listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange from 1995 to 2018. We find that firms that float shares to the general public have passed through multiple layers of inspection by underwriters, auditors, institutional investors, and regulatory bodies. The waiting period of the unseasoned issue is an essential predictor of uncertainty associated with a firm. To test this proposition, we first determine the endogenous and exogenous factors that influence IPO waiting period. The results confirm that the firms offer price, percentage of shares after issuance of IPO, book …

A Better Model? Testing Of Fama And French Six-Factor Model In Pakistan, Mehak Younus

Business Review

This study examines the performance of the Fama and French six factor model and the alternative six-factor model in explaining anomalous return patterns using a broad sample of the Pakistani stock market from 2000 to 2017. This study is the first to test the applicability of these models in Pakistan and their performance in explaining anomalous returns. There are 11 anomalies taken, which proved to be significant in the Pakistani market. The GRS test is used with other time-series measures to check the power of the given models in explaining one-way sorted quintile portfolios. The results reveal that both models …

Role Of Organizational Capital At Different Phases Of Business’S Life Cycle: A Study Of Psx Companies, Zahid Bashir, Ghulam Ali Bhatti, Sobia Arshad

Business Review

The goal of this study was to examine the association between Business Life Cycle phases and organizational capital using PSX index companies. Mainly, the study investigates the relationship of organizational capital phases during different phases of the life cycle and comparison with high and low organizational capital. To fulfill this objective data has been collected of 56 companies of PSX index companies with yearly observations ranging from 2011-2020. For estimation, a multinomial logistic model was used due to categories of the dependent variable. The results indicate that organizational capital is positively significant at the maturity phase but negatively significant at …

Bonds Duration And Covid-19: A Study On United Kingdom Conventional Gilts, Riffat Abdul Latif Mughal

Business Review

This article studies whether the government bonds portfolio developed based on bonds duration produces abnormal returns in London Stock Exchange fixed income market during the phase of double-dip recession and COVID-19. The sample consists of UK conventional gilts traded from February 2004 till February 2021. The daily data is obtained from Thomson Reuters / Refinitiv Eikon. For this study, the data is divided into two subsamples July 2009-December 2018 and December 2019-February 2021. The findings reveal that all the bonds produced abnormal returns during the complete sample and sub-sample period when returns of UK gilts 1 year maturity are kept …

Investment Behavior During Covid Pandemic: An Evidence From Emerging Asian Markets, Sana Tauseef

Business Review

This study investigates the investor behavior in Asian emerging markets during the COVID pandemic period and assesses the asymmetric patterns and the influence of global and regional return dynamics on local investor behavior. It uses daily firm-level data from January 2001 to December 2020 for nine Asian emerging countries: China, India, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Taiwan and Thailand to estimate the impact of extreme price movements, market liquidity and US and Chinese market returns on local return dispersions using a non-linear specification. The findings indicate that rational price behavior prevailed in all markets over the COVID period. Though herding …

The Integration And Efficiency Of Brics And Pakistan Stock Markets: An Analysis Using Asymmetric Cointegration And Mf-Dfa Approaches, Rukhsana Bibi, Kalsoom Akhtar, Naveed Raza

Business Review

This study examines the asymmetric cointegration and efficiency between Pakistan and BRICS equity markets using monthly data from October 1997 to September 2018. The results reveal that the Brazilian stock market is the most efficient during the global financial crisis. Threshold and momentum threshold autoregressive models (TAR and M.TAR) confirm the presence of a long-run relationship between BRICS and Pakistan stock markets, where the speed of negative shocks is higher and significant for Pakistan Russian, Pakistan South Africa stock market pair. This infers quick adjustment of stock prices to negative shocks (bad news) as compared to positive shocks (good news). …

Volatility Spillover Between Stock Market And Currency Market Of Pakistan In The Presence Of Structural Breaks, Muhammad Jamil, Hifsa Mobeen

Business Review

This study examines the volatility transmission between the currency market and the stock market of Pakistan in the presence of structural breaks. For this purpose, daily data from the stock market and currency market is analyzed. An empirical investigation is conducted using the bivariate EGARCH model and the test for multiple structural breaks developed by Bai and Perron (2003). This study analyses these markets with the inclusion of sudden changes. Results of the EGARCH model suggest that volatility spillover is positive and bidirectional between these markets of Pakistan.

Does Volatility Scaling Improve The Performance Of Momentum Strategies In The Pakistan Stock Exchange?, Mohsin Sadaqat, Hilal Anwar Butt

Business Review

Momentum profits are low among stocks listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange. We explore whether this can be improved by exploiting the predicted negative relationship between returns and volatility of momentum strategies. This relationship suggests that momentum returns increase/decrease with decrease/increase in the volatility/variance of momentum returns during the previous six months. We find that scaled momentum strategies outperform the traditional strategy in terms of higher raw returns, risk-adjusted returns and Sharpe ratios. To show the superiority of scaled momentum strategies, we bootstrap the sample 100,000 times and generate the lognormal distribution of holding-period returns for all momentum strategies. We …

Impact Of Dividend Policy On Stock Prices: Evidence From Pakistan, Shahid Iqbal, Faisal Abbas, Bilal Aziz University Of Engineering And Technology, Lahore, Pakistan

Business Review

We study the impact of dividend yields and payout ratios on stock prices using an econometric model that also includes control variables such as debt leverage rates, earnings per share, total assets and asset growth. Relevant data for Pakistani companies are compiled from a variety of sources for the period 2001-2014. Econometric results show that dividend yields are negatively correlated and dividend payout ratios positively correlated with stock prices.

The Nexus Of Financial Deepening, Economic Growth, And Poverty: The Case Of Pakistan, Abdur Rehman Aleemi, Muhammad Azam

Business Review

This study investigates the nexus of financial development, economic growth, and poverty for Pakistan over a prolonged period of time, 1960- 2012. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)-Bounds testing approach to co integration and Unrestricted Error Correction Model (UECM)along with VECM Granger causality have been applied to examine the long-run dynamic relationship among financial development, economic development and poverty. For that purpose, we have developed two models and adopted a new and relatively strong proxy for financial development. The results suggest that financial development negatively affects both long-run and short-run economic growth. However, financial development is found to be positively affecting per …

Easypaisa: Seizing The White Space And Business Model Innovation, Nasir Afghan

Business Review

EasyPaisa is a diversification case study written about two very different organizations, a Telco and Microfinance Bank, and how they merged to create a new business. This new business was providing Mobile Financial Services. Both Telenor (a Telco) and Tameer Bank (Microfinance bank) saw a business opportunity in branchless banking (business white space). They were committed to make this acquisition successful, where Telenor bought over 51%sharesof Tameer Bank. However, as per regulations, the branchless banking model is to be governed under a bank-led model. Therefore, the face of EasyPaisa has always been Tameer Bank which is expected to manage all …

Revisiting Compensating Wage Differentials: The Evidence From Employer-Provided Health Insurance, Dan Qu

Business Review

This paper uses 1996 and 2001 Survey of Income and Program Participation to examine the evidence for compensating wage differentials associated with employer-provided health insurance (EHI) in the United States. The results provide no evidence of a tradeoff between wages and EHI coverage. On the other hand, the results do suggest that employees who work in states with income taxes are more likely to receive EHI than those in states without income taxes. Fixed effects, first differencing and instrumental variable estimation are used to address the potential ability bias and endogeneity problems in wage models with EHI as an independent …

Wealth Effect Of Mergers & Acquisitions In Emerging Market: A Case Of Pakistan’S Banking Sector, Sana Tauseef, Mohammad Nishat

Business Review

This study investigates the short-term market response associated with the announcement of seven merger and acquisition deals in the banking sector of Pakistan during the period 2003 to 2008 using the event study methodology. The results indicate statistically significant investor reactions around the merger announcements. For individual target and bidder banks, the cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) range from significant positive to significant negative. The combined mean CAR for the bidder group is significant positive and for target group, the mean CAR is significant negative. The mean CAR for the combined banks in the domestic mergers is also positive but is …

An Evidence Of Profitability In Stocks Through The Test Of Logic, Muhammad Ikhlas Khan, Agha Ali Hassan

Business Review

In this world, people do one of two things with dollar, when they earn it. They either save it or consume it. Involuntarily, some of the money people consume is because they must pay tax or spending the dollar on something like food, clothing, or a car. For consumption at a later time, a person saves the dollar by putting it aside.

Relationship Of Single Stock Futures With The Spot Price: Evidence From Karachi Stock Exchange, Nasir Jamal, Ahmad Fraz

Business Review

The study is conducted to investigate the relationship of single stock futures with the spot price in Karachi Stock Exchange. Monthly data of twelve companies which are trading single stock futures have been examined for the period 1 January, 2005 to 31 December, 2010 with total of 72 observations for each company. Descriptive statistics, Unit Root test, Co-integration test, Granger Causality test, Vector Error Correction Model based on ARDL approach, Impulse Response and Variance Decomposition tests are used. The existence of long run relationship was found between the futures and spot prices of all the companies. The Granger Causality test …

An Empirical Study On Weak Market Efficiency Of Karachi Stock Exchange, Jaihan Zulqarnain, Syed Muhammad Amir Shah

Business Review

A lot of research has been conducted to check whether the Frontier and emerging markets show weak form of efficiency or follow a random walk. Karachi Stock Exchange, being a frontier market, was tested on the basis of daily closing values from 2006 to 2011. The study showed KSE to be a weak form inefficient market following non randomness. Three tests were applied on the data. KSE proved to have a unit root, the values in the series showed a strong correlation. Moreover, a Z-statistic value was far greater than 1.96 which proved KSE to be an inefficient market. Inefficient …

Determinants Of Financial Distress Evidence From Kse 100 Index, Malik Rizwan Khurshid

Business Review

Financial distress and its determinants are very important for investors as well as financial institutions; no one can deny its significance. This paper assesses the determinants of financial distress of non financial companies of Karachi Stock exchange from 2003 to 2010. Financial distress in companies was calculated from Z score model. Determinants like current ratio, profitability, efficiency, solvency and leverage were identified. Result shows current ratio, profitability, solvency and leverage are negatively correlated while efficiency is positively correlated.

Interest Rate Sensitivity And Stock Returns, Mohsin R. Khan, Zahid Mahmood

Business Review

This paper investigates the sensitivity of interest rate to stock return of financial institutions traded at Karachi Stock Exchange. Two Index Model of Stone and Bernell(1974) have been used to test the proposition of the present study. Three different portfolios of financial institutions have been examined against sensitivity of actual and unanticipated interest rates. Repo rate/Policy rate instead of t-bill rate is used for the proxy of interest rate. The data is collected from twenty nine financial institutions covering the time period from 2004 to 2011. Unit root test, co integration and error correction mechanism have been checked before proceeding …

Gender, Behavioral Finance And The Investment Decision, Bimal Jaiswal, Naela Kamil

Business Review

As per classical economic theory, humans are completely rational decision makers who carefully evaluate all facts and evidences before taking decisions that aim at maximizing outcomes. However it has been found that in real life humans are not totally rational, rather they are influenced by various behavioural factors while making decisions. Behavioural Finance has thus emerged as an emerging field that studies the influence of psychology on financial decisions. However, it still remains to be investigated whether the impact of behavioural factors is homogenous on all individuals or whether the demographic and psychographic characteristics of the individuals in any way …

Financial Reforms And Corporate Finance In Emerging Markets: An Analysis Of Dividend Policy Among Public Listed Firms In Pakistan, Mohammed Nishat, Wali Ullah

Business Review

This paper analyzes the dividend behavior of 535 Pakistani listed companies during 1988 to 2005 using the Probit regression model. The findings validate the theoretical prediction for positive and significant impact of last year dividend on the current year dividend decision. More profitable and liquid firms have a higher probability to declare the dividends. Furthermore, firm size, ownership, equity and tax are positively related to the dividend declaration decision. The firms' dividend behavior differs significantly across Industries. The secondary market development has a significant effect on dividend decision and financial liberalization has been associated with shift of firms from debt …

Financial Development And Firms’ Growth In Textile Industry Of Pakistan: A Panel Data Analysis, Ijaz Hussain

Business Review

This discussion uses secondary data from “Balance Sheet Analysis (2000- 2009) of Joint Stock Companies Listed on the Karachi Stock Exchange published by Statistics Department of State Bank Of Pakistan” and covers a panel of 75 textile firms of textile industry in Pakistan . Findings of this study indicate that all explanatory variables included in our model have significant influence on firms’ growth. Lagged profitability and efficiency and financial development have statistically significant and positive impact on firms’ growth while financial leverage, size, risk, real cost of debt, energy crisis and abolishment of textile quota have negative impact. Acute energy …

Foreign Direct Investment And Manufacturing Export In Nigeria, Nasiru Musa Yauri

Business Review

The potential impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on recipient and investing economies is of considerable policy interest (Pain and Wakelin, 1997). Important to the theory of foreign investment in Nigeria is the question whether foreign investors coming to Nigeria are market-seeking or export-driven. This finding is relevant to economic managers in the design and implementation of appropriate macroeconomic policies to attract FDI. It is also relevant to investigate whether FDI contributes to the overall capacity of developing economies to export. This study investigates the contribution of FDI to manufacturing export in Nigeria. Using firm level data collected from 232 …

Internal Debt And Private Investment: Evidence From Pakistan, Muhammad Ramzan Sheikh, Muhammad Zahir Faridi, Shoukat Malik

Business Review

In most of the developing countries financial sectors are characterized by limited availability of loanable funds. Public sector borrowing leads to crowding out of the private sector as well as high interest rates and inflation. In Pakistan, government has relied more on borrowing from the domestic sources as well. The study explores the impacts of internal debt on private investment in Pakistan applying the OLS technique for the period of 1972 to 2009. The study indicates that the stock of internal debt and debt servicing affects the private investment negatively in Pakistan. This implies that internal debt and internal debt …

International Financial Reporting Standards: A Cautionary Note For Emerging Economies, Khursheed Omer, Darshan Wadhwa

Business Review

Long before the present economic crisis unfolded, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) and the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) had been working to achieve harmonization in accounting and financial reporting standards across the globe. Now that the world economic community has become more integrated, cross border flow of capital has gained unprecedented momentum and steps are underway to achieve this goal as early as possible. Initial efforts to harmonize local accounting principles and practices with those followed in developed economies were generally aimed at facilitating foreign multinationals operating in other countries. The desired goal of harmonization now ought to …

A Profile Analysis Of The Customers Of Islamic Banking In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Syed Umar Farooq

Business Review

Interviews conducted with the subscribers of Islamic banks in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa revealed their key characteristics and patterns. The study sample comprised 100 subscribers of Al-Meezan Bank and Bank of Khyber in N.W.F.P. A comprehensive profile analysis and a series of chi-square tests were conducted to elaborate the main attributes of the customers of Islamic banking system: the majority of Islamic bank customers are well educated; approximately 80 percent are between 25-50 years of age; more than 50 percent of the surveyed customers have maintained their current banking relationship with Islamic banks for more than one year; customers’ awareness and usage …