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Full-Text Articles in Business

The Varying Effects Of Predatory Lending Laws On High-Cost Mortgage Applications, Giang Ho, Anthony Pennington-Cross Jul 2014

The Varying Effects Of Predatory Lending Laws On High-Cost Mortgage Applications, Giang Ho, Anthony Pennington-Cross

Anthony Pennington-Cross

Federal, state, and local predatory lending laws are designed to restrict and in some cases prohibit certain types of high-cost mortgage credit in the subprime market. Empirical evidence using the spatial variation in these laws shows that the aggregate flow of high-cost mortgage credit can increase, decrease, or be unchanged after these laws are enacted. Although it may seem counterintuitive to find that a law that prohibits lending could be associated with more lending, it is hypothesized that a law may reduce the cost of sorting honest loans from dishonest loans and lessen borrowers’ fears of predation, thus stimulating the …


A Dynamic Look At Subprime Loan Performance, Michelle A. Danis, Anthony Pennington-Cross Jul 2014

A Dynamic Look At Subprime Loan Performance, Michelle A. Danis, Anthony Pennington-Cross

Anthony Pennington-Cross

Does delinquency have any predictive power for the future performance of a mortgage? Analysis of a sample of subprime mortgages from the Loanperformance database on securitized private-label pool collateral using a two-step estimation procedure to control for the endogeneity of delinquency reveals strong support for the distressed prepayment theory that very delinquent loans are more likely to prepay than to default and that prepayment rates increase substantially as delinquency intensity increases. While delinquency leads predominantly to termination of a loan through prepayment, negative equity leads to termination through default. Does delinquency have any predictive power for the future performance of …


Credit History And The Performance Of Prime And Nonprime Mortgages, Anthony Pennington-Cross Jul 2014

Credit History And The Performance Of Prime And Nonprime Mortgages, Anthony Pennington-Cross

Anthony Pennington-Cross

Although nonprime lending has experienced steady or even explosive growth over the last decade very little is known about the performance characteristics of these mortgages. Using data from national secondary market institutions, this paper estimates a competing risks proportional hazard model, which includes unobserved heterogeneity. The analysis examines the performance of 30-year fixed rate owner occupied home purchase mortgages from February 1995 to the end of 1999 and compares nonprime and prime loan default and prepayment behavior. Nonprime loans are identified by mortgage interest rates that are substantially higher than the prevailing prime rate. Results indicate that nonprime mortgages differ …


Measuring External Shocks To The City Economy: An Index Of Export Prices And Terms Of Trade, Anthony Pennington-Cross Jul 2014

Measuring External Shocks To The City Economy: An Index Of Export Prices And Terms Of Trade, Anthony Pennington-Cross

Anthony Pennington-Cross

This paper details the construction of an index of export goods prices (the Export Price Index or EPI) for a panel of 196 metropolitan areas from 1977 to 1992. The EPI is an indicator of external demand shocks to the city economy which does not suffer from the causal ambiguity of the endogenous indicators such as income, employment or output. The creation of an index of aggregate export prices, the EPI, for the panel of areas provides both academicians and policy analysts with a new exogenous indicator that identifies demand price innovations and the terms of trade shocks …


Service Industries Keep Employment Steady In Arkansas' Capital, Anthony Pennington-Cross Jul 2014

Service Industries Keep Employment Steady In Arkansas' Capital, Anthony Pennington-Cross

Anthony Pennington-Cross

No abstract provided.