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Finance and Financial Management

Anthony Pennington-Cross

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Full-Text Articles in Business

The Delinquency Of Subprime Mortgages, Michelle A. Danis, Anthony Pennington-Cross Jul 2014

The Delinquency Of Subprime Mortgages, Michelle A. Danis, Anthony Pennington-Cross

Anthony Pennington-Cross

The lag between the time that a borrower stops making payments on a mortgage and the termination of the loan plays a critical role in the costs borne by both borrower and lender on defaulted loans. While the prior literature uses a multinomial logit approach, statistical tests indicate that we cannot accept the associated assumption of Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA). Using a nested logit specification our results suggest that the recipe for delinquency involves young loans to low credit score borrowers with low or no documentation in housing markets with moderately volatile and flat or declining nominal house prices.


Credit History And The Performance Of Prime And Nonprime Mortgages, Anthony Pennington-Cross Jul 2014

Credit History And The Performance Of Prime And Nonprime Mortgages, Anthony Pennington-Cross

Anthony Pennington-Cross

Although nonprime lending has experienced steady or even explosive growth over the last decade very little is known about the performance characteristics of these mortgages. Using data from national secondary market institutions, this paper estimates a competing risks proportional hazard model, which includes unobserved heterogeneity. The analysis examines the performance of 30-year fixed rate owner occupied home purchase mortgages from February 1995 to the end of 1999 and compares nonprime and prime loan default and prepayment behavior. Nonprime loans are identified by mortgage interest rates that are substantially higher than the prevailing prime rate. Results indicate that nonprime mortgages differ …