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Full-Text Articles in International Economics

Exchange Rates As Shock Absorbers: The Role Of Export Margins, Lilia Cavallari Jan 2015

Exchange Rates As Shock Absorbers: The Role Of Export Margins, Lilia Cavallari

Lilia Cavallari

No abstract provided.


Trade Margins And Exchange Rate Regimes: Evidence From A Panel Varx, Lilia Cavallari, Stefano Daddona Jan 2013

Trade Margins And Exchange Rate Regimes: Evidence From A Panel Varx, Lilia Cavallari, Stefano Daddona

Lilia Cavallari

This paper studies output and trade margin dynamics in the aftermath of external shocks in fixed and floating exchange rate regimes. Using a panel VARX model, it traces the mean responses of output, terms of trade, extensive and intensive margins to real and nominal shocks in 22 developed economies over the period 1988-2011. It clarifies the role of trade margins for the transmission of shocks. A business cycle expansion abroad implies positive output spillovers through the trade channel in any exchange rate regime. Yet in the sample of peggers, there is a switch from trade of previously traded goods towards …


Firms' Entry, Monetary Policy And The International Business Cycle, Lilia Cavallari Dec 2012

Firms' Entry, Monetary Policy And The International Business Cycle, Lilia Cavallari

Lilia Cavallari

This paper proposes a two-country monetary model with firm entry as a means for alleviating the comovement puzzles in international business cycle models. It shows that business formation can generate fluctuations in output, employment, investment and trade flows close to those in the data while at the same time providing positive international comovements. Simulations show that the presence of imported investment goods is essential for replicating these facts. Keywords: firm entry, international business cycle, international comovements, comovement puzzles, Taylor rule, firm markups. JEL codes: E31; E32; E52


Output And Interest Rate Volatility As Determinants Of Fdi, Lilia Cavallari, Stefano D'Addona Jan 2012

Output And Interest Rate Volatility As Determinants Of Fdi, Lilia Cavallari, Stefano D'Addona

Lilia Cavallari

This paper examines the role of country-specific sources of output and interest rate volatility in driving FDI activities. Building on a dataset that comprises bilateral FDI flows among 24 OECD economies over the period 1985-2007, we find that output and interest rate volatility mainly act as push factors, i.e. they are more effective in deterring rather than encouraging foreign investments. A rise in host country volatilities does reduce the amount of FDI outflows in the recipient country, even after controlling for the state of the cycle. Source country volatilities, on the contrary, do not have a systematic effect on foreign …