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Full-Text Articles in International Economics
Vertical Linkages And The Collapse Of Global Trade, Rudolfs Bems, Robert C. Johnson, Kei-Mu Yi
Vertical Linkages And The Collapse Of Global Trade, Rudolfs Bems, Robert C. Johnson, Kei-Mu Yi
Dartmouth Scholarship
A common view is that cross-border vertical linkages played a key role in the 2008-2009 collapse of global trade. This paper presents two accounting results from a global input-output framework that shed light on this channel. We feed in observed changes in final demand and find that trade in final goods fell by twice as much as trade in intermediate goods. Nevertheless, intermediate goods account for more than two-fifths of the trade collapse. We also find that vertical specialization trade fell 13 percent, while value-added trade fell by 10 percent, because declines in demand were largest in highly vertically-specialized sectors.
Financial Exchange Rates And International Currency Exposures, Philip R. Lane, Jay C. Shambaugh
Financial Exchange Rates And International Currency Exposures, Philip R. Lane, Jay C. Shambaugh
Dartmouth Scholarship
In order to gain a better empirical understanding of the international financial implications of currency movements, we construct a database of international currency exposures for a large panel of countries over 1990-2004. We show that trade-weighted exchange rate indices are insufficient to understand the financial impact of currency movements and that our currency measures have high explanatory power for the valuation term in net foreign asset dynamics. Exchange rate valuation shocks are sizable, not quickly reversed, and may entail substantial wealth redistributions. Further, we show that many developing countries have substantially reduced their negative foreign currency positions over the last …