Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons^™

Climate & Conflict: View Into A Warming World, Faelynn Carroll

Master's Theses

Unlike weather patterns, the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a large-scale, cyclical climate system that is now predictable for up to a year and a half in advance. ENSO cycles occur every two to seven years for approximately two years at a time, affecting large swaths of the globe with plausibly random variation in the exact location and strength of local effects. However, its systemic nature allows for aggregate effects to be accounted for by its outcomes. This research uses novel 0.5 x 0.5 degree ENSO teleconnection analysis for precipitation and temperature to uncover environmental mechanisms that underly the …

Recent Impacts Of Penny And Fixed Odds Wagering: What Does The Future Hold?, Thomas E. Lambert

Faculty and Staff Scholarship

In order hopefully to revive attendance at the tracks and/or fuel a resurgence in gambling (either in person or virtually), the last year has seen some recent wagering developments and changes at different horseracing tracks in the United States. At Ellis Park Racing and Gaming (Henderson, Kentucky) in the Evansville, Indiana metro area, penny wagering has been tried since the 2022 season to influence gambling revenues. Meanwhile, starting in 2022 Monmouth Park in New Jersey now offers “fixed odds” wagering as an alternative to parimutuel wagering for patrons who do not like the possible fluctuations in odds before a race …

Pengaruh Pendanaan Iklim Terhadap Penurunan Emisi Karbon Melalui Energi Terbarukan Di Indonesia, Noviani Evitasari, Ahmad Komarulzaman

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia

Climate change causes various negative impacts on life, thus requiring mitigation and adaptation actions. Climate finance could support the transition to a low-carbon economy globally, including in Indonesia. However, empirical research on climate finance in Indonesia is still limited. This study uses path analysis to examine the relationship between climate finance, renewable energy mix, and carbon emissions in Indonesia from 1973 to 2020. The results show that climate finance could not directly reduce carbon emissions or promote renewable energy indirectly. These findings indicate the need to reallocate climate finance to sectors that have the potential to reduce carbon in Indonesia.

Investment And The Long Swings Of Unemployment, Hian Teck Hoon, Margarita Katsimi, Gylfi Zoega

Research Collection School Of Economics

We estimate the medium-term relationship between investment and unemployment over the period 1960–2017 in 20 OECD countries, a period that includes the years of the Great Recession. While neoclassical growth theory typically assumes full employment—with no effect of investment on unemployment—and New-Keynesian models assume that such a relationship only exists in the short term at business cycle frequencies, we find that over our sample period covering more than 5 decades, a statistically significant negative relationship does exist: in decades when investment fell, unemployment increased. Panel estimation, using a measure of stock market volatility as an instrument for investment, confirms the …

Bootstrapping Two-Stage Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimators Of Time Series Models, Sílvia Gonçalves, Ulrich Hounyo, Andrew John Patton, Kevin Sheppard

Research Collection School Of Economics

This article provides results on the validity of bootstrap inference methods for two-stage quasi-maximum likelihood estimation involving time series data, such as those used for multivariate volatility models or copula-based models. Existing approaches require the researcher to compute and combine many first- and second-order derivatives, which can be difficult to do and is susceptible to error. Bootstrap methods are simpler to apply, allowing the substitution of capital (CPU cycles) for labor (keeping track of derivatives). We show the consistency of the bootstrap distribution and consistency of bootstrap variance estimators, thereby justifying the use of bootstrap percentile intervals and bootstrap standard …

Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models Based On Generalized Fisher Transformation, Han Chen, Yijie Fei, Jun Yu

Research Collection School Of Economics

Modeling multivariate stochastic volatility (MSV) can be challenging, particularly when both variances and covariances are time-varying. In this paper, we address these challenges by introducing a new MSV model based on the generalized Fisher transformation of Archakov and Hansen (2021). Our model is highly exible and ensures that the variance-covariance matrix is always positive-definite. Moreover, our approach separates the driving factors of volatilities and correlations. To conduct Bayesian analysis of the model, we use a Particle Gibbs Ancestor Sampling (PGAS) method, which facilitates Bayesian model comparison. We also extend our MSV model to cover the leverage effect in volatilities and …

Young Women In Cities, Yumi Koh, Jing Li, Yifan Wu, Junjian Yi, Hanzhe Zhang

Research Collection School Of Economics

Young women outnumber young men in cities in many countries during periods of economic growth and urbanization. This gender imbalance among young urbanites is more pronounced in larger cities. We use the gradual rollout of special economic zones across China as a quasi-experiment to establish the causes of this gender imbalance. Our analysis suggests that a key contributor is gender-differential incentives to migrate due to rural women’s higher likelihood of marrying and marrying up in cities when urbanization creates more economic opportunities and an abundance of high-income marriage-age men.

The Importance Of The First Generic Substitution: Evidence From Sweden, Aljoscha Janssen, David Granlund

Research Collection School Of Economics

We analyze changes in the willingness to substitute from prescribed pharmaceuticals to more affordable generic equivalents in response to the first experience with a substitution. Using Swedish individual-level data of prescribed and dispensed pharmaceuticals, we em-ploy a dynamic event study and an instrumental variable approach to show that an initial substitution reduces the probability of opposing subsequent substitutions by 39 percent-age points. We recommend that policy-makers target patients with a history of opposed substitution and offer additional discounts to promote substitution as long-term savings outweigh one-time costs.

The Impact Of Upzoning On Housing Construction In Auckland*, Ryan Greenaway-Mcgrevy, Peter C. B. Phillips

Research Collection School Of Economics

There is a growing debate about whether upzoning is an effective policy response to housing shortages and unaffordable housing. This paper provides empirical evidence to further inform debate by examining the various impacts of recently implemented zoning reforms on housing construction in Auckland, the largest metropolitan area in New Zealand. In 2016, the city upzoned approximately three quarters of its residential land to facilitate construction of more intensive housing. We use a quasi-experimental approach to analyze the short-run impacts of the reform on construction, allowing for potential shifts in construction from non-upzoned to upzoned areas (displacement effects) that would, if …

Seeking Better Sharpe Ratio Via Bayesian Optimization, Peng Liu

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

Developing an excellent quantitative trading strategy to obtain a high Sharpe ratio requires optimizing several parameters at the same time. Example parameters include the window length of a moving average sequence, the choice of trading instruments, and the thresholds used to generate trading signals. Simultaneously optimizing all these parameters to seek a high Sharpe ratio is a daunting and time-consuming task, partly because of the unknown mechanism determining the Sharpe ratio. This article proposes using Bayesian optimization to systematically search for the optimal parameter configuration that leads to a high Sharpe ratio. The author shows that the proposed intelligent search …

Rainy Day Funds In The Mountain West, Fy22, Issac Hernandez-Alcaraz, Maryam Raja, Caitlin J. Saladino, William E. Brown Jr.

Elections & Governance

This fact sheet examines data from “Record State Budget Reserves Buffer Against Mounting Fiscal Threats,” a 2023 Pew Charitable Trusts report on rainy day fund balances of U.S. states. Data includes information on the strength of rainy day funds and total balances for each Mountain West state: Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah.

Urban And Community Tree Cover In The Mountain West, Zachary Billot, Zachary Walusek, Annie Vong, Caitlin J. Saladino, William E. Brown Jr.

Environment

This fact sheet examines data on tree cover and impervious cover in urban land for the United States and for the five states in the Mountain West: Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah. The original report includes data for each of the 50 states and the District of Columbia

العلاقة بين نظام سعر الصرف وتأثير السياسة النقدية في الاقتصاد, بسمان كامل جواد

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

تُعد السياسة النقدية من اهم ادوات الدولة للتأثير على الاقتصاد بشكل عام من خلال التأثير على المتغيرات الاقتصادية والتي على رأسها معدل الفائدة والتضخم والسيولة غير ان السياسة النقدية لأي بلد هي محكومة باطار عام وهو نوع نظام سعر الصرف المتبع في تلك الدولة اذ ان هناك عدة أنظمة لسعر الصرف تتبعها الدول كما يصنفها صندوق النقد الدولي , لذلك جاءت هذه الدراسة الموسومة بـ (العلاقة بين نظام سعر الصرف وتأثير السياسة النقدية في الاقتصاد) لتسليط الضوء على هذه الأنظمة المختلفة وأسباب اختلافها وفاعليتها من دولة الى أخرى في التأثير على المتغيرات الاقتصادية اذ تهدف الدراسة الى معرفة هل ان …

دور التدريب في إدارة الجودة المستدامة: دراسة تحليلية في مطبعة شهداء الشرطة في وزارة الداخلية العراقية, أسامة احمد حجيل, اسيل علي مزهر

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

الهدف الأساسي في هذه الدراسة هو تسليط الضوء على تأثير برامج التدريب في ادارة الجودة المستدامة , اذ تم تمثيل عينة الدراسة في العاملين في مطبعة شهداء الشرطة الاستثمارية التابعة الى وزارة الداخلية العراقية وكان عدد العاملين (بين ضابط ،وموظف ،وشرطي ، عمال بصفة عقد )هو (170) عامل لذلك تم صياغة مشكلة الدراسة وأهدافها وفقاً لمتغيرات الدراسة ، وكذلك تم صياغة فرضياتها وفق متغيرات الدراسة ، ولغرض تحليل بيانات الدراسة تم اعتماد الاستبانة لتحليل إجابات العاملين اذ تكونت من ( 41) سؤال موزعة على ابعاد متغيرات الدراسة و كانت نسبة الاستبانات الصالحة للتحليل (92%) اذ كان عدد الاستبانات الصالحة (156) …

Understanding Telecommunication Customer Churn: Insights From Lightgbm Predictive Modelling And Shap Feature Interpretation, Ruben Sinaga, Sunu Widianto

ASEAN Marketing Journal

Manuscript Type: Research Article

Research Aims: This research is expected to contribute to scientific insights on machine learning predictions, how to understand the contribution of variables and their interpretation in the overall context of customer churn in telecommunications companies.

Design/Methodology/Approach: Data was collected from one Indonesian telecommunication company within a total of 50,000 sample data points. The data was analyzed using a machine learning algorithm to process, predict, and interpret the result based on the research scenario.

Research Findings: These findings revealed that the SHAP framework significantly impacts the churn problem, allowing the marketing team to implement the right strategy …

اثر عدم تماثل المعلومات على جودة حوكمة الشركات, باسم عبدالله كاظم, جاسم عيدان المعموري

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

المستخلص: هدف البحث التوصل الى ان التطبيق الملائم لآليات الحوكمة سيؤدي الى تخفيض مشكلة عدم تماثل المعلومات المحاسبية بين الوحدة الاقتصادية واصحاب المصلحة التي ستنعكس ايجابا على البيئة المحلية العراقية المتمثلة بقطاع المصارف التجارية. لذلك يمكن عرض مشكلة البحث من خلال التساؤل التالي: هل للتطبيق الجيد لآليات حوكمة الشركات اثر على تخفيض مشكلة عدم تماثل المعلومات المحاسبية في المصارف التجارية المدرجة في سوق العراق للأوراق المالية ؟ وذلك من خلال اختيار عينة من المصارف التجارية المدرجة في سوق العراق للأوراق المالية بلغت 13 مصرفا (المصرف التجاري العراقي، مصرف الخليج التجاري، مصرف بغداد، مصرف بابل،مصرف الاستثمار العراقي، مصرف سومر التجاري، مصرف …

اسهام الذكاء التنافسي في تحقيق الميزة التنافسية المستدامة: دراسة استطلاعية, عبدالعزيز بشار حسيب زكريا, عبدالله هاني صالح

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

يسعى البحث الحالي الى اختبار الدور الذي يمكن ان يسهم به الذكاء التنافسي في تحقيق الميزة التنافسية المستدامة من خلال دراسة استطلاعية في مجموعة شركات كرونجي للمشروبات الغازية والمياه الصحية والعصائر والالبان ومشروبات الطاقة المحدودة، اذ تمثلت المشكلة البحثية بعدم ادراك عينة البحث لأهمية استخدام الذكاء التنافسي لأجل بناء ميزة تنافسية مستدامة، وللحصول على البيانات اللازمة لاستكمال متطلبات البحث تم بناء استبانة بوصفها اداة البحث الرئيسة وزعت على عينة البحث التي تمثلت ب (56) من الافراد العاملين ممن هم بدرجة (مدير عام، مدير قسم/ وحدة، مشرفي الخطوط الانتاجية، فنيين)، وتم اعتماد البرمجيات الاحصائية (SPSS V26) و (AMOS V24) لتحليل تلك …

علاقة التغيير التنظيمي في تحسين جودة الخدمات الصحية دراسة ميدانية في مستشفى الملك خالد بتبوك, أحمد محمد حامد الجهني

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

يعد التغيير التنظيمي عملية ضرورية للتحسين والتطوير المستمر، ولذا يهدف البحث إلى تحديد الأبعاد الرئيسية في التغيير التنظيمي وتحديد علاقتها في تحسين جودة الخدمات الصحية؛ خصوصاً في ظل برنامج التحول الصحي في المملكة العربية السعودية للخصخصة. هذا ويعد التغيير -وخاصة التنظيمي منه- تحدٍ للإدارة العليا والعاملين مع ضرورة ضمان مستوى عالِ من جودة الخدمات الصحية في القطاع الحكومي، وبالتالي وجود تغيير في خصخصة القطاع سوف يتأثر دون أدنى شك إيجابياً أو سلبياً، وهذا ما ركَّز عليه البحث. وقد استُخدم في البحث أداة الاستبانة للتحليل الوصفي لعينة عشوائية عددها (٣٠١) بين إداري وصحي من مجتمع المنظمة، والذي يبلغ (١٣١٣) فردا؛ للوصول …

Home Ownership In City Core Neighborhoods, Val Gipper

Reports

This analysis employs a traditional methodology to reproduce American Community Survey (ACS) data as those data would be if neighborhoods within the city of Kalamazoo were recognized by the U.S. Census Bureau. By aggregating publicly available ACS information from recognized census geographies, rates of home ownership and home values within three city neighborhoods are estimated. Home ownership rates by race are approximated. Rates of homeownership in the Eastside neighborhood are similar to those across Kalamazoo County and the state of Michigan. While all three neighborhoods have lower average values of owned homes relative to their county and state neighbors, home …

Hubungan Karakteristik Pasien, Prosedur, Dan Penyakit Penyerta Dengan Biaya Langsung Medis Pada Pasien Rawat Inap Jantung Koroner, Rita Tri Wahyuni, Eri Witcahyo, Yennike Tri Herawati

Jurnal Ekonomi Kesehatan Indonesia

Coronary heart disease is a catastrophic disease that causes a high burden of medical costs. At Dr.Iskak Tulungagung hospital, coronary heart disease is the disease with the highest cost. The number of coronary heart patients who are hospitalized is also increasing every year. Several Previous studies have shown that the amount of direct medical costs of coronary heart patients reach more than 50% of the total costs of treatment. Therefore, it is necessary to do research on the factors associated with the increasing direct medical costs of coronary heart patients. The purpose of this study was to analyze the factors …

Dampak Guncangan Kesehatan Terhadap Konsumsi Rumah Tangga Di Indonesia: Adakah Peran Asuransi Kesehatan Dan Kredit Mikro?, Rodhiah Umaroh, Listiono Listiono

Jurnal Ekonomi Kesehatan Indonesia

This paper aims to analyze the impact of health shock on household consumption and estimate the role of health insurance and microcredit in tackling the shock impact. The primary variable used in this study as a proxy for health shock is the impairment of activity in daily living (ADL) experienced by household heads. The impact evaluation method of Propensity Score Matching (PSM) was employed to estimate the impact of health shock on Indonesian household consumption using data from Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS-5). This study's result reveals that health shock significantly reduces household consumption of both food and non-food consumption. …

Evaluasi Penerapan Pilot Project Global Budget Sebagai Sistem Pembayaran Klaim Pada Rsud Wates, Mega Handayani, Laili Rahmatul Ilmi, Zennul Mubarrok1 Mubarrok

Jurnal Ekonomi Kesehatan Indonesia

Claims payment for health services is one of the factors that affect the financial health of a hospital. Indonesia itself has experienced several changes to the existing payment system. BPJS-K started an operational study on the implementation of the INA-CBGs and the Global Budget mixed-method payment system since 2018 with three stages in five districts/city in Indonesia. This study aims to evaluate the implementation of the Global Budget system at RSUD Wates in Kulon Progo Regency that appointed as a BPJS-K pilot project. This research is qualitative research and data collection was carried out by studying documents and interviews. As …

Faktor Yang Berkontribusi Pada Keikusertaan Sektor Formal Dalam Skema Asuransi Kesehatan Sosial: Narrative Review, Haerawati Idris

Jurnal Ekonomi Kesehatan Indonesia

Countries worldwide have been working towards achieving universal health coverage target, including countries with low and middle incomes. Even though it is mandatory, the formal sector does not automatically become a participant in social health insurance. This study describes the factors contributing to formal sector participation in social health insurance. This study uses a narrative review approach. This study focuses on the factors that contribute to the participation of the formal sector in social health insurance schemes. We identified articles selected according to the inclusion criteria covering the formal sector, English and Indonesian, adopting social insurance, and open access articles. …

Analisis Kinerja Fktp Pemerintah Di Era Jkn Dengan Metode Balanced Scorecard: Studi Kasus Di Puskesmas Bandar Baru Tahun 2022, Hanifah Hasnur

Jurnal Ekonomi Kesehatan Indonesia

The health efforts at health facilities have entered a new phase in the current era of Indonesian National Health Insurance (NHI). The Bandar Baru Health Center (Puskesmas), one of the largest Puskesmas in Pidie Regency with the most significant income from the NHI, is required to have quality health services, which at the same time also needs to be efficient in using its resources. This study uses the Balanced Scorecard method to determine the performance of the government's FKTP, in this case, the Bandar Baru Health Center, in the current NHI era. This quantitative descriptive research collects primary and secondary …

The Potential Of Economic Loss Due To Stunting In Indonesia, Esty Asriyana Suryana

Jurnal Ekonomi Kesehatan Indonesia

Stunting cases continue to increase, along with the high risk of undernutrition, the increasing prevalence of malnutrition, and decreasing productivity. If this condition is not handled correctly, it can affect Indonesia's development performance, inequality, and poverty. Stunting can hinder economic growth and labor productivity, affecting 11% of GDP (gross domestic product) and reducing the income of adult workers by up to 20%. Based on this, it is necessary to make prevention and control efforts in nutrition intervention activities an economic investment. Therefore, this study estimates the economic potential lost due to stunting in children under five. This descriptive study is …

Korelasi Faktor Risiko Usia Pasien Dengan Kasus Dan Biaya Rawat Inap Penyakit Jantung Di Indonesia (Analisis Serial Waktu Program Jaminan Kesehatan Nasional 2015-2021), Syarif Rahman Hasibuan, Sabarinah Prasetyo, Ede Surya Darmawan

Jurnal Ekonomi Kesehatan Indonesia

This study analyzes the correlation between patient age with hospitalization cases and cost in Indonesia. The design of this study was cross-sectional quantitative using open sources data from Indonesia National Health Insurance Agency (BPJS Kesehatan). The sample units in this study were hospitalization cases from 2015-2021 of National Health Insurance program member. Sample size of this study are 43,921 that weighted to get 3,901,373 hospitalization cases. This study show an uptrend in cases and the total cost of cardiovascular disease hospitalization in 2015-2019, while it show downtrend during the Covid-19 pandemic. The average cost of cardiovascular disease hospitalization per case …

Remembering The Ladies! A Decision-Making Activity For Teaching The American Revolution, Presley Shilling, Jeffrey Byford, Deanna Owens-Mosby

The Councilor: A National Journal of the Social Studies

This content-centered American Revolution activity encourages students to utilize Robert Stahl’s rank-order approach to promote decision-making in the social studies classroom. The incorporation of women’s contributions in the years leading up to the American Revolution influences students to analyze various perspectives surrounding this historical event. Employing Robert Stahl’s four phases of decision-making, students examine a situation and rank-order the efforts of the daughters of liberty, while investigating the political, economic, and social causes of the American Revolution. Students, individually or in groups, determine which of the seven solutions will be most effective in undermining the British and King George III’s …

Creating Law And Order: A Content-Centered Manifest Destiny Activity, Presley Shilling, Jeffrey Byford, Alisha Milam

The Councilor: A National Journal of the Social Studies

This content activity shows how Robert Stahl’s negotiation activity approach can promote decision-making in the social studies classroom. The effects of the activity on students’ ability to replicate the actions of settlers taking the journey to the western territories in search of gold. Incorporating Robert Stahl’s four decision-making phases, students negotiate social, political, and economic issues associated with the mining town of Bodie, California. In doing so, students must, individually or in small groups, decide and prioritize a series of proposals to better the living conditions, economic struggles, and social problems that have plagued Bodie for some time.

Could Information About Honey Fraud Increase Consumers’ Valuation Of Domestic Honey In The Face Of Rising Honey Imports In The U.S. And Eu?, Christopher Gustafson, Antoine Champetier

Yeutter Institute International Trade Policy Review

The consumption of honey, which has been sought out by humans for use as food and medicine for thousands of years, has been increasing in recent decades with rising incomes and attention paid to food choices and health. In two decades, honey consumption in the U.S. has risen from 1.2 pound per capita per year to 1.9 in 2021. In the European Union, per capita consumption rose from 1.5 to 2.1 pounds per capita over the same period. While this might appear to be a boon for U.S. and EU beekeepers, honey is a heavily traded product, and imports from …

Utilizing Nebraska Case Farms To Analyze Farm-Level Income And Policy Changes, Tatum R. Brunkow, Bradley D. Lubben, Glennis Mcmclure

Cornhusker Economics

Agricultural producers, professionals, and policymakers often look to long-run projections for the agricultural industry as they make business and policy decisions. They can look to three different baseline projections that are produced by the United States Department of Agriculture, the Food & Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI), and the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). These baselines provide a 10-year outlook for the agricultural industry from prices and inventories for crops and livestock to international markets and income and expenditures. While this information provides insight into what direction agriculture may move, it can be hard to see the impact at the state …