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Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons

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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

Alternative Economic Indicators, C. James Hueng, Editor Aug 2020

Alternative Economic Indicators, C. James Hueng, Editor

Upjohn Press

Policymakers and business practitioners are eager to gain access to reliable information on the state of the economy for timely decision making. More so now than ever. Traditional economic indicators have been criticized for delayed reporting, out-of-date methodology, and neglecting some aspects of the economy. Recent advances in economic theory, econometrics, and information technology have fueled research in building broader, more accurate, and higher-frequency economic indicators. This volume contains contributions from a group of prominent economists who address alternative economic indicators, including indicators in the financial market, indicators for business cycles, and indicators of economic uncertainty.


Predicting The Federal Funds Rate, Danielle Herzberg May 2020

Predicting The Federal Funds Rate, Danielle Herzberg

Undergraduate Theses and Capstone Projects

This thesis examines various economic indicators to select those that are the most significant in a predictive model of the Effective Federal Funds Rate. Three different statistical models were built to show how monetary policy changed over time. These three models frame the last economic downturns in the United States; the tech bubble, the housing bubble, and the Great Recession. Many iterations of statistical regressions were conducted in order to achieve the final three models that highlight variables with the highest levels of significance. It is important to note the economic data has high levels of autocorrelation, and that these …


Health Of The Economy And Its Measuring Indicators, J. Sugantham Parimala Ph.D. Jan 2020

Health Of The Economy And Its Measuring Indicators, J. Sugantham Parimala Ph.D.

International Review of Business and Economics

Health of the economy is an integral part of development and it is determined by the socio – economic factors like education, employment, population growth, income and environment. If the economy is not healthy internally, then it will not be able to interact effectively externally. Economists use a variety of indicators to assess the performance of the economy at a given time. By looking at changes in GDP we can see whether the economy is growing. GDP doesn’t necessarily tell us much about the state of the economy. But change in GDP does. If GDP goes up, the economy is …