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Full-Text Articles in Meteorology
Predictability Of African Easterly Waves In An Operational Ensemble Prediction System, Travis J. Elless
Predictability Of African Easterly Waves In An Operational Ensemble Prediction System, Travis J. Elless
Legacy Theses & Dissertations (2009 - 2024)
African easterly waves (AEWs) are the primary synoptic-scale weather feature found in sub-Saharan Africa during boreal summer. Many studies have used observations and idealized models to highlight processes associated with the movement and growth of AEWs, yet there have been few studies documenting the performance of operational ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) for these phenomena. Here, the predictability of AEWs in ECMWF EPS forecasts is assessed during two periods of enhanced AEW activity (July--September 2007--2009 and 2011--2013). Specifically, AEW predictability is analyzed through three main areas of focus: 1) verifying AEW position and intensity forecasts, and assessing their relation to convective …
Interactions Between African Easterly Waves And Moist Convection, Matthew Adam Janiga
Interactions Between African Easterly Waves And Moist Convection, Matthew Adam Janiga
Legacy Theses & Dissertations (2009 - 2024)
African easterly waves (AEWs) over tropical Africa and the East Atlantic influence and are themselves influenced by moist convection. Data from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite, reanalyses, and in-situ observations are used to examine both directions of this two-way interaction.