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Activity Based Traffic Indicator System For Monitoring The Covid-19 Pandemic, Justin Junsay, Aaron Joaquin Lebumfacil, Ivan George Tarun, William Emmanuel S. Yu Jan 2021

Activity Based Traffic Indicator System For Monitoring The Covid-19 Pandemic, Justin Junsay, Aaron Joaquin Lebumfacil, Ivan George Tarun, William Emmanuel S. Yu

Department of Information Systems & Computer Science Faculty Publications

This study describes an activity based traffic indicator system to provide information for COVID-19 pandemic management. The activity based traffic indicator system does this by utilizing a social probability model based on the birthday paradox to determine the exposure risk, the probability of meeting someone infected (PoMSI). COVID-19 data, particularly the 7-day moving average of the daily growth rate of cases (7-DMA of DGR) and cumulative confirmed cases of next week covering a period from April to September 2020, were then used to test PoMSI using Pearson correlation to verify whether it can be used as a factor for the …