Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Investigation Into A Practical Application Of Reinforcement Learning For The Stock Market, Philip Traxler, Sadik Aman, Will Rogers, Allyn Okun

SMU Data Science Review

A major problem of the financial industry is the ability to adapt their trading strategies at the same rate the market evolves. This paper proposes a solution using existing Reinforcement Learning libraries to help find new strategies at a practical scale. Using a wide domain of ticker symbols, an algorithm is trained in an environment that better represents reality. The supplied decision-making algorithm is tested using recorded data from the U.S stock market from 2000 through 2022. The results of this research show that existing techniques are statistically better than making decisions at random. With this result, this research shows …

A Prompt Engineering Approach To Creating Automated Commentary For Microsoft Self-Help Documentation Metric Reports Using Chatgpt, Ryan Herrin, Luke Stodgel, Brian Raffety

SMU Data Science Review

Microsoft collects an immense amount of data from the users of their product-self-help documentation. Employees use this data to identify these self-help articles' performance trends and measure their impact on business Key Performance Indicators (KPIs). Microsoft uses various tools like Power BI and Python to analyze this data. The problem is that their analysis and findings are summarized manually. Therefore, this research will improve upon their current analysis methods by applying the latest prompt engineering practices and the power of ChatGPT's large language models (LLMs). Using VBA code, Microsoft Excel, and the ChatGPT API as an Excel add-in, this research …

Traditional Vs Machine Learning Approaches: A Comparison Of Time Series Modeling Methods, Miguel E. Bonilla Jr., Jason Mcdonald, Tamas Toth, Bivin Sadler

SMU Data Science Review

In recent years, various new Machine Learning and Deep Learning algorithms have been introduced, claiming to offer better performance than traditional statistical approaches when forecasting time series. Studies seeking evidence to support the usage of ML/DL over statistical approaches have been limited to comparing the forecasting performance of univariate, linear time series data. This research compares the performance of traditional statistical-based and ML/DL methods for forecasting multivariate and nonlinear time series.

The Role Of Machine Learning In Improved Functionality Of Lower Limb Prostheses, Joaquin Dominguez, Richard Kim, Robert Slater

SMU Data Science Review

Lower-limb amputations can cause a plethora of obstacles that lead to a lower quality of life. Implementing machine learning techniques means advanced prosthetics can contribute to facilitating the lives of those that live with lower-limb amputations. Using the publicly available HuGaDB data set, the current study investigates several classification models (random forest, neural network, and Vowpal Wabbit) to predict the locomotive intentions of individuals using lower-limb prostheses. The results of this study show that the neural network model yielded the highest accuracy, comparable precision, and recall scores to the other models. However, the Vowpal Wabbit model's advantage in speed may …

Classification Of Pixel Tracks To Improve Track Reconstruction From Proton-Proton Collisions, Kebur Fantahun, Jobin Joseph, Halle Purdom, Nibhrat Lohia

SMU Data Science Review

In this paper, machine learning techniques are used to reconstruct particle collision pathways. CERN (Conseil européen pour la recherche nucléaire) uses a massive underground particle collider, called the Large Hadron Collider or LHC, to produce particle collisions at extremely high speeds. There are several layers of detectors in the collider that track the pathways of particles as they collide. The data produced from collisions contains an extraneous amount of background noise, i.e., decays from known particle collisions produce fake signal. Particularly, in the first layer of the detector, the pixel tracker, there is an overwhelming amount of background noise that …

A Machine Learning Approach To Revenue Generation Within The Professional Hair Care Industry, Alexander K. Sepenu, Linda Eliasen

SMU Data Science Review

The cosmetic and beauty industry continues to grow and evolve to satisfy its patrons. In the United States, the industry is heavily science-driven, innovative, and fast-paced, suggesting that to remain productive and profitable, companies must seek smart alternatives to their current modus operandi or risk losing out on this multi-billion-dollar industry to fierce competition. In this paper, the authors seek to utilize machine learning models such as clustering and regression to improve the efficiency of current sales and customer segmentation models to help HairCo (pseudonym for confidentiality), a professional hair products manufacturer, strategize their marketing and sales efforts for revenue …

Analysis Of The Electric Power Outage Data And Prediction Of Electric Power Outage For Major Metropolitan Areas In Texas Using Machine Learning And Time Series Methods, Renfeng Wang, Venkata Leela 'Mg' Vanga, Zachary B. Zaiken, Jonathan Bennett

SMU Data Science Review

With growing energy usage, power outages affect millions of households. This case study focuses on gathering power outage historical data, modifying the data to attach weather attributes, and gathering ERCOT energy market conditions for Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston metropolitan areas of Texas. The transformed data is then analyzed using machine learning algorithms including, but not limited to, Regression, Random Forests and XGBoost to consider current weather and ERCOT features and predict power outage percentage for locations. The transformed data is also trained using time series models and serially correlated models including Autoregression and Vector Autoregression. This study also focuses on …

Identifying Vacant Lots To Reduce Violent Crime In Dallas, Texas, Laura Lazarescou, Andrew Mejia, Tina Pai, Sabrina Purvis, Robert Slater, Owen Wilson-Chavez

SMU Data Science Review

Vacant lots have been associated with community violence for many years. Researchers have confirmed a positive correlation between vacant lots and vacant buildings with increased violence in urban and rural geographies. However, identifying vacant lots has been a challenge, and modeling methods were largely manual and time-intensive. This prevented cities and non-profit organizations from acting on the information since it was expensive and high-risk to develop remediation programs without clearly understanding where or how many vacant lots existed.

The primary objective of this study was to provide a predictive model that accelerates and improves the accuracy of prior land classification …

Analyzing Empirical Quality Metrics Of Deep Learning Models For Antimicrobial Resistance, Huy H. Nguyen, Sanjay Pillay, Allison Roderick, Hao Wang, John Santerre

SMU Data Science Review

Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR) is a growing concern in the medical field. Over-prescription of antibiotics as well as bacterial mutations have caused some once lifesaving drugs to become ineffective against bacteria. However, the problem of AMR might be addressed using Machine Learning (ML) thanks to increased availability of genomic data and large computing resources. The Pathosystems Resource Integration Center (PATRIC) has genomic data of various bacterial genera with sample isolates that are either resistant or susceptible to certain antibiotics. Past research has used this database to use ML algorithms to model AMR with successful results, including accuracies over 80%. To better …

Analysis Of Individual Player Performances And Their Effect On Winning In College Soccer, Angelo Bravo, Thomas Karba, Sean Mcwhirter, Billy Nayden

SMU Data Science Review

This study describes the process of modernizing the approach of the Southern Methodist University (SMU) Men's Soccer coaching staff through the use of location and tracking data from their matches in the 2019 season. This study utilizes a variety of modeling and analysis techniques to explore and categorize the data and use it to evaluate the types of plays that are most often correlated with victories. This study's contribution to college soccer analytics includes the implementation of a model to determine individual players' performance, the production of team-level metrics, and visualizations to increase the efficiency of the coaching staff's efforts. …

A Machine Learning Method Of Determining Causal Inference Applied To Shifts In Voting Preferences Between 2012-2016, Jaclyn A. Coate, Reagan Meagher, Megan Riley, John Santerre

SMU Data Science Review

This research investigates the application of machine learning techniques to assist in the execution of a synthetic control model. This model was performed to analyze counties within the United States that showed a voter shift from a majority of Democratic voter share to Republican between the 2012 and 2016 election cycles. The following study applies two steps of machine learning analysis. The first, which is the treatment discovery process, leverages a Random Forest to evaluate feature importance. The second step was the execution of the synthetic control model with two predictor variable lists. The first was the parametric method: …

Automated Analysis Of Rfps Using Natural Language Processing (Nlp) For The Technology Domain, Sterling Beason, William Hinton, Yousri A. Salamah, Jordan Salsman

SMU Data Science Review

Much progress has been made in text analysis, specifically within the statistical domain of Term Frequency (TF) and Inverse Document Frequency (IDF). However, there is much room for improvement especially within the area of discovering Emerging Trends. Emerging Trend Detection Systems (ETDS) depend on ingesting a collection of textual data and TF/IDF to identify new or up-trending topics within the Corpus. However, the tremendous rate of change and the amount of digital information presents a challenge that makes it almost impossible for a human expert to spot emerging trends without relying on an automated ETD system. Since the U.S. Government …

Cover Song Identification - A Novel Stem-Based Approach To Improve Song-To-Song Similarity Measurements, Lavonnia Newman, Dhyan Shah, Chandler Vaughn, Faizan Javed

SMU Data Science Review

Music is incorporated into our daily lives whether intentional or unintentional. It evokes responses and behavior so much so there is an entire study dedicated to the psychology of music. Music creates the mood for dancing, exercising, creative thought or even relaxation. It is a powerful tool that can be used in various venues and through advertisements to influence and guide human reactions. Music is also often "borrowed" in the industry today. The practices of sampling and remixing music in the digital age have made cover song identification an active area of research. While most of this research is focused …

Reducing Age Bias In Machine Learning: An Algorithmic Approach, Adriana Solange Garcia De Alford, Steven K. Hayden, Nicole Wittlin, Amy Atwood

SMU Data Science Review

In this paper, we study the prevalence of bias in machine learning; we explore the life cycle phases where bias is potentially introduced into a machine learning model; and lastly, we present how adversarial learning can be leveraged to measure unwanted bias and unfair behavior from a machine learning algorithm. This study focuses particularly on the topics of age bias in predicting employee attrition and presents a practical approach for how adversarial learning can be successful in mitigating age bias. To measure bias, we calculate group fairness metrics across five-year age groups and evaluate fairness between a baseline predictive model …

Forecasting Spare Parts Sporadic Demand Using Traditional Methods And Machine Learning - A Comparative Study, Bhuvana Adur Kannan, Ganesh Kodi, Oscar Padilla, Dough Gray, Barry C. Smith

SMU Data Science Review

Sporadic demand presents a particular challenge to traditional time forecasting methods. In the past 50 years, there has been developments, such as, the Croston Model [3], which has improved forecast performance. With the rise of Machine Learning (ML) there is abundant research in the field of applying ML algorithms to predict sporadic demand [8][12][9]. However, most existing research has analyzed this problem from the demand side [17]. In this paper, we tackle this predictive analytics challenge from the supply side. We perform a comparative analysis utilizing a spare parts demand dataset from an Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM). Since traditional measurements …

Compressed Dna Representation For Efficient Amr Classification, John Partee, Robert Hazell, Anjli Solsi, John Santerre

SMU Data Science Review

In this paper, we explore a representation methodology for the compression of DNA isolates. Using lossless string compression via tokenization of frequently repeated segments of DNA, we reduce the length of the isolates to be counted as k-mers for classification. With this new representation, we apply a previously established feature sampling method to dramatically reduce the feature space. In understanding the genetic diversity, we also look at conserving biological function across these spaces. Using a random forest model we were able to predict the resistance or susceptibility of bacteria with 85-90\% accuracy, with a 30-50\% reduction in overall isolate length, …

Predicting Wind Turbine Blade Erosion Using Machine Learning, Casey Martinez, Festus Asare Yeboah, Scott Herford, Matt Brzezinski, Viswanath Puttagunta

SMU Data Science Review

Using time-series data and turbine blade inspection assessments, we present a classification model in order to predict remaining turbine blade life in wind turbines. Capturing the kinetic energy of wind requires complex mechanical systems, which require sophisticated maintenance and planning strategies. There are many traditional approaches to monitoring the internal gearbox and generator, but the condition of turbine blades can be difficult to measure and access. Accurate and cost- effective estimates of turbine blade life cycles will drive optimal investments in repairs and improve overall performance. These measures will drive down costs as well as provide cheap and clean electricity …

Repairing Landsat Satellite Imagery Using Deep Machine Learning Techniques, Griffin J. Lane, Patricia Goresen, Robert Slater

SMU Data Science Review

Satellite Imagery is one of the most widely used sources to analyze geographic features and environments in the world. The data gathered from satellites are used to quantify many vital problems facing our society, such as the impact of natural disasters, shore erosion, rising water levels, and urban growth rates. In this paper, we construct machine learning and deep learning algorithms for repairing anomalies in the Landsat satellite imagery data which arise for various reasons ranging from cloud obstruction to satellite malfunctions. The accuracy of GIS data is crucial to ensuring the models produced from such data are as close …

Visualization And Machine Learning Techniques For Nasa’S Em-1 Big Data Problem, Antonio P. Garza Iii, Jose Quinonez, Misael Santana, Nibhrat Lohia

SMU Data Science Review

In this paper, we help NASA solve three Exploration Mission-1 (EM-1) challenges: data storage, computation time, and visualization of complex data. NASA is studying one year of trajectory data to determine available launch opportunities (about 90TBs of data). We improve data storage by introducing a cloud-based solution that provides elasticity and server upgrades. This migration will save $120k in infrastructure costs every four years, and potentially avoid schedule slips. Additionally, it increases computational efficiency by 125%. We further enhance computation via machine learning techniques that use the classic orbital elements to predict valid trajectories. Our machine learning model decreases trajectory …

Machine Learning Pipeline For Exoplanet Classification, George Clayton Sturrock, Brychan Manry, Sohail Rafiqi

SMU Data Science Review

Planet identification has typically been a tasked performed exclusively by teams of astronomers and astrophysicists using methods and tools accessible only to those with years of academic education and training. NASA’s Exoplanet Exploration program has introduced modern satellites capable of capturing a vast array of data regarding celestial objects of interest to assist with researching these objects. The availability of satellite data has opened up the task of planet identification to individuals capable of writing and interpreting machine learning models. In this study, several classification models and datasets are utilized to assign a probability of an observation being an exoplanet. …

An Evaluation Of Training Size Impact On Validation Accuracy For Optimized Convolutional Neural Networks, Jostein Barry-Straume, Adam Tschannen, Daniel W. Engels, Edward Fine

SMU Data Science Review

In this paper, we present an evaluation of training size impact on validation accuracy for an optimized Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). CNNs are currently the state-of-the-art architecture for object classification tasks. We used Amazon’s machine learning ecosystem to train and test 648 models to find the optimal hyperparameters with which to apply a CNN towards the Fashion-MNIST (Mixed National Institute of Standards and Technology) dataset. We were able to realize a validation accuracy of 90% by using only 40% of the original data. We found that hidden layers appear to have had zero impact on validation accuracy, whereas the neural …

Comparisons Of Performance Between Quantum And Classical Machine Learning, Christopher Havenstein, Damarcus Thomas, Swami Chandrasekaran

SMU Data Science Review

In this paper, we present a performance comparison of machine learning algorithms executed on traditional and quantum computers. Quantum computing has potential of achieving incredible results for certain types of problems, and we explore if it can be applied to machine learning. First, we identified quantum machine learning algorithms with reproducible code and had classical machine learning counterparts. Then, we found relevant data sets with which we tested the comparable quantum and classical machine learning algorithm's performance. We evaluated performance with algorithm execution time and accuracy. We found that quantum variational support vector machines in some cases had higher accuracy …

Comparative Study Of Sentiment Analysis With Product Reviews Using Machine Learning And Lexicon-Based Approaches, Heidi Nguyen, Aravind Veluchamy, Mamadou Diop, Rashed Iqbal

SMU Data Science Review

In this paper, we present a comparative study of text sentiment classification models using term frequency inverse document frequency vectorization in both supervised machine learning and lexicon-based techniques. There have been multiple promising machine learning and lexicon-based techniques, but the relative goodness of each approach on specific types of problems is not well understood. In order to offer researchers comprehensive insights, we compare a total of six algorithms to each other. The three machine learning algorithms are: Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Gradient Boosting. The three lexicon-based algorithms are: Valence Aware Dictionary and Sentiment Reasoner (VADER), Pattern, …

Improving Vix Futures Forecasts Using Machine Learning Methods, James Hosker, Slobodan Djurdjevic, Hieu Nguyen, Robert Slater

SMU Data Science Review

The problem of forecasting market volatility is a difficult task for most fund managers. Volatility forecasts are used for risk management, alpha (risk) trading, and the reduction of trading friction. Improving the forecasts of future market volatility assists fund managers in adding or reducing risk in their portfolios as well as in increasing hedges to protect their portfolios in anticipation of a market sell-off event. Our analysis compares three existing financial models that forecast future market volatility using the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) to six machine/deep learning supervised regression methods. This analysis determines which models provide best …

Overcoming Small Data Limitations In Heart Disease Prediction By Using Surrogate Data, Alfeo Sabay, Laurie Harris, Vivek Bejugama, Karen Jaceldo-Siegl

SMU Data Science Review

In this paper, we present a heart disease prediction use case showing how synthetic data can be used to address privacy concerns and overcome constraints inherent in small medical research data sets. While advanced machine learning algorithms, such as neural networks models, can be implemented to improve prediction accuracy, these require very large data sets which are often not available in medical or clinical research. We examine the use of surrogate data sets comprised of synthetic observations for modeling heart disease prediction. We generate surrogate data, based on the characteristics of original observations, and compare prediction accuracy results achieved from …

Machine Learning To Predict College Course Success, Anthony R.Y. Dalton, Justin Beer, Sriharshasai Kommanapalli, James S. Lanich Ph.D.

SMU Data Science Review

In this paper, we present an analysis of the predictive ability of machine learning on the success of students in college courses in a California Community College. The California Legislature passed assembly bill 705 in order to place students in non-remedial coursework, based on high school transcripts, to increase college completion. We utilize machine learning methods on de-identified student high school transcript data to create predictive algorithms on whether or not the student will be successful in college-level English and Mathematics coursework. To satisfy the bill’s requirements, we first use exploratory data analysis on applicable transcript variables. Then we use …

Walknet: A Deep Learning Approach To Improving Sidewalk Quality And Accessibility, Andrew Abbott, Alex Deshowitz, Dennis Murray, Eric C. Larson

SMU Data Science Review

This paper proposes a framework for optimizing allocation of infrastructure spending on sidewalk improvement and allowing planners to focus their budgets on the areas in the most need. In this research, we identify curb ramps from Google Street View images using traditional machine learning and deep learning methods. Our convolutional neural network approach achieved an 83% accuracy and high level of precision when classifying curb cuts. We found that as the model received more data, the accuracy increased, which with the continued collection of crowdsourced labeling of curb cuts will increase the model’s classification power. We further investigated a model …