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Statistics and Probability

2011

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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Screening Designs That Minimize Model Dependence, Kenneth P. Fairchild Dec 2011

Screening Designs That Minimize Model Dependence, Kenneth P. Fairchild

Theses and Dissertations

When approaching a new research problem, we often use screening designs to determine which factors are worth exploring in more detail. Before exploring a problem, we don't know which factors are important. When examining a large number of factors, it is likely that only a handful are significant and that even fewer two-factor interactions will be significant. If there are important interactions, it is likely that they are connected with the handful of significant main effects. Since we don't know beforehand which factors are significant, we want to choose a design that gives us the highest probability a priori of …


If And How Many 'Races'? The Application Of Mixture Modeling To World-Wide Human Craniometric Variation, Bridget Frances Beatrice Algee-Hewitt Dec 2011

If And How Many 'Races'? The Application Of Mixture Modeling To World-Wide Human Craniometric Variation, Bridget Frances Beatrice Algee-Hewitt

Doctoral Dissertations

Studies in human cranial variation are extensive and widely discussed. While skeletal biologists continue to focus on questions of biological distance and population history, group-specific knowledge is being increasingly used for human identification in medico-legal contexts. The importance of this research has been often overshadowed by both philosophic and methodological concerns. Many analyses have been constrained in their scope by the limited availability of representative samples and readily criticized for adopting statistical techniques that require user-guidance and a priori information. A multi-part project is presented here that implements model-based clustering as an alternative approach for population studies using craniometric traits. …


Geographic Disparities Associated With Stroke And Myocardial Infarction In East Tennessee, Ashley Pedigo Golden Dec 2011

Geographic Disparities Associated With Stroke And Myocardial Infarction In East Tennessee, Ashley Pedigo Golden

Doctoral Dissertations

Stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) are serious conditions whose burdens vary by socio-demographic and geographic factors. Although several studies have investigated and identified disparities in burdens of these conditions at the county and state levels, little is known regarding their geographic epidemiology at the neighborhood level. Both conditions require emergency treatments and therefore timely geographic accessibility to appropriate care is critical. Investigation of disparities in geographic accessibility to stroke and MI care and the role of Emergency Medical Services (EMS) in reducing treatment delays are vital in improving health outcomes. Therefore, the objectives of this work were to: (i) classify …


Energy Functional For Nuclear Masses, Michael Giovanni Bertolli Dec 2011

Energy Functional For Nuclear Masses, Michael Giovanni Bertolli

Doctoral Dissertations

An energy functional is formulated for mass calculations of nuclei across the nuclear chart with major-shell occupations as the relevant degrees of freedom. The functional is based on Hohenberg-Kohn theory. Motivation for its form comes from both phenomenology and relevant microscopic systems, such as the three-level Lipkin Model. A global fit of the 17-parameter functional to nuclear masses yields a root- mean-square deviation of χ[chi] = 1.31 MeV, on the order of other mass models. The construction of the energy functional includes the development of a systematic method for selecting and testing possible functional terms. Nuclear radii are computed within …


An Analysis Of Breast Cancer Metastasis, Jennifer Lee Gildner Dec 2011

An Analysis Of Breast Cancer Metastasis, Jennifer Lee Gildner

Statistics

The main objective of this paper is to evaluate possible socio-economic status, clinical, and treatment associations with the occurrence of distant metastasis in Stage I – III breast cancer patients. After analysis in a logistic regression model, four variables were found to be significant with occurrence of distant metastases. These variables were: education, disease group (Triple-negative, Her2Neu-positive and Luminal A), stage at diagnosis, and concordance to chemotherapy based on the NCCN guidelines. Patients without a college degree were found to be more likely to develop distant metastasis than those with a college degree (OR = 2.46 95% CI 1.44 – …


The Role Of Cell Sterilization In Population Based Studies Of Radiogenic Second Cancers Following Radiation Therapy, Annelise Giebeler Dec 2011

The Role Of Cell Sterilization In Population Based Studies Of Radiogenic Second Cancers Following Radiation Therapy, Annelise Giebeler

Dissertations & Theses (Open Access)

Advances in radiotherapy have generated increased interest in comparative studies of treatment techniques and their effectiveness. In this respect, pediatric patients are of specific interest because of their sensitivity to radiation induced second cancers. However, due to the rarity of childhood cancers and the long latency of second cancers, large sample sizes are unavailable for the epidemiological study of contemporary radiotherapy treatments. Additionally, when specific treatments are considered, such as proton therapy, sample sizes are further reduced due to the rareness of such treatments. We propose a method to improve statistical power in micro clinical trials. Specifically, we use a …


Development Of A Bayesian Joint Logistic Model To Better Study The Association Between Haplotypes And Disease, Anthony M. D'Amelio Jr Dec 2011

Development Of A Bayesian Joint Logistic Model To Better Study The Association Between Haplotypes And Disease, Anthony M. D'Amelio Jr

Dissertations & Theses (Open Access)

In 2011, there will be an estimated 1,596,670 new cancer cases and 571,950 cancer-related deaths in the US. With the ever-increasing applications of cancer genetics in epidemiology, there is great potential to identify genetic risk factors that would help identify individuals with increased genetic susceptibility to cancer, which could be used to develop interventions or targeted therapies that could hopefully reduce cancer risk and mortality.

In this dissertation, I propose to develop a new statistical method to evaluate the role of haplotypes in cancer susceptibility and development. This model will be flexible enough to handle not only haplotypes of any …


Automating Construction And Selection Of A Neural Network Using Stochastic Optimization, Jason Lee Hurt Dec 2011

Automating Construction And Selection Of A Neural Network Using Stochastic Optimization, Jason Lee Hurt

UNLV Theses, Dissertations, Professional Papers, and Capstones

An artificial neural network can be used to solve various statistical problems by approximating a function that provides a mapping from input to output data. No universal method exists for architecting an optimal neural network. Training one with a low error rate is often a manual process requiring the programmer to have specialized knowledge of the domain for the problem at hand.

A distributed architecture is proposed and implemented for generating a neural network capable of solving a particular problem without specialized knowledge of the problem domain. The only knowledge the application needs is a training set that the network …


Moderate Deviation Of Intersection Of Ranges Of Random Walks In The Stable Case, Justin Anthony Grieves Dec 2011

Moderate Deviation Of Intersection Of Ranges Of Random Walks In The Stable Case, Justin Anthony Grieves

Doctoral Dissertations

Given p independent, symmetric random walks on d-dimensional integer lattice that are the domain of attraction for a stable distribution, we calculate the moderate deviation of the intersection of ranges of the random walks in the case where the walks intersect infinitely often as time goes to infinity. That is to say, we establish a weak law convergence of intersection of ranges to intersection local time of stable processes and use this convergence as a link to establish deviation results.


Real Options Models In Real Estate, Jin Won Choi Nov 2011

Real Options Models In Real Estate, Jin Won Choi

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Our aim in this thesis is to investigate the usefulness of real options analysis, taking case studies of problems in real estate. In the realm of real estate, we consider the following three problems. First, we consider the valuation and usefulness of presale contracts of condominiums, which can be viewed as similar to call options on condominiums. Secondly, we consider the valuation of farm land from the perspective of land developers, who may think of farm land as being similar to call options on subdivision lots. Third, we consider the valuation of opportunities to install solar panels on properties, in …


Generalized Exponential Models With Applications, Iman Mabrouk Nov 2011

Generalized Exponential Models With Applications, Iman Mabrouk

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

We introduce a generalized exponential model whose exact moments and normalizing constant are obtained in terms of Meijer’s generalized hypergeometric G-function. Actually, several widely utilized statistical distributions such as the gamma, Weibull and half-normal constitute particular cases thereof. The generalized inverse Gaussian distribution, which was popularized in the late seventies by Ole Barndor_Neilsen, is also extended by incorporating an additional parameter in its density function, the moments of the resulting distribution being expressed in terms of Bessel functions. A number of data sets were then fitted with diverse exponential-type models for comparison purposes. Additionally, it is shown that the …


Advances In Graph-Cut Optimization: Multi-Surface Models, Label Costs, And Hierarchical Costs, Andrew T. Delong Sep 2011

Advances In Graph-Cut Optimization: Multi-Surface Models, Label Costs, And Hierarchical Costs, Andrew T. Delong

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Computer vision is full of problems that are elegantly expressed in terms of mathematical optimization, or energy minimization. This is particularly true of "low-level" inference problems such as cleaning up noisy signals, clustering and classifying data, or estimating 3D points from images. Energies let us state each problem as a clear, precise objective function. Minimizing the correct energy would, hypothetically, yield a good solution to the corresponding problem. Unfortunately, even for low-level problems we are confronted by energies that are computationally hard—often NP-hard—to minimize. As a consequence, a rather large portion of computer vision research is dedicated to proposing …


Tree-Based Methods And A Mixed Ridge Estimator For Analyzing Longitudinal Data With Correlated Predictors, Melissa Nicole Eliot Sep 2011

Tree-Based Methods And A Mixed Ridge Estimator For Analyzing Longitudinal Data With Correlated Predictors, Melissa Nicole Eliot

Open Access Dissertations

Due to recent advances in technology that facilitate acquisition of multi-parameter defined phenotypes, new opportunities have arisen for predicting patient outcomes based on individual specific cell subset changes. The data resulting from these trials can be a challenge to analyze, as predictors may be highly correlated with each other or related to outcome within levels of other predictor variables. As a result, applying traditional methods like simple linear models and univariate approaches such as odds ratios may be insufficient. In this dissertation, we describe potential solutions including tree-based methods, ridge regression, mixed modeling, and a new estimator called a mixed …


Spatial Evolutionary Game Theory: Deterministic Approximations, Decompositions, And Hierarchical Multi-Scale Models, Sung-Ha Hwang Sep 2011

Spatial Evolutionary Game Theory: Deterministic Approximations, Decompositions, And Hierarchical Multi-Scale Models, Sung-Ha Hwang

Open Access Dissertations

Evolutionary game theory has recently emerged as a key paradigm in various behavioral science disciplines. In particular it provides powerful tools and a conceptual framework for the analysis of the time evolution of strategic interdependence among players and its consequences, especially when the players are spatially distributed and linked in a complex social network. We develop various evolutionary game models, analyze these models using appropriate techniques, and study their applications to complex phenomena. In the second chapter, we derive integro-differential equations as deterministic approximations of the microscopic updating stochastic processes. These generalize the known mean-field ordinary differential equations and provide …


A Mathematical Growth Model Of The Viral Population In Early Hiv-1 Infections, Elena Edi Giorgi Sep 2011

A Mathematical Growth Model Of The Viral Population In Early Hiv-1 Infections, Elena Edi Giorgi

Open Access Dissertations

In this thesis we develop a mathematical model to describe HIV-1 evolution during the first stages of infection (approximately within 40-60 days since onset), when one can assume exponential growth and random accumulation of mutations under a neutral drift. We analyze the Hamming distance (HD) distribution under different models (synchronous and asynchronous) in the absence of selection and recombination. In the second part of the thesis, we introduce recombination and develop a combinatorial approach to estimate the new HD distribution. We conclude describing a T statistic to test significance differences between the HD of two genetic samples, which we derive …


Knot Contact Homology And Open Strings, Jason Frederick Mcgibbon Sep 2011

Knot Contact Homology And Open Strings, Jason Frederick Mcgibbon

Open Access Dissertations

In this thesis, we give a topological interpretation of knot contact homology, by considering intersections of a particular class of chains of open strings with the knot itself. In doing so, we provide evidence toward a differential graded algebra structure on the algebra generated by chains of open strings.


Statistical Methods For Nonlinear Dynamic Models With Measurement Error Using The Ricker Model, David Joseph Resendes Sep 2011

Statistical Methods For Nonlinear Dynamic Models With Measurement Error Using The Ricker Model, David Joseph Resendes

Open Access Dissertations

In ecological population management, years of animal counts are fit to nonlinear, dynamic models (e.g. the Ricker model) because the values of the parameters are of interest. The yearly counts are subject to measurement error, which inevitably leads to biased estimates and adversely affects inference if ignored. In the literature, often convenient distribution assumptions are imposed, readily available estimated measurement error variances are not utilized, or the measurement error is ignored entirely. In this thesis, ways to estimate the parameters of the Ricker model and perform inference while accounting for measurement error are investigated where distribution assumptions are minimized and …


The Application Of Dialectical Behavior Therapy To Chronic Pain Management, Jacob S. Iwaszewski Sep 2011

The Application Of Dialectical Behavior Therapy To Chronic Pain Management, Jacob S. Iwaszewski

Loma Linda University Electronic Theses, Dissertations & Projects

Pain affects more than 50 million Americans annually, costs over 150 billion dollars each year in healthcare and legal expenses, and results in decreased work productivity and missed work days (Ballantyne, 2006; Boll, Raczynski, & Leviton, 2004; Thom, 2004). It is estimated that chronic pain negatively impacts 15% to 33% of the US population (Bokarius et al., 2008). Third-wave acceptance-based therapies, such as Dialectical Behavior Therapy (DBT), have demonstrated significant improvements in mental health functioning for a variety of populations (Carmody & Baer, 2008; Cusens, Duggan, Thome, & Burch, 2010). DBT, one of the primary treatment modalities for Borderline Personality …


An Occupational-Based Experimental Study Of Collective Vs. Personal Efficacy To Encourage Sun Protective Behaviors In Head Start Preschool Teachers, Elizabeth A. Holzhauser Sep 2011

An Occupational-Based Experimental Study Of Collective Vs. Personal Efficacy To Encourage Sun Protective Behaviors In Head Start Preschool Teachers, Elizabeth A. Holzhauser

Loma Linda University Electronic Theses, Dissertations & Projects

Background. Skin cancer is one of the most common types of cancers in the United States. An analysis of literature shows that skin cancer can be partially mitigated through personal behavior changes (Glanz, Buller, & Saraiya; 2007, Canadian Centre of Occupational Health and Safety [CCOHS], 2010). Currently national sun-safety educational campaigns promote sun-protective behaviors to individuals who receive exposure due to their work environment (Task Force on Community Preventive Services, 2004). Preschool teachers employed with San Bernardino County Head Start are inadvertently exposed to sunlight during mandatory recess periods posing risks to their health.

Purpose. This study evaluated two instructional …


Research On Port-City Economic Interaction Effect Between Shanghai And Yangshan Port, Yifan Xu Aug 2011

Research On Port-City Economic Interaction Effect Between Shanghai And Yangshan Port, Yifan Xu

World Maritime University Dissertations

No abstract provided.


Market Structure Of Port Clusters And Analysis On The Number Of Effective Competitors, Ruoqi Qian Aug 2011

Market Structure Of Port Clusters And Analysis On The Number Of Effective Competitors, Ruoqi Qian

World Maritime University Dissertations

No abstract provided.


An Investigation Of Shipping Derivatives Based On Risk Evaluation, Sheng Yang Aug 2011

An Investigation Of Shipping Derivatives Based On Risk Evaluation, Sheng Yang

World Maritime University Dissertations

No abstract provided.


Liner Shipping Lane Planning From Shanghai Port To Guangzhou Port Of Shanghai Baoyin Shipping Co., Ltd, Zhujun Zhou Aug 2011

Liner Shipping Lane Planning From Shanghai Port To Guangzhou Port Of Shanghai Baoyin Shipping Co., Ltd, Zhujun Zhou

World Maritime University Dissertations

No abstract provided.


Process Optimization In Freight Forwarding Industry, Xiaohua Shi Aug 2011

Process Optimization In Freight Forwarding Industry, Xiaohua Shi

World Maritime University Dissertations

No abstract provided.


Research On The Impact Of Container Freight Derivatives On Shipping, Zhenle Shen Aug 2011

Research On The Impact Of Container Freight Derivatives On Shipping, Zhenle Shen

World Maritime University Dissertations

No abstract provided.


Asymptotic Theory Of General Multivariate Garch Models, Weibin Jiang Aug 2011

Asymptotic Theory Of General Multivariate Garch Models, Weibin Jiang

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models are widely used in financial markets. Parameters of GARCH models are usually estimated by the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE). In recent years, economic theory often implies equilibrium between the levels of time series, which makes the application of multivariate models a necessity. Unfortunately the asymptotic theory of the multivariate GARCH models is far from coherent since many algorithms on the univariate case do not extend to multivariate models naturally. This thesis studies the asymptotic theory of the QMLE under mild conditions. We give some counterexamples for the parameter identifiability result in Jeantheau [1998] and …


Comparison Of Time Series And Functional Data Analysis For The Study Of Seasonality., Jake Allen Aug 2011

Comparison Of Time Series And Functional Data Analysis For The Study Of Seasonality., Jake Allen

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Classical time series analysis has well known methods for the study of seasonality. A more recent method of functional data analysis has proposed phase-plane plots for the representation of each year of a time series. However, the study of seasonality within functional data analysis has not been explored extensively. Time series analysis is first introduced, followed by phase-plane plot analysis, and then compared by looking at the insight that both methods offer particularly with respect to the seasonal behavior of a variable. Also, the possible combination of both approaches is explored, specifically with the analysis of the phase-plane plots. The …


Manova: Type I Error Rate Analysis, Christopher Dau Wei Ling Aug 2011

Manova: Type I Error Rate Analysis, Christopher Dau Wei Ling

Statistics

No abstract provided.


A Geospatial Based Decision Framework For Extending Marssim Regulatory Principles Into The Subsurface, Robert Nathan Stewart Aug 2011

A Geospatial Based Decision Framework For Extending Marssim Regulatory Principles Into The Subsurface, Robert Nathan Stewart

Doctoral Dissertations

The Multi-Agency Radiological Site Survey Investigation Manual (MARSSIM) is a regulatory guidance document regarding compliance evaluation of radiologically contaminated soils and buildings (USNRC, 2000). Compliance is determined by comparing radiological measurements to established limits using a combination of hypothesis testing and scanning measurements. Scanning allows investigators to identify localized pockets of contamination missed during sampling and allows investigators to assess radiological exposure at different spatial scales. Scale is important in radiological dose assessment as regulatory limits can vary with the size of the contaminated area and sites are often evaluated at more than one scale (USNRC, 2000). Unfortunately, scanning is …


Dietary Patterns And Cognitive Decline In Aged Populations, Austin J. Bowles Aug 2011

Dietary Patterns And Cognitive Decline In Aged Populations, Austin J. Bowles

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

In this paper, we discuss distinctive features of longitudinal studies, and illustrate two regression-based methods for the analysis of longitudinal data. A study of dietary patterns and cognitive decline (Cache County Memory Study) is used to motivate our discussion and analysis. Cognitive decline is a risk factor for Alzheimer’s disease, the sixth leading cause of all deaths among Americans. The study attempted to identify dietary patterns associated with reduced risk of age-related cognitive decline in elderly populations. Higher levels of adherence to the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) and/or Mediterranean diets were found to be associated with increased cognitive …