Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Stepping Away From Trend Analyses For Regional Integrated Planning And Modelling, Pascal Perez, Rohan Wickramasuriya, Nam N. Huynh, Hedwig Van Delden

SMART Infrastructure Facility - Papers

Strategic regional plans aim to achieve aspirational objectives such as vibrant communities,affordable transport, productive economy and protected natural environments. But planners often lack decision support tools capable of tracking complex dynamic interactions between these various components. Many current regional planning models rely on feed-forward trend analyses. These trends are based on demographic or economic assumptions that lock-in regional growth into a unique pathway. The weaker the initial assumption is, the less plausible the evolution of other components of the regional development. In fact, useful regional planning models need to reproduce the co-evolution of land use, transport, economic and demographic dynamics. …