Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

How Generative Ai Models Such As Chatgpt Can Be (Mis)Used In Spc Practice, Education, And Research? An Exploratory Study, Fadel M. Megahed, Ying-Ju (Tessa) Chen, Joshua A. Ferris, Sven Knoth, L. Allison Jones-Farmer

Mathematics Faculty Publications

Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) models such as OpenAI's ChatGPT have the potential to revolutionize Statistical Process Control (SPC) practice, learning, and research. However, these tools are in the early stages of development and can be easily misused or misunderstood. In this paper, we give an overview of the development of Generative AI. Specifically, we explore ChatGPT's ability to provide code, explain basic concepts, and create knowledge related to SPC practice, learning, and research. By investigating responses to structured prompts, we highlight the benefits and limitations of the results. Our study indicates that the current version of ChatGPT performs well for …

The Impact Of Neighborhood Socioeconomic Disadvantage On Operative Outcomes After Single-Level Lumbar Fusion, Grace Y. Ng, Ritesh Karsalia, Ryan S. Gallagher, Austin J. Borja, Jianbo Na, Scott Mcclintock, Neil R. Malhotra

Mathematics Faculty Publications

INTRODUCTION: The relationship between socioeconomic status and neurosurgical outcomes has been investigated with respect to insurance status or median household income, but few studies have considered more comprehensive measures of socioeconomic status. This study examines the relationship between Area Deprivation Index (ADI), a comprehensive measure of neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage, and short-term postoperative outcomes after lumbar fusion surgery. METHODS: 1861 adult patients undergoing single-level, posterior-only lumbar fusion at a single, multihospital academic medical center were retrospectively enrolled. An ADI matching protocol was used to identify each patient's 9-digit zip code and the zip code-associated ADI data. Primary outcomes included 30- and …

Dpp: Deep Predictor For Price Movement From Candlestick Charts, Chih-Chieh Hung, Ying-Ju (Tessa) Chen

Mathematics Faculty Publications

Forecasting the stock market prices is complicated and challenging since the price movement is affected by many factors such as releasing market news about earnings and profits, international and domestic economic situation, political events, monetary policy, major abrupt affairs, etc. In this work, a novel framework: deep predictor for price movement (DPP) using candlestick charts in the stock historical data is proposed. This framework comprises three steps: 1. decomposing a given candlestick chart into sub-charts; 2. using CNN-autoencoder to acquire the best representation of sub-charts; 3. applying RNN to predict the price movements from a collection of sub-chart representations. An …

Tennis Anyone? Teaching Experimental Design By Designing And Executing A Tennis Ball Experiment, Laura Pyott

Mathematics Faculty Publications

Understanding the abstract principles of statistical experimental design can challenge undergraduate students, especially when learned in a lecture setting. This article presents a concrete and easily replicated example of experimental design principles in action through a hands-on learning activity for students enrolled in an experimental design course. The activity, conducted during five 50-min classes, requires the students to work as a team to design and execute a simple and safe factorial experiment and collect and analyze the data. During three in-class design meetings, the students design and plan all aspects of the experiment, including choosing the response variable and factors, …

Visualizing Bivariate Data: What’S Your Point Of View?, Mamunur Rashid, Jyotirmoy Sarkar

Mathematics Faculty Publications

A scatter plot shows the relationship between two continuous variables x and y. If the relationship is linear or if the two variables have a bivariate normal distribution, then the least squares regression lines of y on x and x on y can predict one variable as a linear function of the other. These two regression lines suffice to identify the mean vector, the coefficient of determination, Pearson’s product moment correlation coefficient, and the ratio of the standard deviations (SD). So does a coverage ellipse! Additionally, we answer: In which direction must the points be projected to maximize (or minimize) …

Depicting Bivariate Relationship With A Gaussian Ellipse, Mamunur Rashid, Jyotirmoy Sarkar

Mathematics Faculty Publications

For data on two continuous variables, how should one depict the summary statistics (means, SDs, correlation coefficient, coefficient of determination, regression lines) so that their values can be read off easily from the depiction and potential outliers can be flagged also? We propose the Gaussian covariance ellipse as an answer that will benefit all users of statistics.

A Data Analytic Framework For Physical Fatigue Management Using Wearable Sensors, Zahra Sedighi Maman, Ying-Ju Chen, Amir Baghdadi, Seamus Lombardo, Lora A. Cavuoto, Fadel M. Megahed

Mathematics Faculty Publications

The use of expert systems in optimizing and transforming human performance has been limited in practice due to the lack of understanding of how an individual's performance deteriorates with fatigue accumulation, which can vary based on both the worker and the workplace conditions. As a first step toward realizing the human-centered approach to artificial intelligence and expert systems, this paper lays the foundation for a data analytic approach to managing fatigue in physically-demanding workplaces. The proposed framework capitalizes on continuously collected human performance data from wearable sensor technologies, and is centered around four distinct phases of fatigue: (a) detection, where …

A Two-Stage Machine Learning Framework To Predict Heart Transplantation Survival Probabilities Over Time With A Monotonic Probability Constraint, Hamidreza Ahady Dolatsaraa, Ying-Ju (Tessa) Chen, Christy Evans, Ashish Gupta, Fadel M. Megahed

Mathematics Faculty Publications

The overarching goal of this paper is to develop a modeling framework that can be used to obtain personalized, data-driven and monotonically constrained probability curves. This research is motivated by the important problem of improving the predictions for organ transplantation outcomes, which can inform updates made to organ allocation protocols, post-transplantation care pathways, and clinical resource utilization. In pursuit of our overarching goal and motivating problem, we propose a novel two-stage machine learning-based framework for obtaining monotonic probabilities over time. The first stage uses the standard approach of using independent machine learning models to predict transplantation outcomes for each time-period …

Stochastic Technique For Solutions Of Non-Linear Fin Equation Arising In Thermal Equilibrium Model, Iftikhar Ahmad, Hina Qureshi, Muhammad Bilal, Muhammad Usman

Mathematics Faculty Publications

In this study, a stochastic numerical technique is used to investigate the numerical solution of heat transfer temperature distribution system using feed forward artificial neural networks. Mathematical model of fin equation is formulated with the help of artificial neural networks. The effect of the heat on a rectangular fin with thermal conductivity and temperature de-pendent internal heat generation is calculated through neural networks optimization with optimizers like active set technique, interior point technique, pattern search, genetic algorithm and a hybrid approach of pattern search - interior point technique, genetic algorithm - active set technique, genetic algorithm - interior point technique, …

Quasilinearization And Boundary Value Problems At Resonance, Kareem Alanazi, Meshal Alshammari, Paul W. Eloe

Mathematics Faculty Publications

A quasilinearization algorithm is developed for boundary value problems at resonance. To do so, a standard monotonicity condition is assumed to obtain the uniqueness of solutions for the boundary value problem at resonance. Then the method of upper and lower solutions and the shift method are applied to obtain the existence of solutions. A quasilinearization algorithm is developed and sequences of approximate solutions are constructed, which converge monotonically and quadratically to the unique solution of the boundary value problem at resonance. Two examples are provided in which explicit upper and lower solutions are exhibited.

Mittag–Leffler Stability Of Systems Of Fractional Nabla Difference Equations, Paul W. Eloe, Jaganmohan Jonnalagadda

Mathematics Faculty Publications

Mittag-Leffler stability of nonlinear fractional nabla difference systems is defined and the Lyapunov direct method is employed to provide sufficient conditions for Mittag-Leffler stability of, and in some cases the stability of, the zero solution of a system nonlinear fractional nabla difference equations. For this purpose, we obtain several properties of the exponential and one parameter Mittag-Leffler functions of fractional nabla calculus. Two examples are provided to illustrate the applicability of established results.

A Randomized Controlled Trial: Attachment-Based Family And Nondirective Supportive Treatments For Youth Who Are Suicidal, Guy S. Diamond, Roger R. Kobak, E. Stephanie Krauthamer Ewing, Suzanne A. Levy, Joanna L. Herres, Jody M. Russon, Robert J. Gallop

Mathematics Faculty Publications

Objective: To evaluate the efficacy of attachment-based family therapy (ABFT) compared with a family-enhanced nondirective supportive therapy (FE-NST) for decreasing adolescents’ suicide ideation and depressive symptoms. Method: A randomized controlled trial of 129 adolescents who are suicidal ages 12- to 18-years-old (49% were African American) were randomized to ABFT (n ¼ 66) or FE-NST (n ¼ 63) for 16 weeks of treatment. Assessments occurred at baseline and 4, 8, 12, and 16 weeks. Trajectory of change and clinical recovery were calculated for suicidal ideation and depressive symptoms. Results: There was no significant between-group difference in the rate of change in …

Quasilinearization And Boundary Value Problems At Resonance For Caputo Fractional Differential Equations, Saleh S. Almuthaybiri, Paul W. Eloe, Jeffrey T. Neugebauer

Mathematics Faculty Publications

The quasilinearization method is applied to a boundary value problem at resonance for a Caputo fractional differential equation. The method of upper and lower solutions is first employed to obtain the uniqueness of solutions of the boundary value problem at resonance. The shift argument is applied to show the existence of solutions. The quasilinearization algorithm is then developed and sequences of approximate solutions are constructed that converge monotonically and quadratically to the unique solution of the boundary value problem at resonance. Two applications are provided to illustrate the main results.

Comparison Of Green's Functions For A Family Of Boundary Value Problems For Fractional Difference Equations, Paul W. Eloe, Catherine Kublik, Jeffrey T. Neugebauer

Mathematics Faculty Publications

In this paper, we obtain sign conditions and comparison theorems for Green's functions of a family of boundary value problems for a Riemann-Liouville type delta fractional difference equation. Moreover, we show that as the length of the domain diverges to infinity, each Green's function converges to a uniquely defined Green's function of a singular boundary value problem.

The Large Contraction Principle And Existence Of Periodic Solutions For Infinite Delay Volterra Difference Equations, Paul W. Eloe, Jaganmohan Jonnalagadda, Youssef Raffoul

Mathematics Faculty Publications

In this article, we establish sufficient conditions for the existence of periodic solutions of a nonlinear infinite delay Volterra difference equation. (See paper for equation.)

We employ a Krasnosel’skii type fixed point theorem, originally proved by Burton. The primary sufficient condition is not verifiable in terms of the parameters of the difference equation, and so we provide three applications in which the primary sufficient condition is verified.

Concavity In Fractional Calculus, Paul W. Eloe, Jeffrey T. Neugebauer

Mathematics Faculty Publications

No abstract provided.

When Numerical Analysis Crosses Paths With Catalan And Generalized Motzkin Numbers, Paul W. Eloe, Catherine Kublik

Mathematics Faculty Publications

We study a linear doubly indexed sequence that contains the Catalan numbers and relates to a class of generalized Motzkin numbers. We obtain a closed form formula, a generating function and a nonlinear recursion relation for this sequence. We show that a finite difference scheme with compact stencil applied to a nonlinear differential operator acting on the Euclidean distance function is exact, and exploit this exactness to produce the nonlinear recursion relation. In particular, the nonlinear recurrence relation is obtained by using standard error analysis techniques from numerical analysis. This work shows a connection between numerical analysis and number theory, …

Estimation Of A Noisy Subordinated Brownian Motion Via Two-Scales Power Variations, José E. Figueroa-López, Kiseop Lee

Mathematics Faculty Publications

High frequency based estimation methods for a semiparametric pure-jump subordinated Brownian motion exposed to a small additive microstructure noise are developed building on the two-scales realized variations approach originally developed by Zhang et al. (2005) for the estimation of the integrated variance of a continuous Itô process. The proposed estimators are shown to be robust against the noise and, surprisingly, to attain better rates of convergence than their precursors, method of moment estimators, even in the absence of microstructure noise. Our main results give approximate optimal values for the number K of regular sparse subsamples to be used, which is …

Integration Over Curves And Surfaces Defined By The Closest Point Mapping, Catherine Kublik, Richard Tsai

Mathematics Faculty Publications

We propose a new formulation for integrating over smooth curves and surfaces that are described by their closest point mappings. Our method is designed for curves and surfaces that are not defined by any explicit parameterization and is intended to be used in combination with level set techniques. However, contrary to the common practice with level set methods, the volume integrals derived from our formulation coincide exactly with the surface or line integrals that one wishes to compute. We study various aspects of this formulation and provide a geometric interpretation of this formulation in terms of the singular values of …

Effects Of Cell Cycle Noise On Excitable Gene Circuits, Alan Veliz-Cuba, Chinmaya Gupta, Matthew R. Bennett, Krešimir Josić, William Ott

Mathematics Faculty Publications

We assess the impact of cell cycle noise on gene circuit dynamics. For bistable genetic switches and excitable circuits, we find that transitions between metastable states most likely occur just after cell division and that this concentration effect intensifies in the presence of transcriptional delay. We explain this concentration effect with a three-states stochastic model. For genetic oscillators, we quantify the temporal correlations between daughter cells induced by cell division. Temporal correlations must be captured properly in order to accurately quantify noise sources within gene networks.

Convolutions And Green’S Functions For Two Families Of Boundary Value Problems For Fractional Differential Equations, Paul W. Eloe, Jeffrey T. Neugebauer

Mathematics Faculty Publications

We consider families of two-point boundary value problems for fractional differential equations where the fractional derivative is assumed to be the Riemann-Liouville fractional derivative. The problems considered are such that appropriate differential operators commute and the problems can be constructed as nested boundary value problems for lower order fractional differential equations. Green's functions are then constructed as convolutions of lower order Green's functions. Comparison theorems are known for the Green's functions for the lower order problems and so, we obtain analogous comparison theorems for the two families of higher order equations considered here. We also pose a related open question …

Identification Of Control Targets In Boolean Molecular Network Models Via Computational Algebra, David Murrugarra, Alan Veliz-Cuba, Boris Aguilar, Reinhard Laubenbacher

Mathematics Faculty Publications

Many problems in biomedicine and other areas of the life sciences can be characterized as control problems, with the goal of finding strategies to change a disease or otherwise undesirable state of a biological system into another, more desirable, state through an intervention, such as a drug or other therapeutic treatment. The identification of such strategies is typically based on a mathematical model of the process to be altered through targeted control inputs. This paper focuses on processes at the molecular level that determine the state of an individual cell, involving signaling or gene regulation. The mathematical model type considered …

Theorems On Boundedness Of Solutions To Stochastic Delay Differential Equations, Youssef Raffoul, Dan Ren

Mathematics Faculty Publications

In this report, we provide general theorems about boundedness or bounded in probability of solutions to nonlinear delay stochastic differential systems. Our analysis is based on the successful construction of suitable Lyapunov functionals. We offer several examples as application of our theorems.

Optimal Control Analysis Of Ebola Disease With Control Strategies Of Quarantine And Vaccination, Muhammad Dure Ahmad, Muhammad Usman, Adnan Khan, Mudassar Imran

Mathematics Faculty Publications

The 2014 Ebola epidemic is the largest in history, affecting multiple countries in West Africa. Some isolated cases were also observed in other regions of the world.

Upper And Lower Solution Method For Boundary Value Problems At Resonance, Samerah Al Mosa, Paul W. Eloe

Mathematics Faculty Publications

We consider two simple boundary value problems at resonance for an ordinary differential equation. Employing a shift argument, a regular fixed point operator is constructed. We employ the monotone method coupled with a method of upper and lower solutions and obtain sufficient conditions for the existence of solutions of boundary value problems at resonance for nonlinear boundary value problems. Three applications are presented in which explicit upper solutions and lower solutions are exhibited for the first boundary value problem. Two applications are presented for the second boundary value problem. Of interest, the upper and lower solutions are easily and explicitly …

Uniform Stability In Nonlinear Infinite Delay Volterra Integro-Differential Equations Using Lyapunov Functionals, Youssef Raffoul, Habib Rai

Mathematics Faculty Publications

In [10] the first author used Lyapunov functionals and studied the exponential stability of the zero solution of nite delay Volterra Integro-dierential equation. In this paper, we use modified version of the Lyapunov functional that were used in [10] to obtain criterion for the stability of the zero solution of the infinite delay nonlinear Volterra integro-dierential equation

x′(t) = Px(t) + ^t∫ _−∞ C(t, s)g(x(s))ds.

Asymptotically Periodic Solutions Of Volterra Integral Equations, Muhammad Islam

Mathematics Faculty Publications

We study the existence of asymptotically periodic solutions of a nonlinear Volterra integral equation. In the process, we obtain the existence of periodic solutions of an associated nonlinear integral equation with infinite delay. Schauder's fixed point theorem is used in the analysis.

Smallest Eigenvalues For A Right Focal Boundary Value Problem, Paul W. Eloe, Jeffrey T. Neugebauer

Mathematics Faculty Publications

We establish the existence of smallest eigenvalues for the fractional linear boundary value problems D^α₀₊u+λ₁p(t)u = 0 and D^α₀₊u+λ₂q(t)u = 0, 0

Existence Of Periodic Solutions For A Quantum Volterra Equation, Muhammad Islam, Jeffrey T. Neugebauer

Mathematics Faculty Publications

The objective of this paper is to study the periodicity properties of functions that arise in quantum calculus, which has been emerging as an important branch of mathematics due to its various applications in physics and other related fields. The paper has two components. First, a relation between two existing periodicity notions is established. Second, the existence of periodic solutions of a q-Volterra integral equation, which is a general integral form of a first order q-difference equation, is obtained. At the end, some examples are provided. These examples show the effectiveness of the relation between the two periodicity notions that …

Stochastic Models Of Evidence Accumulation In Changing Environments, Alan Veliz-Cuba, Zachary P. Kilpatrick, Krešimir Josić

Mathematics Faculty Publications

Organisms and ecological groups accumulate evidence to make decisions. Classic experiments and theoretical studies have explored this process when the correct choice is fixed during each trial. However, we live in a constantly changing world. What effect does such impermanence have on classical results about decision making? To address this question we use sequential analysis to derive a tractable model of evidence accumulation when the correct option changes in time. Our analysis shows that ideal observers discount prior evidence at a rate determined by the volatility of the environment, and the dynamics of evidence accumulation is governed by the information …