Cardiology Commons^™

Equalization Of Four Cardiovascular Risk Algorithms After Systematic Recalibration: Individual-Participant Meta-Analysis Of 86 Prospective Studies, Lisa Pennells, Stephen Kaptoge, Angela Wood, Mike Sweeting, Xiaohui Zhao, Ian White, Stephen Burgess, Peter Willeit, Thomas Bolton, Karel G. M. Moons, Yvonne T. Van Der Schouw, Randi Selmer, Kay-Tee Khaw, Vilmundur Gudnason, Gerd Assman, Philippe Amouyel, Veikko Salomaa, Mika Kivimaki, Borge G. Nordestgaard, Michael J. Blaha, Lewis H. Kuller, Hermann Brenner, Richard F. Gillum, Christa Meisinger, Ian Ford, Matthew W. Knuiman, Annika Rosengren, Debbie A. Lawlor, Henry Volzke, Cyrus Cooper, Alejandro Marin Ibañez, Edoardo Casiglia, Jussi Kauhanen, Jackie A. Cooper, Beatriz Rodriguez, Johan Sundstrom, Elizabeth Barrett-Connor, Rachel Dankner, Paul J. Nietert, Karina W. Davidson, Robert B. Wallace, Dan G. Blazer, Cecilia Bjorkelund, Chiara Donfrancesco, Harlan M. Krumholz, Aulikki Nissinen, Barry R. Davis, Sean Coady, Peter H. Whincup, Torben Jorgensen, Pierre Ducimetiere, Maurizo Trevisan, Gunnar Engstrom, Carlos J. Crespo, Tom W. Meade, Marjolein Visser, Daan Kromhout, Stefan Kiechl, Makoto Daimon, Jackie F. Price, Agustin Gomez De La Camara, J. Wouter Jukema, Benoit Lamarche, Altan Onat, Leon A. Simons, Maryam Kavousi, Yoav Ben-Shlomo, John Gallacher, Jacqueline M. Dekker, Hisatomi Arima, Nawar Shara, Robert W. Tipping, Ronan Roussel, Eric J. Brunner, Wolfgang Koenig, Masaru Sakurai, Jelena Pavlovic, Ron T. Gansevoort, Dorothea Nagel, Uri Goldbourt, Elizabeth L. M. Barr, Luigi Palmieri, Inger Njolstad, Shinichi Sato, W. M. Monique Verschuren, Cherian V. Varghese, Ian Graham, Oyere Onuma, Philip Greenland, Mark Woodward, Majid Ezzati, Bruce M. Psaty, Naveed Sattar, Rod Jackson, Paul M. Ridker, Nancy R. Cook, Ralph B. D'Agostino Sr., Simone G. Thompson, John Danesh, Emanuele Di Angelantonio

Publications and Research

Aims: There is debate about the optimum algorithm for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk estimation. We conducted head-to-head comparisons of four algorithms recommended by primary prevention guidelines, before and after ‘recalibration’, a method that adapts risk algorithms to take account of differences in the risk characteristics of the populations being studied.

Methods & Results: Using individual-participant data on 360737 participants without CVD at baseline in 86 prospective studies from 22 countries, we compared the Framingham risk score (FRS), Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE), pooled cohort equations (PCE), and Reynolds risk score (RRS). We calculated measures of risk discrimination and calibration, and …