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Full-Text Articles in Cardiovascular Diseases
Age-Period-Cohort Projections Of Ischaemic Heart Disease Mortality By Socio-Economic Position In A Rapidly Transitioning Chinese Population, Irene O.L. Won, Benjamin J. Cowling, Gabriel M. Leung, Mary Schooling
Age-Period-Cohort Projections Of Ischaemic Heart Disease Mortality By Socio-Economic Position In A Rapidly Transitioning Chinese Population, Irene O.L. Won, Benjamin J. Cowling, Gabriel M. Leung, Mary Schooling
Publications and Research
Background
With economic development and population aging, ischaemic heart disease (IHD) is becoming a leading cause of mortality with widening inequalities in China. To forewarn the trends in China we projected IHD trends in the most economically developed part of China, i.e., Hong Kong.
Methods
Based on sex-specific IHD mortality rates from 1976 to 2005, we projected mortality rates by neighborhood-level socio-economic position (i.e., low- or high-income groups) to 2020 in Hong Kong using Poisson age-period-cohort models with autoregressive priors.
Results
In the low-income group, age-standardized IHD mortality rates among women declined from 33.3 deaths in 1976–1980 to 19.7 per …