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Water

Chapman University

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Full-Text Articles in Environmental Health

California Drought Projections Based On Climate Change Models’ Effects On Water Availability, Lauren Lynam May 2020

California Drought Projections Based On Climate Change Models’ Effects On Water Availability, Lauren Lynam

Student Scholar Symposium Abstracts and Posters

Future streamflow in California, as predicted by eight climate projections models, and their effects on water availability are discussed in this paper. The unimpaired projected streamflow for eleven California rivers, collected from Cal-Adapt Streamflow are compared with their unimpaired historical flows (1950-2015) using eight climate model projections (2020-2099) developed by Scripps Institution of Oceanography’s Routed Streamflow Projections; Warm Dry RCP 4.5, Average RCP 4.5, Cool Wet RCP 4.5, Other RCP 4.5, Warm Dry RCP 8.5, Average RCP 8.5, Cool Wet RCP 8.5, Other RCP 8.5. Projected drought quantities, durations, and intensities are statistically tested against historical values to determine significance …