Immunology and Infectious Disease Commons^™

Influenza Virus Drug Resistance: A Time-Sampled Population Genetics Perspective, Matthieu Foll, Yu Poh, Nicholas Renzette, Anna Admetlla, Claudia Bank, Hyunjin Shim, Anna Malaspinas, Gregory Ewing, Ping Liu, Daniel Wegmann, Daniel Caffrey, Konstantin Zeldovich, Daniel Bolon, Jennifer Wang, Timothy Kowalik, Celia Schiffer, Robert Finberg, Jeffrey Jensen

Celia A. Schiffer

The challenge of distinguishing genetic drift from selection remains a central focus of population genetics. Time-sampled data may provide a powerful tool for distinguishing these processes, and we here propose approximate Bayesian, maximum likelihood, and analytical methods for the inference of demography and selection from time course data. Utilizing these novel statistical and computational tools, we evaluate whole-genome datasets of an influenza A H1N1 strain in the presence and absence of oseltamivir (an inhibitor of neuraminidase) collected at thirteen time points. Results reveal a striking consistency amongst the three estimation procedures developed, showing strongly increased selection pressure in the presence …