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Strategies For Improving Approximate Bayesian Computation Tests For Synchronous Diversification, Isaac Overcast, Justin C. Bagley, Michael J. Hickerson

Publications and Research

Background: Estimating the variability in isolation times across co-distributed taxon pairs that may have experienced the same allopatric isolating mechanism is a core goal of comparative phylogeography. The use of hierarchical Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) and coalescent models to infer temporal dynamics of lineage co-diversification has been a contentious topic in recent years. Key issues that remain unresolved include the choice of an appropriate prior on the number of co-divergence events (Ψ), as well as the optimal strategies for data summarization.

Methods: Through simulation-based cross validation we explore the impact of the strategy for sorting summary statistics and the choice …