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Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

2023

Phylodynamics

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Mining Sars-Cov-2 Phylogenetic Trees To Estimate Circulating Infections And Patterns Of Migration, Erin V. Brintnell Jun 2023

Mining Sars-Cov-2 Phylogenetic Trees To Estimate Circulating Infections And Patterns Of Migration, Erin V. Brintnell

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic led to the formation of very large databases of genomic viral data. These databases contain information on transmission dynamics, emergence and evolution of SARS-CoV-2. However, extracting this information from sequences is difficult, as most methods of analyzing viral genomes were developed for smaller data sets. Therefore, my objective was to develop new fast estimators of the number of infections (I) and the rate of migration based on simple features of SARS-CoV-2 phylogenies.

I simulated pathogen evolution using a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) model of pathogen spread, reconstructing evolution using CoVizu. For simulations of I, I varied the total number …