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Full-Text Articles in Engineering

Prediction Of Remaining Life Of Power Transformers Based On Left Truncated And Right Censored Lifetime Data, Yili Hong, William Q. Meeker, James D. Mccalley Jun 2017

Prediction Of Remaining Life Of Power Transformers Based On Left Truncated And Right Censored Lifetime Data, Yili Hong, William Q. Meeker, James D. Mccalley

James McCalley

Prediction of the remaining life of high-voltage power transformers is an important issue for energy companies because of the need for planning maintenance and capital expenditures. Lifetime data for such transformers are complicated because transformer lifetimes can extend over many decades and transformer designs and manufacturing practices have evolved. We were asked to develop statistically-based predictions for the lifetimes of an energy company’s fleet of high-voltage transmission and distribution transformers. The company’s data records begin in 1980, providing information on installation and failure dates of transformers. Although the dataset contains many units that were installed before 1980, there is no …


A Multiperiod Generalized Network Flow Model Of The U.S. Integrated Energy System: Part I—Model Description, Ana Quelhas, Esteban Gil, James D. Mccalley, Sarah M. Ryan Jun 2017

A Multiperiod Generalized Network Flow Model Of The U.S. Integrated Energy System: Part I—Model Description, Ana Quelhas, Esteban Gil, James D. Mccalley, Sarah M. Ryan

James McCalley

This paper is the first of a two-part paper presenting a multiperiod generalized network flow model of the integrated energy system in the United States. Part I describes the modeling approach used to evaluate the economic efficiencies of the system-wide energy flows, from the coal and natural gas suppliers to the electric load centers. Under the proposed problem formulation, fuel supply and electricity demand nodes are connected via a transportation network, and the model is solved for the most efficient allocation of quantities and corresponding prices. The methodology includes physical, economic, and environmental aspects that characterize the different networks. Part …