Portfolio and Security Analysis Commons^™

Off-Shore Borrowing And Guarantees By Banks: Implication For Portfolio Management., C. C. Edordu

Bullion

The subject I have been asked to reflect on is important and somewhat provocative given the potential significance of foreign capital in the development process and the implied doubt the topic raises about the capacity of banks to manage their portfolios on accessing external finance. With regard to financing tenors, it is pertinent to point out that the tenor of liabilities of most banks in Nigeria and Africa is short. The paper has focused on the various discussions about the conditions for good governance, which raises questions about the structure and functioning of the state, its relationship to society and …

Persistence In Style-Adjusted Mutual Fund Returns, Melvyn Teo, Sung-Jun Woo

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

The literature on mutual fund persistence took a hit with the finding that one-year stock momentum and expense ratios account for most of the persistence in mutual fund performance (Carhart, 1992; Carhart, 1997). However, since equity mutual funds are grouped into styles (e.g., large value, small growth, mid-cap growth, etc.) and are often confined to trading stocks within their style, one should measure fund performance relative to style when investigating managerial ability. Using CRSP mutual fund data and a methodology similar to Carhart (1997), we find that differences in style-adjusted fund returns persist for up to six years. Neither one-year …

The Effectiveness Of Institutional Activism, Gary L. Caton, Jeremy Goh, Jeffrey Donaldson

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

Researchers examined earnings-forecast revisions and stock returns after release of the Focus List of poorly performing companies by the Council of Institutional Investors. Using Tobin's q as a measure of a company's ability to improve performance, researchers found significant and positive abnormal forecast revisions and post-release stock returns for companies with q greater than one. Findings support the proposition that institutional activism is effective for underperforming companies - but only those companies with the ability to respond to the challenge to improve performance.

Is A Convertible Bond Call Really Bad News?, Louis H. Ederington, Jeremy C. Goh

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

The article tests and rejects the hypothesis that managers call in-the-money convertibles when they view a decline in the value of the firm as likely. Inconsistent with this view, it finds that insiders generally buy equity before conversion-forcing calls. Also, analysts tend to raise their earnings forecasts following a call. There is no evidence that earnings analysts interpret a conversion-forcing call as bad news. Indeed there is evidence that, relative to firms in general, analysts are revising their earnings forecasts upward in the months surrounding conversion-forcing calls. The article concludes that an announcement of a conversion-forcing call of a firm's …

An Experimental Study Of Circuit Breakers: The Effects Of Mandated Market Closures And Temporary Halts On Market Behavior, Lucy Ackert, Bryan K. Church, Narayanan Jayaraman

Faculty Articles

This paper analyzes the effect of circuit breakers on price behavior, trading volume, and profit-making ability in a market setting. We conduct nine experimental asset markets to compare behavior across three regulatory regimes: market closure, temporary halt, and no interruption. We find that the presence of a circuit breaker rule does not affect the magnitude of the absolute deviation in price from fundamental value or trading profit. The primary driver of price behavior is information. By comparison, trading activity is significantly affected by the presence of a circuit breaker. Market participants advance trades when a trading interruption is imminent.

An Empirical Examination Of The Price-Dividend Relation With Dividend Management, Lucy F. Ackert, William C. Hunter

Faculty Articles

Some recent empirical evidence suggests that stock prices are not properly modeled as the present discounted value of expected dividends. In this paper, we estimate a present value model of stock price that is capable of explaining the observed long-term trends in stock prices. The model recognizes that firm managers control cash dividend payments. The model estimates indicate that stock price movements may be explained by managerial behavior.

Market Interdependence; Gold Bullion, S&P500, Mining Company Adr’S And Underlying Security Markets, Roberto Curci, Robert A. Clark, Cynthia J. Brown

Scholarship and Professional Work - Business

The internationalization of equity markets appears to be associated with a level of interdependence and transmission of stock price movements across national markets. This study examines the responses of international and ADR securities common stimulus. The study analyzes the equity price behavior of companies engaged in the production of such companies which are cross-listed in U.S. equity markets through ADRs and in underlying economic markets.

Strategic Asset Allocation For Individual Investors: The Impact Of The Present Value Of Social Security Benefits, Steve Fraser, William Jennings, David King

Management Faculty Research and Publications

This paper demonstrates the dramatic effect of social security wealth on individuals’ asset allocation. We first discuss why social security wealth should be included in portfolio asset-mix decisions. We then draw parallels between social security benefits and inflation-indexed treasury bonds to help quantify the present value of social security benefits. Finally, we show the portfolio impact of including social security wealth under several asset-mix decision rules. Excluding social security wealth from the asset mix decision results in sub-optimal portfolios. Including social security wealth provides an incentive for including more stock in the asset mix.

A Comparison Between Eva And Conventional Accounting Performance Measures For Listed Companies In Malaysia, Sow Chen Wong

Student Works (2000-2009)

This research was carried out with two primary objectives namely to investigate the relationship between Economic Value Added (EVA) and stock returns and how it compares with conventional accounting measures in explaining stock returns. The results indicate that there is a significant positive relationship between EVA and stock returns. Although the relationship is positive, it is relatively weak. All the accounting performance measures also exhibit a positive relationship with stocks. With regards to the ability of EVA in explaining stock returns, It was better compared to any of the accounting performance measures. The best accounting measure was price earnings ratio. …

Does The Value Investing Strategy Outperform The Klci? : (Empirical Refutation Against The Efficient Market Hypothesis In Its Semi-Strong Form), Jee Mun Wong

Student Works (2000-2009)

A value strategist is a fund manager who seeks to buy stocks that are a discount to their fair value and sell them· in excess of that value. Value strategists see value where many other market participants do not. Value investing strategy was popularized by Benjamin Graham and later, his protégé Warren Buffett. Graham, a finance professor, taught security analysis at Columbia University and retired a millionaire as a result of his investments in the NYSE. Together with David Dodd, he laid out the analytical framework for investing in stocks that are cheap on the basis of their underlying assets. …

Holiday Effect : A Decade Of Change In The Performance Of The Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange, Rina Bee Yan Tong

Student Works (2000-2009)

This empirical research investigates the holiday effect in the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange (KLSE) using three daily stock indices: Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange Composite Index (KLSE Cl), Exchange Main Board All-Share Index (KLSE EMI), and Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange Second Board Index (KLSE SBI) over the period January 1990 to June 2001. The results show abnormally high pre­holiday returns which predominate only on the single trading day immediately prior to holidays and the pre-holiday fraction of positive return is found significantly higher for all three indices. On the other hand, the post-holiday returns are higher than normal trading days but …

Eva Evidence On Public Listed Companies In Malaysia, Walter Lo

Student Works (2000-2009)

This study examines claims that Economic Value Added (EVA) better explain stock values and stock returns than traditional accounting measures. Also, this study examines the relationship between EVA and Marl

Macroeconomic Responses To Oil Price Changes And Volatility, Fui Kiun Soong

Student Works (2000-2009)

Petroleum is the third factor of production and is expected to remain so as Malaysia targets to achieve full industrialization in twenty years time. It is therefore, crucial to understand the impact of oil price on the macroeconomy. Thus, this paper attempts to examine the short-run dynamics of industrial production, interest rates and, stock market activity, in relation to oil price changes and oil price volatility by using the vector autoregressive (VAR) model. Volatility is modeled using the Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. Systematic shocks are introduced and the impacts of anticipated and unanticipated oil price changes are analyzed …

Insider Trading On The Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange : An Empirical Study, Jooky Lim

Student Works (2000-2009)

In Malaysia there are strict laws that prohibit insider trading. With the presence of such laws, this study explores whether insider trading exists on the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange (KLSE). Information on insider trading obtained from filing made to the KLSE by directors and substantial shareholders from 1 March 2000 to 7 March 2000 were analysed for abnormal returns. Based on daily price movements for 150 days before and after a transaction was carried out, it was observed that there are signals of insider trading on the KLSE. Insiders managed to maximise their average market adjusted returns prior to selling …