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Articles 1 - 30 of 41
Full-Text Articles in Portfolio and Security Analysis
Impact Of Geographical Diversification And Limited Attention On Private Equity Fund Returns, Victor Hock Keong Ong
Impact Of Geographical Diversification And Limited Attention On Private Equity Fund Returns, Victor Hock Keong Ong
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
This study analyzes the effect of geographical diversification on global private equity (PE) fund returns. I find that there is a negative correlation between geographical diversification and PE fund returns. To establish the causality between geographical diversification and PE fund returns, I employ an instrument variable analysis where the instrument used is the stock market capitalization value of the host country where the PE fund is based. My results apply to Net IRR, multiple and DPI as dependent variables used to proxy for PE fund returns in the main regression model. A one standard deviation increase in geographical diversification results …
Three Essays On Mutual Fund Ratings, Wee Seng Ng
Three Essays On Mutual Fund Ratings, Wee Seng Ng
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
The incessant growth of the mutual fund industry has made the task of selecting mutual funds an increasingly challenging one. Unsophisticated investors turn to low-cost and readily available ratings to guide their investment decisions. Unsurprisingly, mutual fund ratings are hugely popular and influential. Anecdotal evidence and academic findings both suggest that investors gravitate towards top-rated funds. Rating is a double-edged sword. Although the use of rating simplifies the otherwise onerous job of evaluating mutual fund performance, it can lead to adverse consequences. Investors who invest only in top-rated funds are inadvertently assuming that good ratings indicate good future performance. However, …
Technical Analysis: An Asian Perspective, Siqin Liaw
Technical Analysis: An Asian Perspective, Siqin Liaw
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Technical analysis, namely the moving average rule and the channel rule, is applied to the currency of an Asian managed floating exchange rate regime (USD/SGD) to see if opportunities for profitable trading exist. Instead of using only daily or monthly data, higher frequency time frames of 10, 15, 30 and 60 minutes are analyzed. Profitable strategies (if any) will be broken down and analyzed within smaller time frames to see if the profits are specifically in sample.
Testing Overreaction And Under-Reaction In The Commodity Futures Market, Jingyu Dai
Testing Overreaction And Under-Reaction In The Commodity Futures Market, Jingyu Dai
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Results from previous studies testing for under-reaction and overreaction in the commodity futures market are mixed and inconclusive. Using a data of more than 20 categories of future contacts ranging from agricultural, metal and energy, we have found significant evidence of under-reaction in food and agricultural commodities but not in the energy and metal sector. It is also found that those relatively inactive commodity future contracts tend to have a stronger tendency to under-react than commodity future contracts are very actively traded. The result also agrees with the behavioral hypothesis that under-reaction is caused by gradual incorporation of information among …
The Performance Of Venture Capital Funds And Vc-Backed Ipos: An Evidence From China, Weng Hong Lou
The Performance Of Venture Capital Funds And Vc-Backed Ipos: An Evidence From China, Weng Hong Lou
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
This study is divided into three parts based on the listed companies on the Small and Medium Enterprise Board on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in China. The first part is to study the investment performance of Venture Capital Funds. I found that the investment return in terms of investment multiple and annual rate of return is better than those in the US market, and also the VC investment portfolios outperform the public equity market. Furthermore, I compare the performance of non VC-backed IPOs and non VC-backed IPOs by using the Buy-and Hold Abnormal Return and Wealth Relatives. Both measurements show …
How Predictable Is The Chinese Stock Market?, Fuwei Jiang
How Predictable Is The Chinese Stock Market?, Fuwei Jiang
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
We analyze return predictability for the Chinese stock market, including the aggregate market portfolio and the components of the aggregate market, such as portfolios sorted on industry, size, book-to-market and ownership concentration. Considering a variety of economic variables as predictors, both in-sample and out-of-sample tests highlight significant predictability in the aggregate market portfolio of the Chinese stock market and substantial differences in return predictability across components. Among industry portfolios, Finance and insurance, Real estate, and Service exhibit the most predictability, while portfolios of small-cap and low ownership concentration firms also display considerable predictability. Two key findings provide economic explanations for …
News Which Moves The Market: Assessing The Impact Of Published Financial News On The Stock Market, Yu Chiang Soon
News Which Moves The Market: Assessing The Impact Of Published Financial News On The Stock Market, Yu Chiang Soon
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Recent years have seen a large increase in the volume of financial news available to investors daily. What has traditionally been restricted to print media has now evolved to include the internet and satellite television as important media sources for financial news. With this overwhelming flow of information available to investors, the impact of financial news on market prices is at best uncertain. In this paper, a computational text-scoring methodology will be employed to uncover behavioral responses by investors to negative news. The empirical methodology employed in this paper will consist of three parts. Firstly, through the General Inquirer (GI) …
Idiosyncratic Risk And Risk Taking Behavior Of Mutual Fund Managers, Gao Wang
Idiosyncratic Risk And Risk Taking Behavior Of Mutual Fund Managers, Gao Wang
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
I propose that various measures of mutual funds’ performance are more consistent with their investment capability when mutual funds present low idiosyncratic risks. This paper finds conditional predictor for funds’ returns: alpha predicts returns positively for low idiosyncratic risk funds. It suggests that mutual funds which showed high alpha and low idiosyncratic risk in the past may be capable in investment. Their performance is consistently higher than funds with low idiosyncratic risk and low alpha. On the other hand, the performance of high idiosyncratic risk funds is more likely to reverse in the future: expected returns are low for high …
Do Analyst Earnings Beta Explain Growth Anomaly?, Sophie Phuong Thanh Doan
Do Analyst Earnings Beta Explain Growth Anomaly?, Sophie Phuong Thanh Doan
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Using a measure of cashflow risk derived from analyst forecasts, I find that cashflow risk offers a partial explanation for the value – growth anomaly. In particular, the lowest asset growth portfolio has a higher earnings beta than the highest asset growth portfolio. Approximately cashflow risk measured by earnings beta carries a significant positive risk premium of 1.24% with a t-value of 3.51.
Empirical Evidences On Risk-Taking And Performance Of Mutual Fund, Jingchang Lu
Empirical Evidences On Risk-Taking And Performance Of Mutual Fund, Jingchang Lu
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
This paper examines the relationship between performance and risk exposure for mutual funds. The preliminary analysis fails to support the tournament hypothesis, which predicts that poorly performing managers will increase risk exposure while outperforming managers will decrease risk exposure. Instead, we find evidence of risk reduction for extreme losers and risk increase for winning managers. Besides, the risk-taking fails to align manager interest with shareholder interest since the returns from the risk enhancement by winners and the risk reduction by losers is relatively worse than those with contradictory strategies. Overall, the competition among fund managers appears to affect management risk …
Acquisitions Driven By Stock Overvaluation, Leming Lin
Acquisitions Driven By Stock Overvaluation, Leming Lin
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Overvaluation might drive a firm to use its stock to acquire another firm whose stock is not as overpriced. Though hypothetically desirable, these acquisitions create little, if any, value for acquirer shareholders. Two factors impede value creation for acquirer stockholders from these transactions (despite large differences in relative overvaluation at announcement): acquirers paying large premiums to targets, and investors' correction of acquirer overvaluation during the bid period. Furthermore, acquirer CEOs obtain a large amount of new stock and option grants after acquisitions and realize a net gain in wealth, further suggesting that equity overvaluation increases agency costs and the resulting …
Does Morningstar Shine In The Universe Of Mutual Funds? A Study On Morningstar Mutual Fund Ratings, Wee Seng Ng
Does Morningstar Shine In The Universe Of Mutual Funds? A Study On Morningstar Mutual Fund Ratings, Wee Seng Ng
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Using data from Morningstar Principia CDs and employing standard methodologies, we examine the extent to which two mutual fund ratings: Morningstar star ratings and Morningstar stewardship grades can predict future fund performance. In particular, we investigate whether the combined predictive power of the two ratings exceeds that of a single rating. We decompose funds into various groups characterized by fund age and fund categories in order to address such issues as whether predictive performance is uniform across characteristic-based groups. Although our analysis shows that none of the ratings alone possesses strong predictive power, there is statistical evidence to support the …
Does Vc Reputation Affect Function Of Lockup Agreement?, Kejia He
Does Vc Reputation Affect Function Of Lockup Agreement?, Kejia He
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Instead of perceiving lockup agreement and VC-backing as exogenous variables, this paper employs the VC-backed IPO data and takes a closer examination on the specific effect of VC reputation, which impacts the choice of lockup length and return and volume abnormality around lockup expiry. Contrary to the commitment hypothesis proposed by previous literatures, the data suggests that less VC-backed companies tend to choose a longer lockup agreement as a compensation device and those companies backed by more reputable VC experience less negative abnormal return and less abnormal volume around lockup expiry.
Expected Equity Option Returns, Xue Zhang
Expected Equity Option Returns, Xue Zhang
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Substantial progress has been made in investigating `Overpriced Puts Puzzle' which exists in index futures options. However, scarce studies focus on whether single-stock options also have similar problems. This thesis analyzes the returns of individual stocks' calls, puts, and their portfolios, both theoretically and empirically. Adopting the methodology of Broadie, Chernov, and Johannes (2008), I find that (1) calls have positive expected returns while puts have negative expected returns. The expected returns of both calls and puts are increasing in the strike price. (2) CAPM alphas and Sharpe ratios are reasonable for calls options, but they are too negative for …
Has The Introduction Of Bookbuilding Increased The Efficiency Of China's Ipo Pricing?, Jiehui Fei
Has The Introduction Of Bookbuilding Increased The Efficiency Of China's Ipo Pricing?, Jiehui Fei
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Book-building is commonly adopted in global primary markets and regarded as the most efficient pricing method for accurate IPO pricing by literatures. China has introduced book-building in 2005 to increase IPO pricing accuracy and the capabilities of domestic institutional investors. However, with the current IPO data from China, I find the level of under-pricing has unexpectedly increased after book-building, which is against the empirical studies of a few domestic papers. Secondly, there's some evidence that with better information disclosure from issuer-side through book-building process, the signaling and ex-ante uncertainty effect that previously caused under-pricing has been reduced. But there're unique …
Illiquidity, Stock Return And Corporate Capital Structure: Evidence From Seasoned Equity Offering, Zhao Yu
Illiquidity, Stock Return And Corporate Capital Structure: Evidence From Seasoned Equity Offering, Zhao Yu
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
The post-issue underperformance of seasoned equity offering (SEO) is generally explained by asymmetric information and deteriorating operating performance. We complement these traditional explanations with a new parameter, the liquidity, which results from the change of capital structure due to equity offering. The new issuing of equity lowers the debt to asset ratio, lowers the information asymmetry, thus increasing stock liquidity, which is in accordance with the hypotheses presented by Kyle(1985)'s model; Evidence that stocks become more liquid after SEO, thus lower the expected return, resulting to underperformance, combined with the high stock illiquidity before SEO, which coincides the high return, …
Information Role Of Analysts' Target Prices: Event And Intra-Day Analysis, Fan Chen
Information Role Of Analysts' Target Prices: Event And Intra-Day Analysis, Fan Chen
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
I have documented that target prices subsumed in downgrade recommendations are the most informative while target prices in coverage reiteration are the least informative. The First Call database enables me to extend the analysis to an intraday frequency. Conducting event studies using high frequency data, is even more critical given the advent of information technology systems has dramatically changed the landscape of stock trading. The modified approach to event study is relevant to the fast-changing trading environment in today's capital market. For upgrades, there are significant positive market-adjusted returns lasting 20 minutes; for downgrades, there are significant negative market-adjusted returns …
On Stock Return Patterns Following Large Weekly Price Movements: The Case Of Hong Kong, Yue Lu
On Stock Return Patterns Following Large Weekly Price Movements: The Case Of Hong Kong, Yue Lu
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
In this paper, I examine the short-run and long-run performance of the largest 49 stocks in Hong Kong market which experience weekly price movements of more than ±10% between 1999 and 2007. For both decline and increase events, one-week significant reversal is documented. But such reversal in returns diminishes very quickly within two or three weeks. From a long-run perspective, I find that large price increases are followed by negative performance, which is consistent with the overreaction hypothesis. However, large price declines are also followed by negative cumulative abnormal returns, which supports the underreaction hypothesis. Such findings indicate that the …
The Announcement Effects And The Long-Run Performances Of Convertible Bond Issuances, Wei Xie
The Announcement Effects And The Long-Run Performances Of Convertible Bond Issuances, Wei Xie
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
We discuss several measurements of equity components in CBs and then examine the short-run announcement effects and the long-run performances surrounding CB issuances by dividing the whole sample of CBs into a debt-like portfolio, a mixed portfolio and an equity-like portfolio. At the time of the CB issuance announcements, the market reactions to different portfolios strictly follow a hierarchy predicted by the pecking order hypothesis. In the long-run subsequent to the CB issuances, the buy and hold stock returns of the equity-like portfolio significantly underperform the industry and market benchmarks and the debt-like portfolio; the operating performances of the issuers …
The Effect Of Concentrated Institutional Portfolio On Stock Returns, Hao Li Zhang
The Effect Of Concentrated Institutional Portfolio On Stock Returns, Hao Li Zhang
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
This paper examines whether stock return is related to the extent of portfolio concentration on the part of institutional fund managers. There is evidence that large firms are preferred for both concentrated and well-diversified funds. Also, a trading strategy based on concentrated ownership generates positive abnormal return. This implies that informational effect (implied in an increase in concentrated capital) has significant impacts and predictability on returns. Meanwhile, we do not find diversified ownership has predictability on future stock returns.
Three Sections Of Applications Of Co-Integration: Hedge Funds, Industry And Main Global Equity Markets, Zhongjian Lin
Three Sections Of Applications Of Co-Integration: Hedge Funds, Industry And Main Global Equity Markets, Zhongjian Lin
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Co-integration is an econometric property of time series variables. If two or more series are themselves non-stationary (unit root process), but a linear combination of them is stationary, then the series are said to be co-integrated. If there is a co-integration among some time series, we can say there is a long-run equilibrium. That is the non-stationary time series may diverge from each other in short-run, however they would arrive at equilibrium in long-run. Therefore, we can use this methodology to test the existence of commonality of some non-stationary time series. Here we apply a semi-parametric cointegration test introduced by …
Venture Capital Firm's Reputation Effect On Its Start-Up Company's Long Term Operating Performance And Survivorship, Huei Siang Yap
Venture Capital Firm's Reputation Effect On Its Start-Up Company's Long Term Operating Performance And Survivorship, Huei Siang Yap
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
In this paper, I tested the effects of three proxies for venture capitalist(VC) reputation on its invested company's long term industry-djusted operating performances (ROA , ROE), market-to-book ratio and survival time (time to delisting) in the aftermarket. VC's market share and VC's IPO share have strong and positive association with the post-IPO long-term performance metrics, and the effects are statistically significant even after accounting for self-selection bias. For long term survivorship of start-up companies, I applied hazard analysis to the IPO company's time to delisting with accelerated failure time (AFT) model as the baseline hazard function, and found that start …
Information Uncertainty And The Momentum Effect, Nicholas Liu Chang Cher
Information Uncertainty And The Momentum Effect, Nicholas Liu Chang Cher
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
I identify simple proxies for uncertainty and attempt to determine if the returns to a momentum strategy vary with these proxies. The proxies identified include the stock's daily 6-month historical return volatility, the magnitude of alpha in a 6-month historical regression of the stock's daily returns on the Fama-French factors and the (1-R2) value of the regression. The exposures to each of the risk factors were also tested as possible proxies for uncertainty related to the factors.
Using daily stock return data from CRSP from 1926 to 2006, stocks are first sorted into quintiles based on these proxies. A momentum …
Offshore Financial Havens: Their Role In International Capital Flows, Zhixiang Sun
Offshore Financial Havens: Their Role In International Capital Flows, Zhixiang Sun
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
The purpose of this paper is to study the role of offshore financial havens in international capital flows. We examine the effects of being a tax haven, a money laundering centre or an offshore financial centre (OFC), which often overlap. We want to see whether these places are used as entrepots (which means temporary storage for funds) or as investment places or both. We mainly use two complementary data sets: bilateral cross-border asset holding and financial intermediation. One is a stock variable and the other one is a flow variable. We apply the gravity model to bilateral cross-border asset holding …
Rolling Adf Tests: Detecting Rational Bubbles In Greater China Stock Markets, Peng Huang
Rolling Adf Tests: Detecting Rational Bubbles In Greater China Stock Markets, Peng Huang
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Following Phillips, Wu and Yu (2007), this paper extends their bubble detecting work to several Greater China stock markets. Two alternative bubble detecting methods, the forward recursive ADF tests raised by Phillips et al. (2007) and the modified version, forward rolling ADF tests, are implemented and compared. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to determine the critical values of the ADF statistic under different sample size. Empirical results demonstrate that only rolling ADF tests are successful in detecting rational bubbles by overcoming the problem of periodically collapsing bubble. As we have expected, bubbles in China Mainland stock market are detected. Out …
Stock Markets And Income Inequality: A Cross-Country Study, Elizabeth Mathew
Stock Markets And Income Inequality: A Cross-Country Study, Elizabeth Mathew
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
This paper conducts a comprehensive analysis to understand how stock market ratios affect net income inequality. The study of how finance impacts income distribution is relevant as the income distribution of a nation influences savings decisions, resource allocation, innovation incentives and public policy and hence impacts the process of economic development. Using a cross-sectional data set of 68 countries and panel data set of 61 countries from 1975 to 2005, I apply cross-sectional OLS and panel regressions to look at how stock market size, liquidity, and activity impact income inequality. While stock market size is found to strongly impact income …
Flow-Performance Relationship And Tournament Behavior In The Mutual Fund Industry, Baoling Ma
Flow-Performance Relationship And Tournament Behavior In The Mutual Fund Industry, Baoling Ma
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
In this paper, we interpret the flow-performance relationship as an incentive scheme implicitly given to mutual fund managers by mutual fund investors. We show that the flow-performance relationship varies not only with economic activity but also across fund attributes. We provide evidence that the degree of convexity of the flow-performance relationship has a positive effect on the magnitude of tournament behavior. Different from the conventional tournament hypothesis, we show that although the convexity of the flow-performance relationship does produce implicit incentives for fund managers to modify risk-taking behavior as a function of their prior performance, whether or not the mid-year …
Test For Infinite Variance In Stock Returns, Xian Ning Yan
Test For Infinite Variance In Stock Returns, Xian Ning Yan
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
The existence of second order moment or the finite variance is a commonly used assumption in financial time series analysis. We examine the validation of this condition for main stock index return series by applying the extreme value theory. We compare the performances of the adaptive Hill's estimator and the Smith's estimator for the tail index using Monte Carlo simulations for both i.i.d data and dependent data. The simulation results show that the Hill's estimator with adaptive data-based truncation number performs better in both cases. It has not only smaller bias but also smaller MSE when the true tail index …
The Cross-Section Of Stock Return And Volatility, Hongchao Han
The Cross-Section Of Stock Return And Volatility, Hongchao Han
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
There has been increasing research on the cross-sectional relation between stock return and volatility. Conclusions are, however, mixed, partially because volatility or variance is modeled or parameterized in various ways. This paper, by using the Jiang and Tian (2005)'s model-free method, estimates daily option implied volatility for all US individual stocks from 1996:01 to 2006:04, and then employs this information to extract monthly volatilities and their idiosyncratic parts for cross-sectional regression analyses. We follow the Fama and French (1992) cross-sectional regression procedure and show that each of the 4 monthly measures of change of total volatility, total volatility, expected idiosyncratic …
The Impact Of Credit Watch And Bond Rating Changes On Abnormal Stock Returns For Non-Usa Domiciled Corporations, Benjamin Boon Ching Ee
The Impact Of Credit Watch And Bond Rating Changes On Abnormal Stock Returns For Non-Usa Domiciled Corporations, Benjamin Boon Ching Ee
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
In this paper, we investigate whether credit watches and bond rating changes issued by Moodys' and S&P Credit Rating Agencies provide significant new information to investors for Non-USA domiciled corporations. We also examine whether the stock related cumulative abnormal return (CAR) differs according to the classification of the country of domicile (emerging or developed) of the corporation, and varies by state of the local stock market during the time of the rating event.
We find that on average, negative credit watches as well as long term rating downgrades result in significant stock related CAR for Non-USA domiciled 4 corporations. However, …