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Full-Text Articles in Operations and Supply Chain Management

Essays On Behavioral Aspects Of Retail Operations, Ceren Gultekin Jun 2026

Essays On Behavioral Aspects Of Retail Operations, Ceren Gultekin

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

This dissertation combines a structured literature review on availability signaling in retail with two analytical chapters on inventory disclosure. The literature review incorporates the design and key insights of a systematic review and identifies directions for future research. Inventory disclosure is a form of availability signaling through which retailers strategically communicate stock levels to influence consumer buy-now-or-wait decisions. To mitigate strategic purchase deferrals, retailers may share low stock to create urgency or mask high stock to prevent consumers from relying on abundance. Despite its importance for profitability, academic findings and industry practices vary widely, ranging from consistent sharing to consistent …


Managing Multi-Channel Service Operations, Omer Berk Olmez Jun 2026

Managing Multi-Channel Service Operations, Omer Berk Olmez

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

In today’s evolving service landscape, the growth of virtual channels alongside traditional in-person services is changing how providers interact with customers and how services are delivered. This dissertation studies how service systems should be designed and managed when customers can choose between virtual and in-person channels through three connected perspectives: customer behavior, work design, and public policy. The first study examines booking-window design in a pooled multi-channel appointment system using appointment-level data from an undergraduate advising office, a queueing model, and a digital twin. It shows that booking windows shape the offered set and the flow of demand across channels, …


The Effects Of Private Equity Ownership Of Acute Care Hospitals On Patient Experience, Abigail M. Huffman May 2026

The Effects Of Private Equity Ownership Of Acute Care Hospitals On Patient Experience, Abigail M. Huffman

Theses and Dissertations

In 10 years, private-equity firms' share of hospitals has grown from 2-3% to 8%.  Using data from two sources: the Hospital Consumer Assessment of Healthcare Providers and Systems (HCAHPS) patient surveys and the Private Equity Stakeholder Project (PESP), I demonstrate a causal effect of private-equity ownership on patient satisfaction using difference-in-difference methods.


Struggling In A Man’S World: Moderated And Mediation Model For Women To Stay In The Logistics Industry, Abdul Hafaz Ngah, Nurul Izni Kamalrulzaman, Samar Rahi, Nurul Haqimin Salleh, Jagan Jeevan, Aamir Rashid Apr 2026

Struggling In A Man’S World: Moderated And Mediation Model For Women To Stay In The Logistics Industry, Abdul Hafaz Ngah, Nurul Izni Kamalrulzaman, Samar Rahi, Nurul Haqimin Salleh, Jagan Jeevan, Aamir Rashid

Publications and Research

Technological advancements have transformed the nature of work, attracting more women to challenging industries such as the logistics industry. Despite this technological advancement and progress in promoting gender equality, achieving gender parity in this industry remains stagnant. Using the extended self-determination theory, this study explores new mediating and moderating variables to identify factors influencing female employee retention in the logistics industry in Malaysia. Based on a quantitative approach and purposive sampling, 278 responses were collected from women in the logistics industry through online surveys. Most direct hypotheses were supported, and significant mediation and moderation effects were found. In addition to …


Information Sharing, Quality Management, And Firm Performance: The Mediating Role Of Supply Chain Agility, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed, Syed Babar Ali Apr 2026

Information Sharing, Quality Management, And Firm Performance: The Mediating Role Of Supply Chain Agility, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed, Syed Babar Ali

Publications and Research

The fashion industry’s business is becoming increasingly complicated and active. This industry is expected to be highly competitive, particularly in the retail sector. Therefore, this research aims to examine the impact of supply chain information sharing and quality management on firm performance, with supply chain agility as a mediating variable, in the Asian fashion industry. A total of 169 participants from the fashion sector in a developing country were surveyed. The proposed hypotheses were examined using a quantitative approach, employing Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) via SmartPLS to assess and validate the measurement model. The results indicate that …


Enabling Coercive Drivers With Green Supply Chain Management Practices To Gain Performance Nexus Through External Collaboration And Monitoring, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed Oct 2025

Enabling Coercive Drivers With Green Supply Chain Management Practices To Gain Performance Nexus Through External Collaboration And Monitoring, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed

Publications and Research

Businesses primarily provide products or services, expand operations, and generate profits. However, they frequently disregard the environmental and economic consequences of their actions as they strive for profitability and growth. Consequently, the main objective of this research was to examine the impact of a multifaceted supply chain function on performance. Data were collected from 415 respondents employed in various manufacturing companies within a developing economy. The hypotheses were evaluated using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) through Smart PLS. The findings discovered that ten of the thirteen hypotheses tested were supported, while three were not. Coercive drivers were observed to significantly influence …


Engaging For A Sustainable Manufacturing: The Power Of Adaptive Leadership In Industry 5.0, Rizwana Rasheed, Aamir Rashid, Abdul Hafaz, Rashid Hashmi Jul 2025

Engaging For A Sustainable Manufacturing: The Power Of Adaptive Leadership In Industry 5.0, Rizwana Rasheed, Aamir Rashid, Abdul Hafaz, Rashid Hashmi

Publications and Research

In today’s highly competitive and rapidly evolving business environment, organizations must continuously adapt to technological advancements and market volatility. This study examines how adaptive leadership influences sustainable manufacturing through employee engagement, with employee wellbeing as a mediator and mindfulness as a moderator. Using data from 1,388 U.S. manufacturers and PLS-SEM analysis, the research confirms that adaptive leadership positively impacts sustainable manufacturing through engaged employees and enhanced wellbeing. Additionally, employee mindfulness significantly strengthens the relationship between adaptive leadership and engagement. These findings highlight the importance of leadership styles that foster employee participation and mental wellbeing in achieving long-term manufacturing sustainability. The …


Synergizing Tqm, Jit, And Green Supply Chain Practices: Strategic Insights For Enhanced Environmental Performance, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed, Noor Aina Amirah Jan 2025

Synergizing Tqm, Jit, And Green Supply Chain Practices: Strategic Insights For Enhanced Environmental Performance, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed, Noor Aina Amirah

Publications and Research

Background: This study examined the role of total quality management, just-in-time, and green supply chain management practices to improve environmental performance. Methods: Data from 207 manufacturing industry respondents from a developing economy were tested through a quantitative method using PLS-SEM with the help of SmartPLS to validate the measurement model. Results: The results show that just-in-time significantly impacts total quality management and green supply chain management practices. Similarly, total quality management significantly affects environmental performance. However, just-in-time insignificantly affects the environment. Likewise, total quality management is insignificant and negatively affects green supply chain practices. Conclusion: This research provides practical insight …


Breaking Into The Black Box Of Customer Perception Towards Robot Service: Empirical Evidence From Service Sector, Samar Rahi, Mazuri Abd Ghani, Manaf Al-Okaily, Aamir Rashid, Mahmoud Alghizzawi, Fadi Shehab Shiyyab Sep 2024

Breaking Into The Black Box Of Customer Perception Towards Robot Service: Empirical Evidence From Service Sector, Samar Rahi, Mazuri Abd Ghani, Manaf Al-Okaily, Aamir Rashid, Mahmoud Alghizzawi, Fadi Shehab Shiyyab

Publications and Research

The advent of artificial intelligence and machine learning has enabled robots to serve in consumer market for a better customer experience. Nevertheless, acceptance of robotic technology among consumers is still lacking. Therefore, this study has developed an integrated model with robot appearance, expectation confirmation model, diffusion of innovation and theory of planned behavior and empirically investigates customer intention to use service robot. The research model is empirically tested with 349 responses retrieved from customers visiting retail stores. Statistical results have revealed that customer innovativeness, compatibility, behavioral control, expectation confirmation, service robot appearance and subjective norms explained R2 80.1 % variance …


Integrating Environmental And Entrepreneurship Advocacy Into Enviropreneurship Through Green Supply Chain Management, Waste Management, And Green Innovation: A Study On Smes Of Us, Rizwana Rasheed, Aamir Rashid, Noor Aina Amirah, Rashid Hashmi Jun 2024

Integrating Environmental And Entrepreneurship Advocacy Into Enviropreneurship Through Green Supply Chain Management, Waste Management, And Green Innovation: A Study On Smes Of Us, Rizwana Rasheed, Aamir Rashid, Noor Aina Amirah, Rashid Hashmi

Publications and Research

Many entrepreneurs across the US are the key players in building a greener economy. Their agility and innovative spirit offer a source of potential solutions. This is especially true for small businesses, which can quickly adapt to sustainable practices. Therefore, this research investigated the direct and indirect (mediating) roles of waste management and green innovations in green supply chain management and enviropreneurship performance, which is a transition from environmental to enviropreneurship advocacy. This study used a deductive approach with a quantitative research method. A study of a survey for 835 supply chain professionals in US small and medium enterprises used …


Fostering A Safety Culture In Manufacturing Industry Through Safety Behavior: A Structural Equation Modelling Approach, Noor Aina Amirah, Nik Fadhilah Nik Him, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed, Tengku Noor Zaliha, Asyraf Afthanorhan Mar 2024

Fostering A Safety Culture In Manufacturing Industry Through Safety Behavior: A Structural Equation Modelling Approach, Noor Aina Amirah, Nik Fadhilah Nik Him, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed, Tengku Noor Zaliha, Asyraf Afthanorhan

Publications and Research

Creating a robust safety management system is crucial for fostering a culture of safety in the workplace, particularly in industries like manufacturing where improvements are still needed. This study aimed to assess the impact of safety behavior on safety culture within the manufacturing sector. Employing a quantitative approach, questionnaires were distributed to 342 employees in manufacturing firms during data collection. The collected data underwent analysis using Structural Equation Modeling through IBM-SPSS-AMOS 24.0 to test the proposed model. The study findings revealed that components of safety behavior, specifically safety compliance and safety leadership, have a significant influence on safety culture. This …


Logistics Service Quality And Product Satisfaction In E-Commerce, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed Feb 2024

Logistics Service Quality And Product Satisfaction In E-Commerce, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed

Publications and Research

Consumer satisfaction in e-commerce directly depends on logistical services. There is a constant dilemma in which logistical service dimensions affect consumers’ product satisfaction. The aim is to determine how specific dimensions of logistics services affect product satisfaction in the e-commerce industry of Pakistan. For this research, a survey questionnaire with a deductive approach was utilized by collecting data from 197 respondents through a convenient sampling technique. Further, hypotheses were tested through a quantitative method with the help of SmartPLS. A measuring instrument was used with six dimensions, that is, availability, delivery time, shipping costs, product quality and condition, information quality, …


Containerization Of Seafarers In The International Shipping Industry: Contemporary Seamanship, Maritime Social Infrastructures, And Mobility Politics Of Global Logistics, Liang Wu Feb 2024

Containerization Of Seafarers In The International Shipping Industry: Contemporary Seamanship, Maritime Social Infrastructures, And Mobility Politics Of Global Logistics, Liang Wu

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

This dissertation discusses the mobility politics of container shipping and argues that technological development, political-economic order, and social infrastructure co-produce one another. Containerization, the use of standardized containers to carry cargo across modes of transportation that is said to have revolutionized and globalized international trade since the late 1950s, has served to expand and extend the power of international coalitions of states and corporations to control the movements of commodities (shipments) and labor (seafarers). The advent and development of containerization was driven by a sociotechnical imaginary and international social contract of seamless shipping and cargo flows. In practice, this liberal, …


The Prisma Statement In Enviropreneurship Study: A Systematic Literature And A Research Agenda, Muath Maqbool Albhirat, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed, Shahid Rasool, Siti Nur Atikah Zulkiffli, Hafiz Muhammad Zia-Ul-Haq, Al Montaser Mohammad Jan 2024

The Prisma Statement In Enviropreneurship Study: A Systematic Literature And A Research Agenda, Muath Maqbool Albhirat, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed, Shahid Rasool, Siti Nur Atikah Zulkiffli, Hafiz Muhammad Zia-Ul-Haq, Al Montaser Mohammad

Publications and Research

As environmental awareness takes centre stage in business, entrepreneurship research has established a dedicated subfield for sustainability-driven ventures. The growing emphasis on sustainable business practices has led entrepreneurship research to identify entrepreneurship-related sustainability as a critical subfield. However, the inconsistent terminology used, such as “green entrepreneurship,” “ecopreneurship”, and “entrepreneurship” (ENP), reflects the fragmented nature of research in this area. A Systematic Literature Review on entrepreneurship-related sustainability was conducted to address this, focusing on the term “enviropreneurship” and applying PRISMA guidelines for transparency and methodological standardization. A total of 67 research articles published between 2013 and 2022 were analyzed to identify …


Criteria For Assessing And Ensuring The Trustworthiness In Qualitative Research, Zia Ul Haq Kakar, Rizwana Rasheed, Aamir Rashid, Salma Akhter Dec 2023

Criteria For Assessing And Ensuring The Trustworthiness In Qualitative Research, Zia Ul Haq Kakar, Rizwana Rasheed, Aamir Rashid, Salma Akhter

Publications and Research

The trustworthiness of qualitative data has been debatable, yet it has strong support from its supporters. However, the importance and worth of qualitative data cannot be undermined. This paper presents a critical review of the trustworthiness of the qualitative data. The degree of trustworthiness of qualitative research can be measured by ensuring the credibility, transferability, dependability, and conformability of research design, process, and action. The guarantee of trustworthiness in qualitative research is more complex than in quantitative research due to its subjective nature. Many researchers and experts denied the generalizability of qualitative research. However, few researchers, like Guba (1985), developed …


Achieving Sustainability Through Multifaceted Green Functions In Manufacturing, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed, Abdul Hafaz Nagah Nov 2023

Achieving Sustainability Through Multifaceted Green Functions In Manufacturing, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed, Abdul Hafaz Nagah

Publications and Research

Purpose – Green practices are essential for sustainability. However, it is challenging due to the socioeconomic and environmental concerns. Similarly, after the induced SDG-12 and SDG-13 by United Nations, the pressure groups forced manufacturers to consider sustainability. Therefore, this research aims to examine the sustainability through multifaceted green functions in manufacturing is examined. Design/methodology/approach – Data were collected from 293 supply chain professionals of manufacturers from a developing economy. Hypotheses were tested through a quantitative method using partial least squares-structural equationmodelingwith the help of SmartPLS version 4 to validate themeasurementmodel. Findings – The findings revealed that all six direct hypotheses …


Information Technology And People Involvement In Organizational Performance Through Supply Chain Collaboration, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed, Noor Aina Amirah May 2023

Information Technology And People Involvement In Organizational Performance Through Supply Chain Collaboration, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed, Noor Aina Amirah

Publications and Research

Purpose – Supply chain collaboration (SCC) benefits organizational performance (OP). Although it is complex, it is also hard to implement and measure collaborative initiatives in the field of the supply chain. This study aims to examine the role of information technology (IT) and people’s involvement in OP through the mediation of supply chain collaboration. Design/methodology/approach – This study used a deductive and quantitative approach to test the research hypotheses. Data was collected from 249 supply chain professionals working at various manufacturing firms. Findings – This research found a significant effect of IT on supply chain collaboration. Similarly, people involvement (PI) …


Role Of Service Quality Factors In Word Of Mouth Through Student Satisfaction, Rizwana Rasheed, Aamir Rashid Apr 2023

Role Of Service Quality Factors In Word Of Mouth Through Student Satisfaction, Rizwana Rasheed, Aamir Rashid

Publications and Research

Purpose

Service quality in academics is imperatively crucial. Therefore, the purpose of the current research is to examine the effect of academic service quality factors in higher education institutions which mainly focuses on students' satisfaction and the extent of recommending the same institution to other students.

Design/methodology/approach

This research evaluated the effect of service quality on student satisfaction and word of mouth (WOM). Data were collected from 200 respondents from various business schools, and hypotheses were tested through a quantitative method using partial least square-structural equation modelling (PLS-SEM) with the help of SmartPLS to validate the measurement model.

Findings

The …


Mediation Of Inventory Management In The Relationship Between Knowledge And Firm Performance, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed Apr 2023

Mediation Of Inventory Management In The Relationship Between Knowledge And Firm Performance, Aamir Rashid, Rizwana Rasheed

Publications and Research

The role of inventory management is pivotal to improving the overall firm performance, but when it comes to the healthcare sector, then it becomes more crucial. This sector often countenances stocks-outs for life-saving drugs and equipment and competent staff that ascent the mortality rate. Thus, the current research aimed to analyze the effect of knowledge on firm performance through inventory management. For this research, a survey questionnaire with a deductive approach was utilized by collecting data from 200 respondents through multistage cluster sampling. IBM SPSS AMOS version 22.0 as a statistical tool was utilized to analyze the measurement model. Results …


A Paradigm Of Blockchain And Supply Chain Performance: A Mediated Model Using Structural Equation Modeling, Aamir Rashid, Syed Babar Ali, Rizwana Rasheed, Noor Aina Amirah, Abdul Hafaz Ngah Aug 2022

A Paradigm Of Blockchain And Supply Chain Performance: A Mediated Model Using Structural Equation Modeling, Aamir Rashid, Syed Babar Ali, Rizwana Rasheed, Noor Aina Amirah, Abdul Hafaz Ngah

Publications and Research

Purpose – This paper aims to find the impact of blockchain supply chain on supply chain performance with a mediating role of supplier trust, traceability and transparency. Design/methodology/approach – Data was collected using the purposive sampling technique on a fivepoint Likert scale from 150 respondents. For data analysis, IBM SPSS and Smart PLS 3.3.7 were used to test the hypotheses by evaluating the structural equation modeling. Findings – The blockchain supply chain found a significant effect on supply chain performance. Moreover, there is a substantial effect of the blockchain supply chain on supply chain performance via mediators, including supplier trust, …


Supply Chain Viability: Conceptualization, Measurement, And Nomological Validation, Salomée Ruel, Jamal El Baz, Dmitry Ivanov, Ajay Das Mar 2021

Supply Chain Viability: Conceptualization, Measurement, And Nomological Validation, Salomée Ruel, Jamal El Baz, Dmitry Ivanov, Ajay Das

Publications and Research

Supply chain viability (SCV) is an emerging concept of growing importance in operations management. This paper aims to conceptualize, develop, and validate a measurement scale for SCV. SCV is first defined and operationalized as a construct, followed by content validation and item measure development. Data have been collected through three independent samplings comprising a total of 558 respondents. Both exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses are used in a step-wise manner for scale development. Reliability and validity are evaluated. A nomological model is theorized and tested to evaluate nomological validity. For the first time, our study frames SCV as a novel …


How Should We Understand The Digital Economy In Asia? Critical Assessment And Research Agenda, Kai Li, Dan J. Kim, Karl R. Lang, Robert J. Kauffman, Maurizio Naldi Sep 2020

How Should We Understand The Digital Economy In Asia? Critical Assessment And Research Agenda, Kai Li, Dan J. Kim, Karl R. Lang, Robert J. Kauffman, Maurizio Naldi

Publications and Research

By Asian digital economy, we refer to high-tech developments, business and social transformations, and information- driven changes in the region’s growth. We discuss its background and foundations, significance in Asia and contribution to removal of historical barriers in traditional business. We assess how new value chains are transforming country-level involvement in worldwide manufacturing and note “smiling curve theory” predictions about the global value chain in Asia for high-tech firms and their economies. The takeaway is that the digital economy in Asian nations involves revamping business processes through technology innovation, government policies for growth, and digital entrepreneurship. We analyze the “digital …


Cost Stickiness And Supply Chain Bargaining Power, Binghao (Jimmy) Zhao Sep 2019

Cost Stickiness And Supply Chain Bargaining Power, Binghao (Jimmy) Zhao

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

Given the essential role of supply chains in the economy, furthering our understanding of the interactions between trade partners is important. In this paper, I study the relation between cost stickiness and bargaining power over supply chain partners. I document evidence consistent with the argument that firms wield supply chain bargaining power to avoid cost stickiness by shifting high adjustment costs onto their trade partners. In particular, I show that the level of SG&A and COGS stickiness is negatively associated with firms’ bargaining power over their suppliers and customers. My results are robust to using industry competition as an alternative …


Modular Interconnected Processes, Fluid Partnering, And Innovation Speed: A Loosely Coupled Systems Perspective On B2b Service Supply Chain Management, Chandan Acharya, Divesh Ojha, Pankaj C. Patel, Rahul Gokhale Aug 2019

Modular Interconnected Processes, Fluid Partnering, And Innovation Speed: A Loosely Coupled Systems Perspective On B2b Service Supply Chain Management, Chandan Acharya, Divesh Ojha, Pankaj C. Patel, Rahul Gokhale

Publications and Research

In this paper, we examine whether and how loosely coupled systems in service supply chains influence the speed of innovation in service organizations. Drawing upon the nomological network of loosely coupled systems, we propose a way for supply chains in the business to business (B2B) market context to be conceptualized as loosely coupled systems and explain how the dialectical elements of modularity at the interface of standard process and content interfaces (SPCI) and structured data connectivity (SDC) enable the sharing of high-quality information through fluid partnership in service supply chains to improve innovation speed. Results that are based on a …


Corporate Governance & Sustainability Of The Global Value Chain: Bangladesh Ready-Made Garment Industry Post-Rana Plaza Investigation Into Fairness Of Value Appropriation By Global Apparel Brands, Manufacturers And Labour, Yoshiteru Uramoto, Lilac Nachum Prof Jul 2018

Corporate Governance & Sustainability Of The Global Value Chain: Bangladesh Ready-Made Garment Industry Post-Rana Plaza Investigation Into Fairness Of Value Appropriation By Global Apparel Brands, Manufacturers And Labour, Yoshiteru Uramoto, Lilac Nachum Prof

Publications and Research

On 24 April 2013 more than 1,100 people died in the Rana Plaza garment factory collapse in Bangladesh. TV cameras focused on the victims of this horror – the garment workers, their unsafe and pitifully low incomes. Improvements were promised, by the factory owners, their international buyer customers, Bangladesh Government and civil society groups. This study sought to examine to what extent these promises had been delivered upon. Bangladesh is the world’s second largest exporter of ready-made garments. The industry has played a central role in the country’s economic development and poverty alleviation. It is widely agreed that labor safety …


Sewing Garments, Sowing Lives: Two Generations Of Migrant Workers' Back And Forth To The Chinese Coast, Alice Tzou Jun 2017

Sewing Garments, Sowing Lives: Two Generations Of Migrant Workers' Back And Forth To The Chinese Coast, Alice Tzou

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

Migrant workers in China have been at the center of popular news media and scholarly attention for three decades, since they started to migrate to work in factories on the coast in the post-1978 Economic Reform era. As western and central China has developed and work opportunities have arisen in these migrant-sending regions, internal migrants have started to return home. Push and pull factors of internal migration have been reversed. Poverty and lack of job opportunities used to be the push factors; they are now replaced by new push factors—long hours of work and long-distance travel to and from the …


Supply Chain Organizational Infrastructure For Promoting Entrepreneurial Emphasis And Innovativeness: The Role Of Trust And Learning., Divesh Ojha, Jeff Shockley, Chandan Acharya Jan 2016

Supply Chain Organizational Infrastructure For Promoting Entrepreneurial Emphasis And Innovativeness: The Role Of Trust And Learning., Divesh Ojha, Jeff Shockley, Chandan Acharya

Publications and Research

Research has argued that inter-organizational trust and learning are critical factors associated with successful supply chain innovation and long-term competitiveness. In this paper, we develop and test a proposed model of supply chain organizational design using survey data collected from 128 decision-makers across diverse sample of supply chain decision-makers across many industries. Our analysis provides evidence that both trust and supply chain learning play important, but distinctive roles in developing an entrepreneurial and innovative supply chains. Moreover, our research findings add critical insight into existing resource-based perspectives of supply chain innovation by illuminating the roles and progression of the different …


Analysis And Prediction Of Telephone Demand In Local Geographic Areas, Douglas M. Dunn, William (Bill) H. Williams, W. Allen Spivey Oct 1971

Analysis And Prediction Of Telephone Demand In Local Geographic Areas, Douglas M. Dunn, William (Bill) H. Williams, W. Allen Spivey

Publications and Research

An approach to forecasting the demand or local area telephone service is presented in this paper. The specific problem discussed is the fore­ casting of main stations in three Michigan metropolitan areas. Several different statistical models are used. The first class of models introduced uses adaptive exponential smoothing and is based solely on the past history of the time series involved. Although appropriate data at the local area level are very difficult to obtain, two exogenous time series related to household formations are used to construct more elaborate models for one of the areas. The various models are evaluated by …