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Articles 121 - 137 of 137
Full-Text Articles in Finance and Financial Management
Improving Pro Forma Analysis Through Better Terminal Value Estimates, Tom Arnold, David S. North, Roy A. Wiggins
Improving Pro Forma Analysis Through Better Terminal Value Estimates, Tom Arnold, David S. North, Roy A. Wiggins
Finance Faculty Publications
Basic pro forma analysis often estimates the terminal value input using a simple growing perpetuity assumption. While this assumption is easy to implement, it potentially creates an upward bias in some inputs leading to lower firm or project value outputs. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate a more accurate way to estimate the terminal value input. Further, by allowing for multiple sales growth rates and by not restricting other input variables to necessarily grow at these same rates, a more accurate, flexible, compact, and thorough analysis is possible.
An Excel Application For Valuing European Options With Monte Carlo Analysis, Tom Arnold, Stephen C. Henry
An Excel Application For Valuing European Options With Monte Carlo Analysis, Tom Arnold, Stephen C. Henry
Finance Faculty Publications
By developing the basic intuition of how Monte Carlo simulation works within an Excel spreadsheet framework, this paper allows the undergraduate student to use Monte Carlo simulation techniques to price European style options without additional sophisticated software. Further, the skills and intuition developed provide the basis for much more complex simulation techniques.
Legal Online Marketing Issues: The Opportunities And Challenges, Michael T. Zugelder
Legal Online Marketing Issues: The Opportunities And Challenges, Michael T. Zugelder
Finance Faculty Publications
This chapter will review several emerging issues associated with e-marketing from the perspective of Web sites including intellectual property, information management, and contracting. E-marketers in the years to come should not only consider the growing e-marketing opportunities but also be cognizant of the growing body of law governing marketing online. While the future may be bright and uniformity and fairness may prevail, current domestic and global law facing e-marketers is varied and the potential basis for liability. The law must be considered wherever e-marketers direct their efforts.
Is Fed Policy Still Relevant For Investors?, C. Mitchell Conover, Gerald R. Jensen, Robert R. Johnson, Jeffrey M. Mercer
Is Fed Policy Still Relevant For Investors?, C. Mitchell Conover, Gerald R. Jensen, Robert R. Johnson, Jeffrey M. Mercer
Finance Faculty Publications
Using 38 years of data, we show that U.S. monetary policy has had, and continues to have, a strong relationship with security returns. Specifically, we find that U.S. stock returns are consistently higher and less volatile during periods when the Federal Reserve is following an expansive monetary policy. Further, firms considered to be more sensitive to changes in monetary conditions, such as small firms and cyclicals, exhibit monetary-policy-related return patterns that are much more pronounced than average. Lastly, the influence of U.S. monetary policy is shown to be a global phenomenon, as international indices have return patterns similar to those …
Using The Wacc To Value Real Options, Tom Arnold, Timothy Falcon Crack
Using The Wacc To Value Real Options, Tom Arnold, Timothy Falcon Crack
Finance Faculty Publications
We present a real option valuation using the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). This is an alternative to risk-neutral real option valuation. Using the WACC involves a marginal increase in mathematical complexity, but it is easy to implement in a spreadsheet, and it is easy to present to management. Our analysis reveals, however, that because the real option valuation is immune to choices of admissible discount rates (as per Arnold and Crack 2003a), the critical issue is correct estimation of volatility, not choice of discount rate. We also point out that the natural and conservative tendency to overestimate risk …
Interest Rate Parity In Excel, Tom Arnold, Bonnie Buchanan
Interest Rate Parity In Excel, Tom Arnold, Bonnie Buchanan
Finance Faculty Publications
This paper develops interest rate parity in a framework that is easily implemented in Excel. The student can either be given the paper to see how the code is developed using the intuition of the interest rate parity framework or the student can be taught the interest rate parity framework and develop the Excel code as an assignment. Using either teaching method or the other exercises suggested in the paper, the student is able to understand how traders exploit violations of interest parity and become more comfortable with basic concepts, such as direct quotes and indirect quotes.
Understanding The Impact Of Financial Decisions On Financial Statements: A Pedagogical Note, Tom Arnold, Leroy Brooks, Terry D. Nixon
Understanding The Impact Of Financial Decisions On Financial Statements: A Pedagogical Note, Tom Arnold, Leroy Brooks, Terry D. Nixon
Finance Faculty Publications
Viable financial planning requires financial managers' understanding of the consequences of impending decisions on their company's financial performance and position. Understanding the impact of prior decisions on their financial statements also enables future decisions aimed at improving their shareholders' wealth. This note intends to contribute to developing this capacity in finance students. We provide a presentation format directly connecting financial decisions to financial statement impacts. Bridging material covered in accounting courses and a finance student's needs as a possible future manager or analyst, this classroom pedagogy supplements and reinforces the objectives of the financial planning component of a finance course.
Divergent Opinions And The Performance Of Value Stocks, John A. Doukas, Chansog Francis Kim, Christos Pantzalis
Divergent Opinions And The Performance Of Value Stocks, John A. Doukas, Chansog Francis Kim, Christos Pantzalis
Finance Faculty Publications
Divergence of opinions among investors, manifested in the dispersion of analysts' earnings forecasts, may play an important role in asset pricing. This article reports tests of whether disagreement can explain the cross-sectional return difference between value and growth (or "glamour") stocks in the U.S. market over the 1983-2001 period. Consistent with the theoretical proposition that stocks subject to greater investor disagreement earn higher returns, the tests found value stocks to be exposed to greater investor disagreement than growth stocks. This finding suggests that the return advantage of value strategies is a reward for the greater disagreement about their future growth …
Short Interests In Real Estate Investment Trusts, Deqing Diane Li, Kenneth Yung
Short Interests In Real Estate Investment Trusts, Deqing Diane Li, Kenneth Yung
Finance Faculty Publications
We examine short interests in equity real estate investment trusts (REITs) between 1994 and 2001. Our results show that only high levels (the 90th percentile) of short interest are associated with significant negative REIT returns as the bearish content of short interest may have been mitigated by the favorable risk characteristics of real estate securities. In addition, the significant negative relationship between short interest and REIT returns applies only to REITs with poor performance. The result implies that the bearish sentiment of short interest could aslo be mitigated by good REIT managers in a real estate market that is informationally …
Intuitive Black-Scholes Option Pricing With A Simple Table, Tom Arnold, Terry D. Nixon, Richard L. Shockley Jr.
Intuitive Black-Scholes Option Pricing With A Simple Table, Tom Arnold, Terry D. Nixon, Richard L. Shockley Jr.
Finance Faculty Publications
The Black-Scholes option pricing model (1973) can be intimidating for the novice. By rearranging and combining some of the variables, one can reduce the number of parameters in the valuation problem from five to two: 1) the option's moneyness ratio and 2) its time-adjusted volatility. This allows the computationally complex Black-Scholes formula to be collapsed into an easy-to-use table similar to those in some popular textbooks. The tabular approach provides an excellent tool for building intuition about the comparative statics in the Black-Scholes equation. Further, the pricing table can be used to price options on dividend-paying stocks, commodities, foreign exchange …
Impact: What Influences Finance Research?, Tom Arnold, Alexander W. Butler, Timothy Falcon Crack, Ayca Altintig
Impact: What Influences Finance Research?, Tom Arnold, Alexander W. Butler, Timothy Falcon Crack, Ayca Altintig
Finance Faculty Publications
Which journal articles have had the most impact on finance research? Which journals dominated finance research in the 1990s? We answer these and similar questions using a comprehensive sample of journals, an extensive time period, and a new ranking method that avoids problems inherent in the existing literature. Among our findings: six of the 10 articles most highly cited by finance journals were published in econometrics or economics journals; Journal of Finance has the most citations, but it accounts for only one of the top 10 articles; and Journal of Financial Economics has the highest impact per article.
Finding Firm Value "Quickly" With An Analysis Of Debt, Tom Arnold, Jerry James
Finding Firm Value "Quickly" With An Analysis Of Debt, Tom Arnold, Jerry James
Finance Faculty Publications
A firm value calculator (FVC) is introduced that is much faster and less tedious than its pro forma counter-part. The additional benefit of this FVC over what is available in the existing literature is a direct analysis of the effect of leverage. The debt analysis is captured within both the firm's cash flow and the discount rate for the firm's cash flow. The calculator can be implemented on a hand-held calculator or on an Excel spreadsheet making the analysis very amenable to the classroom.
Adr Risk Characteristics And Measurement, Tom Arnold, Lance Nail, Terry D. Nixon
Adr Risk Characteristics And Measurement, Tom Arnold, Lance Nail, Terry D. Nixon
Finance Faculty Publications
While a healthy empirical literature exists on international diversification and its benefits, surprisingly few studies have examined the risk characteristics and efficacy of asset pricing models for one avenue of international diversification – investments in American Depository Receipts (ADRs). Originating in approximately 1927, ADRs provide an opportunity for investors to indirectly purchase shares of foreign firms. ADRs represent a claim to a given number of shares of a foreign firm held by a U.S. financial institution (e.g., Bank of New York). With the increasingly significant presence of ADR trading in the American stock markets – increasing six-fold between 1990 and …
Diversification Benefits From Foreign Real Estate Investment, C. Mitchell Conover, H. Swint Friday, G. Stacy Sirmans
Diversification Benefits From Foreign Real Estate Investment, C. Mitchell Conover, H. Swint Friday, G. Stacy Sirmans
Finance Faculty Publications
Previous research has questioned the stability of international equity diversification. This study examines whether foreign real estate exists in a more segmented market and whether foreign real estate provides any diversification benefit beyond that obtainable from foreign stocks. Using data encompassing the stock market crash of 1987, foreign real estate was found to have a lower correlation with U.S. stocks than foreign stocks. This lower correlation is shown to be stable through time as foreign real estate has a lower correlation in nearly the entire time period. Foreign real estate was also found to have a significant weight in efficient …
An Analysis Of The Cross Section Of Returns For Ereits Using A Varying-Risk Beta Model, C. Mitchell Conover, H. Swint Friday, Shelly W. Howton
An Analysis Of The Cross Section Of Returns For Ereits Using A Varying-Risk Beta Model, C. Mitchell Conover, H. Swint Friday, Shelly W. Howton
Finance Faculty Publications
A dual-beta asset pricing model is employed to examine the cross-section of realized equity real estate investment trust (EREIT) returns over bull and bear markets. No significant relationship is found between EREIT returns and a constant beta. However, beta explains cross-sectional returns when betas are allowed to vary across bull markets. This positive relationship exists for both January and non-January months. During bear-market months, no significant relationship is found between REIT betas and returns. But, during such months, size and book-to-market ratio are found to be negatively related to returns.
How Much Is Purchasing Power Parity Worth?, Stefan C. Norrbin, C. Mitchell Conover
How Much Is Purchasing Power Parity Worth?, Stefan C. Norrbin, C. Mitchell Conover
Finance Faculty Publications
Updating Bilson 's (1984) investment strategy using an out-of-sample forecast procedure, we find much smaller profits from a trading strategy based on purchasing power parity. Though the total profit is significant at a 5 percent level, it is substantially lower than what Bilson found. Our results suggest Bilson's excess profits are due to the sample of data used and the in-sample nature of the tests. Hence, this paper demonstrates that the simple investment strategy leads to the same conclusion that econometric testing does; namely, that purchasing power parity is only marginally useful in forecasting exchange rates.
Reverse Lbo Underpricing: Information Asymmetry Or Price Support, Gregory Noronha, Kenneth Yung
Reverse Lbo Underpricing: Information Asymmetry Or Price Support, Gregory Noronha, Kenneth Yung
Finance Faculty Publications
Most studies attribute the underpricing of initial public offerings of equity securities to the ex ante uncertainty resulting from the information differential between the firm going public and the market. Ruud (1991, 1993), however, proposes that underpricing could result from underwriter price support in the early after-market. A paper examines firms that were once public, went private via leveraged buyout, and then went public again. It is reasonable to expect that since these reverse LBOs (RLBO) were once publicly traded, they should have less of an information differential with the market than firms going public for the 1st time. Tests …