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Unlocking The Power Of Logic: Thinking Smarter Every Day A Beginner's Guide To Logical Thinking, Jesus Diaz Jan 2025

Unlocking The Power Of Logic: Thinking Smarter Every Day A Beginner's Guide To Logical Thinking, Jesus Diaz

A with Honors Projects

Power Point presented to an 11th and 12th grade high school audience, introducing them to the concept of logic.


Electrostatic Effects On The Transport And Dispersion Of Micro-Nano Pharmaceutical Powders, Mohammed Ali Jan 2025

Electrostatic Effects On The Transport And Dispersion Of Micro-Nano Pharmaceutical Powders, Mohammed Ali

Technology Faculty Publications and Presentations

A predetermined amount of micro-nano powder particles contributes to the treatment during a patient’s inhalation of the bolus of respiratory micro-nano pharmaceutical powders in an aerosolized state from commercially available inhalers. The most popular inhalers are the metered dose inhalers (MDIs) and dry powder inhalers (DPIs). While inhaling, the complicated inlet velocity profile and turbulent flow in the mouth-throat significantly impact the gaining of electrostatic charge through triboelectric charging. The inhaled particles are not only varying sizes but also polarities of charges. However, few studies have been conducted to investigate electrostatic charge force effects on particle losses in the oral, …


The City Of Sunbury Cemetery Mapping & 1936 Flood Research, Sophia M. Martinez, Fehr A. Gillett, Ben J. Faxon, Sarah M. Sanfield Jan 2025

The City Of Sunbury Cemetery Mapping & 1936 Flood Research, Sophia M. Martinez, Fehr A. Gillett, Ben J. Faxon, Sarah M. Sanfield

Final Reports in ENST 411: Environmental Community Projects

The City of Sunbury Cemetery Mapping & 1936 Flood Research Project was a community-driven effort to restore lost historical records of the Sunbury cemetery and to understand the context of how these records were originally lost. This project was completed as a partnership between the City of Sunbury government and four undergraduate environmental studies/sciences students in Bucknell University's ENST 411 Environmental Community Projects course. In this project, we used Geographic Information System (GIS) mapping technology, historical research, and volunteer engagement to create a comprehensive digital record of the cemetery. The goal of this project was to preserve Sunbury’s rich history …


Exploring The Benefits, Barriers, And Sustainability Of Community Stem Partnerships: A Qualitative Case Study On Stem Collaboration In Elementary Education, Katherine M. Blagden Jan 2025

Exploring The Benefits, Barriers, And Sustainability Of Community Stem Partnerships: A Qualitative Case Study On Stem Collaboration In Elementary Education, Katherine M. Blagden

Open Access Dissertations

In an era of increasing emphasis on science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) education, elementary schools often face significant challenges in implementing high-quality, integrated STEM instruction. These challenges include limited resources, inconsistent professional development, and a lack of access to real-world, community-based learning experiences (Dorph et al., 2018; National Science Board, 2024). This dissertation explores how collaborative partnerships among elementary schools, community organizations, and industry professionals can overcome these barriers and foster meaningful, sustainable STEM learning opportunities for young students. Drawing on the Asset-Based Community Development (ABCD) model (Kretzmann & McKnight, 1993) and informed by a constructivist theoretical framework (Vygotsky, …


Six Rivers National Forest Hazardous Fuels And Fire Management Project 2025 Orleans Complex Fire Effects From 9/13/25 - 9/14/25, James L. Parr, Nosheen Maung, Darby J. Lewis, Javier E. Margarito, Giancarlo Golloti Jan 2025

Six Rivers National Forest Hazardous Fuels And Fire Management Project 2025 Orleans Complex Fire Effects From 9/13/25 - 9/14/25, James L. Parr, Nosheen Maung, Darby J. Lewis, Javier E. Margarito, Giancarlo Golloti

Environmental Science & Management Senior Capstones

The 2025 Orleans Complex affected the Klamath National Priority Landscape, designated by Congress as a priority to reduce fuel load and mitigate wildfire risk near rural, at-risk communities. To address the threat of large destructive wildfires, the 2023 Six Rivers Hazardous Fuels and Fire Management Project identified desired ecological conditions, using the right type of fire at the right time and place.


Physicists As Environmental Experts, Rachel Rothschild Jan 2025

Physicists As Environmental Experts, Rachel Rothschild

Articles

The question of which scientists are qualified to provide expert guidance in legal controversies is a perennial debate among scholars, judges, and lawyers. Scientists who participate in legal disputes can achieve enormous power and influence, not only over the case at hand but over long-term developments in legal doctrine. While these issues arise in many areas of the law, environmental litigation has been a particularly active site of contestations over epistemic authority. Courts have frequently relied on scientists to understand whether the government is justified in regulating pollution and who may be liable for environmental and public health harms.

This …


Bioinspired Gradient Porous Hip Implant Design To Prevent Stress Shielding Using Stress Mapping And Bone Remodeling Theory, Babak Ziaie, Xavier Velay, Waqas Saleem Jan 2025

Bioinspired Gradient Porous Hip Implant Design To Prevent Stress Shielding Using Stress Mapping And Bone Remodeling Theory, Babak Ziaie, Xavier Velay, Waqas Saleem

Research Outputs: 2025-Present

Total Hip Arthroplasty (THA) is a widely performed surgical procedure, with increasing frequency worldwide. Despite its high success rate, many patients require revision surgeries due to complications such as aseptic loosening, primarily resulting from stress shielding, cortical hypertrophy, and micromotion. These issues often stem from a mechanical mismatch between the bone and the solid dense implant, particularly a mismatch in stiffness. A potential solution lies in the use of porous or lattice structures in implant design, which offer lower stiffness and improved biocompatibility by facilitating bone ingrowth, cell seeding, and vascularization. Among these designs, Triply Periodic Minimal Surfaces (TPMS), especially …


Diagnosing Statistical Education Needs Of Health Science Learners, Amy S. Nowacki, Ann M. Brearley, Robert A. Oster, Emily Slade, Katrina L. Devick, Matthew J. Hayat, Sally W. Thurston Jan 2025

Diagnosing Statistical Education Needs Of Health Science Learners, Amy S. Nowacki, Ann M. Brearley, Robert A. Oster, Emily Slade, Katrina L. Devick, Matthew J. Hayat, Sally W. Thurston

Biostatistics Faculty Publications

Many types of health science learners, including clinical and translational scientists, students, researchers, and clinicians, seek to increase their knowledge of biostatistics. These learners are heterogeneous in their field, career stage and career focus. Based on the collective experience of an expert panel with over 115 years teaching statistics to health science learners, we propose a framework for considering the needs of health science learners motivated by their career goals. This framework defines four types of health science learners seeking statistical training: (a) consumers, (b) “milestone makers”, (c) biomedical researchers with statistical support, and (d) biomedical researchers without statistical support. …


Using Analysis Of Teaching And Assessment Practices To Revise Implementation Of A Force Unit In An 8th Grade Science Course, Caleb Christine Jan 2025

Using Analysis Of Teaching And Assessment Practices To Revise Implementation Of A Force Unit In An 8th Grade Science Course, Caleb Christine

Graduate Research Papers

One thing I have noticed from my fellow teachers is a desire to improve how we teach and to engage our students in active learning. As a new teacher I have that same desire. Accomplishing my goal of being an effective teacher while also improving how the material is presented requires an approach that includes evaluating not only how the students are performing, but also how they are responding to my instruction.

I used self reflection journals to keep track of how I was presenting material in my classroom. I also collected information from completion of ungraded assignments and investigations. …


The Impacts Of A Problem-Based Learning Unit On Computational Thinking Skills In A 7th Grade Lego Robotics Classroom, Madison Beeler Jan 2025

The Impacts Of A Problem-Based Learning Unit On Computational Thinking Skills In A 7th Grade Lego Robotics Classroom, Madison Beeler

Graduate Research Papers

The primary focus of this study was to determine what impact problem-based learning (PBL) has on developing computational thinking skills, self-efficacy, and earth science understanding in a middle school robotics classroom. Twenty-eight students took part in a 36-day instructional unit based on the 5E Learning Cycle. Students explored Martian geology, analyzing rock data collected by the Perseverance rover mission to make connections between landforms, integrating Earth science with computational thinking tasks. Pre and post-test data assessed growth of computational thinking and self-efficacy. Statistical analysis showed significant growth in student self-efficacy, while gains in computational thinking were not statistically significant. Students …


Citizen-Centric Building Energy Retrofits: Understanding And Supporting Citizens As Occupants, Participants, Decision-Makers, And Learners In Home Energy Retrofits, Nikhil Singh Yaduvanshi Jan 2025

Citizen-Centric Building Energy Retrofits: Understanding And Supporting Citizens As Occupants, Participants, Decision-Makers, And Learners In Home Energy Retrofits, Nikhil Singh Yaduvanshi

Civil Engineering Dissertations - Archive

Residential building retrofits remain significantly under-adopted despite substantial technological advances, economic incentives, and policy efforts, creating a critical gap between technical potential and actual implementation in achieving climate goals. Assessment of citizen involvement in building retrofit processes plays a critical role in formulating effective home retrofit program designs to ensure maximum adoption rates and avoid energy waste. Although, existing retrofit programs and decision-making models recognize the importance of citizen involvement, the extent of citizen capabilities and the effects of citizen-centered approaches on retrofit adoption and building performance has not been comprehensively examined. The adoption and success of retrofit programs depends …


Improving Chatbot Interactions Through Ai-Driven Hate Speech Detection: Evolving To A Safer Digital Environment-Poster, Rata Gheorghita, Wellington Mariano Jan 2025

Improving Chatbot Interactions Through Ai-Driven Hate Speech Detection: Evolving To A Safer Digital Environment-Poster, Rata Gheorghita, Wellington Mariano

ICT

This project aims to explore how Machine Learning can contribute to a better digital interaction, mainly focusing on environments such as online chats, social media, and customer support as they are now an imperative part of daily communication. With this, concerns around hate speech in digital conversations is critical (Council of Europe, 2024). This study focus on the development of a Hate Speech Language Detection Chatbot using machine learning techniques. The key purpose of the chatbot is to monitor and detect harmful content in real time, reducing the need for manual intervention. The creation and implementation of such a tool …


Deep Learning For Irish Garden Bird Identification: Exploring The Role Of Cnn-Lstm In Video-Based Recognition, Antonina Dolynenko Jan 2025

Deep Learning For Irish Garden Bird Identification: Exploring The Role Of Cnn-Lstm In Video-Based Recognition, Antonina Dolynenko

ICT

Bird populations are widely used as indicators of ecosystem health, but traditional monitoring based on manual observation is labour-intensive and difficult to scale. Recent advances in deep learning and low-cost edge hardware offer new opportunities for automated, real-time bird identification in gardens and other local habitats. This thesis investigates whether video-based deep learning models can reliably classify common Irish garden birds from short motion-triggered clips and how temporal modelling compares to image-based models.

A primary dataset of 20-second clips was collected in a private garden in Ireland using a Raspberry Pi with a high-resolution camera and a YOLO-based trigger to …


Premier League Results Predictions, Laura Consuegra Jan 2025

Premier League Results Predictions, Laura Consuegra

ICT

This project applies machine learning techniques to predict outcomes in the English Premier League, one of the most prestigious and widely followed football competitions worldwide. By analysing historical and real-time match data, including performance metrics such as goals scored, shots on target, and cards received, predictive models are developed to forecast match results with higher accuracy. The study evaluates the effectiveness of these models and explores the influence of key statistical features on team performance. The findings aim to provide strategic insights for fans, bookmakers, and coaching staff, supporting performance evaluation, tactical decision-making, and a deeper understanding of the factors …


A Comparative Analysis Of The Performance Of Customised And Pre-Trained Convolutional Neural Networks In The Classification Of Facial Expressions., Guilherme Soares Da Costa Jan 2025

A Comparative Analysis Of The Performance Of Customised And Pre-Trained Convolutional Neural Networks In The Classification Of Facial Expressions., Guilherme Soares Da Costa

ICT

Facial expression recognition (FER) is a highly relevant problem in the field of computer vision, with applications in various areas. Although this topic has made significant progress in recent years with deep learning, facial expression recognition continues to face significant challenges when faced with a noisy, imbalanced database, and low-resolution images, as is the case with the widely used FER2013 database. This work investigates the usability of different approaches based on Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for the task of facial expression classification.

First, a custom CNN was developed and trained from scratch, using FER2013 as database. Subsequently, three well-known pre-trained …


Clustering And Predictive Modelling Of Cryptocurrencies: An Empirical Study Of Lead–Lag Dynamics And Forecasting Performance., Viktor Varga Jan 2025

Clustering And Predictive Modelling Of Cryptocurrencies: An Empirical Study Of Lead–Lag Dynamics And Forecasting Performance., Viktor Varga

ICT

Cryptocurrency markets pose analytical challenges due to their volatility, non-stationarity, and complex interdependencies. Traditional econometric models have struggled with these features, while machine learning models often face overfitting and limited interpretability. This thesis has developed an integrated framework combining clustering, lead–lag detection, and predictive modelling to examine whether structural and temporal dependencies in cryptocurrency markets can improve forecasting performance.

Hourly OHLCV data for a selection of liquid cryptocurrencies from the Binance API over a thirteen-month period has been analysed. Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) has been used to identify asset clusters, while cross-correlation, Granger causality, and Vector Autoregression (VAR) have been …


Exogenous Variables In Time Series Forecasting During Economic Volatility: A Cross-Sector And Cross-Crisis Evaluation., Orla Kavanagh Jan 2025

Exogenous Variables In Time Series Forecasting During Economic Volatility: A Cross-Sector And Cross-Crisis Evaluation., Orla Kavanagh

ICT

Economic disruptions pose challenges for time series forecasting, but also offer opportunities to evaluate the value of exogenous information. This study investigates the role of external indicators during the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2025 U.S. tariff shock, using data from Dell (technology) and Boeing (aerospace/manufacturing). ARIMA, SARIMA, and LSTM models were tested with candidate exogenous variables. Results indicate that the benefit of external signals is highly context-dependent: sector, disruption type, and forecast horizon all influence effectiveness. LSTM models generally excel at longer horizons with exogenous inputs, while ARIMA-based models perform better short-term. Findings emphasize that careful variable selection, ongoing evaluation, …


Understanding Model Behaviour And Interpretability In Time Series Forecasting: A Deep Dive Into Lstm And Gru With Xai Techniques., Federico Ariton Jan 2025

Understanding Model Behaviour And Interpretability In Time Series Forecasting: A Deep Dive Into Lstm And Gru With Xai Techniques., Federico Ariton

ICT

Time-series forecasting is widely used in data analytics, yet the interpretability of deep learning models remains a key challenge. This study compares Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) models using a dual interpretability framework that combines attention mechanisms and SHAP analysis. Two feature sets were evaluated across assets with different volatility regimes: Solana and Shiba Inu (high volatility), Bitcoin (moderate volatility), and Apple (low volatility). Results show that autoregressive features achieved the lowest forecasting errors, while volatility- and momentum-based indicators provided stronger interpretability. GRU performed best in moderate-volatility conditions, whereas LSTM demonstrated more consistent performance across varying …


Traditional Vs Deep Learning Approaches For Efficient Electricity Consumption Prediction., Lucas Sant’Ana Jan 2025

Traditional Vs Deep Learning Approaches For Efficient Electricity Consumption Prediction., Lucas Sant’Ana

ICT

Accurate forecasting of electricity demand is critical for reliable energy planning, resource allocation, and policy design. Traditional statistical models, such as ARIMA, SARIMA, and ARIMAX, have been widely applied but remain constrained by linear assumptions, limited temporal memory, and inflexibility in handling multiple exogenous drivers. In this study, we systematically compare these approaches with multivariate Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, which are capable of capturing nonlinear dependencies, long-term temporal dynamics, and multivariate interactions. Historical electricity consumption data were combined with weather variables, including temperature, wind speed, and rainfall, and pre-processed through cleaning, scaling, and temporal alignment. Statistical baselines and deep …


Credit Card Fraud Detection., Sonia Ndonga Jan 2025

Credit Card Fraud Detection., Sonia Ndonga

ICT

This capstone project applies machine learning to detect credit card fraud, addressing a critical financial threat to banks and payment providers. Using an anonymised dataset of 284,807 transactions, which is highly imbalanced with only 0.172% fraudulent cases, three models—Logistic Regression, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting—were developed and evaluated. The pipeline incorporates data preprocessing, feature engineering, hyperparameter tuning, cross-validation, and interpretability analysis using SHAP values, SHAPASH, and permutation importance. Random Forest achieved the highest performance with an ROC AUC of 0.97 and Average Precision of 0.66. The study also considers fairness, threshold optimisation, and practical deployment strategies, providing a robust automated …


Comparison Of Convolutional Neural Network Architectures For The Classification Of Microscopic Images: Performance Evaluation Of Lightweight Models., Cristian Ricardo Gonzalez Donoso Jan 2025

Comparison Of Convolutional Neural Network Architectures For The Classification Of Microscopic Images: Performance Evaluation Of Lightweight Models., Cristian Ricardo Gonzalez Donoso

ICT

This study evaluates lightweight convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for multi-class classification of microscopic fungi images in CPU-only environments, addressing resource-limited laboratories and educational settings. Four pre-trained models—EfficientNetV2-B0, MobileNetV3-Small, MobileNetV2, and NASNetMobile—were compared on the DeFungi dataset (9,114 images, five fungal classes) using stratified training, realistic data augmentation, and two-stage transfer learning. Performance was measured via accuracy, macro-F1, precision, recall, and efficiency metrics including training time, inference latency, model size, and FLOPs. EfficientNetV2-B0 achieved the highest accuracy, while MobileNetV3-Small provided the best macro-F1 and lowest computational cost, making it the optimal choice for CPU-only deployment. Findings highlight the trade-off between predictive …


Enhancing Fake News And Rumor Detection Using Metadata, Context, And User Interaction With A Hybrid Gcn-Transformer., Lucas Romulo Zuin Gigli Jan 2025

Enhancing Fake News And Rumor Detection Using Metadata, Context, And User Interaction With A Hybrid Gcn-Transformer., Lucas Romulo Zuin Gigli

ICT

The increasing influence of social media has significantly impacted how news spreads among users, making the detection of misinformation, including fake news and rumours, a critical task. Previous research has explored content-based and metadata-driven approaches, while recent advancements have leveraged Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) such as GCNs, GATs, and SAGE to analyse user interactions and propagation patterns. This thesis investigates the effectiveness of a Hybrid Graph-Transformer Convolutional Neural Network (GCN-Transformer) for fake news detection, combining graph-based learning with Transformer attention mechanisms. Through in-depth data analysis and advanced detection techniques, this model aims to enhance predictive performance and mitigate the spread …


Analysis Of Customer Churn In The Banking Sector And Its Mitigating Factors., Fiachra O Callaghan Jan 2025

Analysis Of Customer Churn In The Banking Sector And Its Mitigating Factors., Fiachra O Callaghan

ICT

This project investigates customer churn within the banking sector, analysing a dataset of 10,000 customers to identify patterns and potential drivers of attrition. By leveraging data analytics and visualization techniques, we aim to understand the demographic and behavioural factors influencing customer decisions to leave for competing banks. The study applies the CRISP-DM framework to structure the analysis, enabling iterative refinement of objectives and hypotheses as insights emerge. Findings indicate that certain customer segments, such as those aged 40–60, are more prone to churn, highlighting opportunities for targeted retention strategies, including fee reductions and tailored loyalty programmes. By integrating academic research …


Credit Card Default Prediction Using Machine Learning., Yassine Zohair Jan 2025

Credit Card Default Prediction Using Machine Learning., Yassine Zohair

ICT

This project investigates the use of machine learning to predict credit card payment defaults, aiming to help banks and credit card companies mitigate financial losses. Using historical customer data, including demographics, income, education, and previous payment behaviour, three machine learning algorithms were implemented to forecast the likelihood of default. Techniques such as cross-validation, hyperparameter tuning, and SHAPASH were applied to improve model performance and interpretability. Accurate prediction of potential defaulters enables financial institutions to take proactive measures, such as adjusting credit limits or providing targeted financial guidance, thereby enhancing risk management and customer retention.


An Enhanced Deep Learning Framework For Crop Disease Detection Using Gan-Based Data Augmentation., Andrew Mc Guinn Jan 2025

An Enhanced Deep Learning Framework For Crop Disease Detection Using Gan-Based Data Augmentation., Andrew Mc Guinn

ICT

Plant disease detection is a critical challenge in agriculture, where limited annotated datasets often hinder the training of robust deep learning models. This thesis explores the application of generative adversarial networks for data augmentation in the classification of six classes of sorghum diseases, addressing the scarcity of real training data. A lightweight convolutional neural network  (CNN) was employed as the classifier, trained under three experimental conditions: using only real images, a stratified mix of real and DCGAN-generated samples, and a stratified mix of real and WGAN-GP-generated samples.

The baseline CNN, trained on 279 real images, achieved an accuracy of 89.7%, …


Discovering Latent Themes: Mixed-Methods Comparative Analysis Of Topic Extraction And Clustering., Laura Byrne Jan 2025

Discovering Latent Themes: Mixed-Methods Comparative Analysis Of Topic Extraction And Clustering., Laura Byrne

ICT

This study investigates whether clustering and topic modeling can uncover themes within the 167 verses of the King James Version of the Book of Esther. A standardized preprocessing pipeline was applied, and TF-IDF and sentence-embedding feature spaces were used to evaluate topic extraction (NMF, GSDMM, BERTopic, Top2Vec) and clustering (HDBSCAN, DBSCAN, Gaussian Mixtures, Agglomerative) using coherence, cluster validity, lexical distinctiveness, and cross-model similarity metrics. NMF provided the most interpretable topics, GSDMM yielded compact low-overlap topics, BERTopic offered entity-centered groupings, and Top2Vec highlighted broad thematic regions. Cross-model analysis revealed overlapping motifs, notably decree and banquet themes, but clusters and topics did …


Leaf Classification Using Convolutional Neural Networks And Vision Transformers, Louis Wilkie Jan 2025

Leaf Classification Using Convolutional Neural Networks And Vision Transformers, Louis Wilkie

ICT

This study investigates deep learning techniques for plant image classification using four publicly available datasets: Folio, Flavia, Swedish, and Sugarcane. Three modelling approaches—Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Vision Transformers (ViT), and hybrid CNN-ViT ensembles—are evaluated. Models leverage PyTorch implementations and pretrained weights from the Hugging Face hub, with hyperparameter tuning applied to optimize accuracy. Transfer learning with pretrained ViT models achieved the highest performance, attaining 100% accuracy on Folio, Flavia, and Swedish datasets, and 94.07% on Sugarcane. CNN and CNN-ViT models showed comparable results, but pretrained CNN-ViTs were more resource-efficient. The findings highlight the importance of evaluating multiple pretrained architectures to …


Improving Fairness In Convolutional Neural Networks For Demographic Face Classification., Leandro Andrade Jan 2025

Improving Fairness In Convolutional Neural Networks For Demographic Face Classification., Leandro Andrade

ICT

This study examines racial bias mitigation in Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for demographic face classification using the FairFace dataset. Three architectures—ResNet50, VGG19, and InceptionV3—are evaluated, with dataset balancing strategies including undersampling and class weighting. Results indicate that InceptionV3 with class weighting achieves the most consistent performance across racial groups, with improved F1-scores and generalization through hyperparameter optimization and data augmentation. Challenges remain in distinguishing visually similar groups, highlighting the need for equitable datasets and fairness-aware training. These insights are critical for ensuring accuracy and fairness in applications such as law enforcement, healthcare, and human–computer interaction.


Implementation Of Time Series And Neural Networks For Forecasting Agricultural Prices In The Irish Market: A Comparative Analysis Of Milk, Beef, And Potatoes., César Augusto Núñez Jan 2025

Implementation Of Time Series And Neural Networks For Forecasting Agricultural Prices In The Irish Market: A Comparative Analysis Of Milk, Beef, And Potatoes., César Augusto Núñez

ICT

Agricultural price volatility represents a central challenge for the Irish agri-food sector, affecting the stability of producers, cooperatives, and policymakers. This study aimed to compare three predictive approaches applied to strategic commodities such as milk, beef, and potatoes: a traditional statistical time series model (SARIMA) and two deep learning architectures (RNN and LSTM). Using historical price series collected over a decade, the models were developed and evaluated following a rigorous methodological process that included data preparation, algorithm training, and validation of results using performance metrics widely used in time series research. The findings show that the SARIMA model was most …


Enhancing Uk Electricity Price Forecasting Using Deep Learning., Stephen Cooke Jan 2025

Enhancing Uk Electricity Price Forecasting Using Deep Learning., Stephen Cooke

ICT

Accurate short-term electricity price forecasting (EPF) is crucial for efficient operation of the UK’s multi-layered power market, impacting generators, traders, the ESO, and policymakers. Prices are highly volatile and non-linear due to renewables, demand fluctuations, and market coupling across Day-Ahead, Intraday, and Balancing Mechanism venues. Traditional statistical models often fail under such dynamics, while machine learning and deep learning approaches—particularly LSTM, GRU, and hybrid architectures—effectively capture temporal dependencies and exogenous drivers. Empirical evidence shows that these models outperform classical baselines, enabling more accurate scheduling, risk management, and financial savings.