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Mathematical Modelling For Optimizing Predator–Prey Networks In A Resilient Wildlife Ecosystem: A Systematic Literature Review, Thadei Damas Sagamiko Sep 2026

Mathematical Modelling For Optimizing Predator–Prey Networks In A Resilient Wildlife Ecosystem: A Systematic Literature Review, Thadei Damas Sagamiko

Tanzania Journal of Science

The resilience of wildlife networks hinges on the adaptability and stability of complex predator-prey interactions. Mathematical modelling offers a crucial approach for examining and optimizing these dynamics under biological invasions and environmental pressures. This systematic literature review (SLR) employs a bibliometric analysis approach to synthesize global research on mathematical models applied to predator-prey network optimization, with an emphasis on their ecological implications, computational approaches, and modelling strategies. Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA), 50 peer- reviewed studies (2000–2025) were analyzed using the Scopus and Google Scholar databases. The study identifies classical models, such as the …


Modelling Acute Haemorrhagic Conjunctivitis In East Africa: An Integrated Approach To Transmission Dynamics And Outbreak Response Strategies, Geofrey Wingi Sikazwe Sep 2026

Modelling Acute Haemorrhagic Conjunctivitis In East Africa: An Integrated Approach To Transmission Dynamics And Outbreak Response Strategies, Geofrey Wingi Sikazwe

Tanzania Journal of Science

Acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis (AHC) poses a significant global health risk, with the potential for rapid spread during outbreaks. For instance, a localized outbreak in Yunnan Province, China, recorded infection rates of up to 48%, illustrating how transmission can intensify under favourable epidemiological and environmental conditions. Existing mathematical models of AHC transmission overlook seasonal variations, a critical factor in epidemic spread. This study combines species distribution models (SDMs) and epidemiological modelling to analyse key drivers of AHC in East Africa. We use the SEIR type (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered - incorporating waning immunity) framework with temperature-dependent infectivity rate as the key driver of an …


Optimization Of Gas Consumption, Cost And Production Rate For Computerized Numerical Control Oxy-Acetylene Flame Cutters, Eustace K. William, Simon I. Marandu, Enock W. Nshama Aug 2026

Optimization Of Gas Consumption, Cost And Production Rate For Computerized Numerical Control Oxy-Acetylene Flame Cutters, Eustace K. William, Simon I. Marandu, Enock W. Nshama

Tanzania Journal of Science

This study examined the impact of flame cutting parameters (i.e., cutting speed, plate thickness and nozzle diameter) on oxy-acetylene gas consumption, cost and production rate. A full factorial design of experiments was used to generate 27 experiments, which were conducted using a CNC flame cutter. The analysis of variance (ANOVA) method was used to determine significant process parameters, followed by regression analysis using the MINITAB ® software. The technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solutions (TOPSIS) was used to determine the optimal cutting parameters for minimizing the consumption and cost estimation of oxy- acetylene gas and maximizing the …


Mitigation Of Power Quality Problems In Songwe Power Distribution Line Using A Static Distribution Compensator, James Mhame, Emmanuel Matee, Francis Mwasilu, Sophia D. Kigodi Aug 2026

Mitigation Of Power Quality Problems In Songwe Power Distribution Line Using A Static Distribution Compensator, James Mhame, Emmanuel Matee, Francis Mwasilu, Sophia D. Kigodi

Tanzania Journal of Science

The Songwe electrical distribution system is prone to severe voltage drops that lead to frequent power outages in long feeders, light flickering, and the multi-operation of equipment and other appliances. The voltage at the switching station averaged 27.6 kV, 28.21 kV, and 25.79 kV in the years 2023, 2022, and 2021, respectively. Additionally, the maximum was 32.2 kV, below the nominal voltage, and the feeder has a very low power factor, which drops to 0.6 during peak hours. Currently, TANESCO uses automatic voltage regulators connected to a distant location from the switching station to two feeders with critical voltage drop …


Simulated Versus Non-Simulated Imputed Data: A Comparison Of Handling Missing Data Techniques For Numerical Covariates, Rahibu A. Abassi, Rocky R.J. Akarro Aug 2026

Simulated Versus Non-Simulated Imputed Data: A Comparison Of Handling Missing Data Techniques For Numerical Covariates, Rahibu A. Abassi, Rocky R.J. Akarro

Tanzania Journal of Science

Missing data poses a great challenge in much research, and if not appropriately handled, can negatively impact the analysis and bias the results and study conclusions. This article assesses the performance of numerous methods used to impute missing data by using Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) under various missing data proportions and two common missingness mechanisms, namely Missing at Random (MAR) and Missing Completely at Random (MCAR). RMSE values were used to judge the accuracy of imputation techniques using real data and across different simulation settings. The results showed magnitude of RMSE increased with increased proportions of missing data, regardless …


Linear Programming Model For Optimal Crop Allocation Under Varying Land Sizes In Pawaga, Tanzania, Mustapha Abbas Kiswanya, Seleman Ismail, Saul Mpeshe Jun 2026

Linear Programming Model For Optimal Crop Allocation Under Varying Land Sizes In Pawaga, Tanzania, Mustapha Abbas Kiswanya, Seleman Ismail, Saul Mpeshe

Tanzania Journal of Science

Farmers often rely on intuition when selecting crops, which can lead to suboptimal profits. In this study, we examine the optimal annual crop allocation under varying land sizes for farmers in Pawaga, Iringa District, Tanzania. A parametric linear programming (LP) model is developed to determine crop allocation combinations that maximise profit subject to land, labour, and capital constraints. Unlike conventional approaches that require separate models for different farm sizes, the proposed model accommodates land holdings ranging from 1 to 9 acres and integrates nine crop types within a single framework. Data were collected over three (3) agricultural seasons from extension …


A System For The Prediction Of Election Results Using Vader And Hybridized Machine Learning Model, Abraham E. Evwiekpaefe, Khadijah Kabir, Georgina N. Obunadike Jun 2026

A System For The Prediction Of Election Results Using Vader And Hybridized Machine Learning Model, Abraham E. Evwiekpaefe, Khadijah Kabir, Georgina N. Obunadike

Tanzania Journal of Science

Integrating different classifiers along with sentiment lexicons like Vader, can enhance the performance of sentiment analysis systems. However, such a hybrid model remains underexplored, particularly in the context of regional elections in developing countries like Nigeria. The aim of this research is to develop a hybrid model that combines three machine learning classifiers and Vader lexicon to possibly achieve a higher accuracy. A case study of the 2023 governorship election in Kogi, Bayelsa and Imo State, Nigeria was examined. Twitter API library was utilized to extracted public and personal tweets using hashtags and keywords related to the target data from …


Modelling And Analysis Of 50 Mwp Solar Pv Integration Into Tanzania’S Transmission Network: A Case Study Of Tagamenda Substation, Iringa Region, Santos Kihwele Jun 2026

Modelling And Analysis Of 50 Mwp Solar Pv Integration Into Tanzania’S Transmission Network: A Case Study Of Tagamenda Substation, Iringa Region, Santos Kihwele

Tanzania Journal of Science

While increasing the share of renewable energy in the grid, grid integration studies for the utility solar photovoltaic (PV) plants are vital, given their intermittency and the fact that Tanzania has never had one connected to the grid. This paper presents a 50 MWp grid integration study, including a technical analysis conducted using PSS®E software. The study investigates the grid behaviour during the integration of the 50 MWp solar plant, considering the most suitable technical and economic solutions. The study analysed the load flow under normal conditions, contingency analysis (N-1), short- circuit analysis, and voltage stability assessment. The results show …


Asymmetrical S-Curve For Residual Load Sways Suppression For Double-Pendulum Rotary Crane Using Bayesian Optimization, Haryson Johanes Nyobuya Apr 2026

Asymmetrical S-Curve For Residual Load Sways Suppression For Double-Pendulum Rotary Crane Using Bayesian Optimization, Haryson Johanes Nyobuya

Tanzania Journal of Science

In rotary crane operations, one of the main difficulties lies in suppressing the load sway during its movement. This can be achieved using only horizontal boom motion, offering a solution that is energy-saving, simple, and safe. However, this approach renders the system under actuated, making the suppression objective more difficult to achieve. In this study, a double-pendulum model is adopted to capture the coupled dynamics of the suspended load and hook, which shows a realistic basis for sway suppression. An asymmetric S-curve velocity trajectory is proposed to shape the horizontal boom motion, effectively minimizing residual vibrations without requiring direct sway …


Quantitative Analysis Of Cholera Dynamics And The Impact Of Integrated Control Measures., Kazeem Abidoye Odeyemi, Mutairu Kayode Kolawole Apr 2026

Quantitative Analysis Of Cholera Dynamics And The Impact Of Integrated Control Measures., Kazeem Abidoye Odeyemi, Mutairu Kayode Kolawole

Tanzania Journal of Science

A comprehensive mathematical evaluation of cholera dynamics, emphasizing the crucial role of optimal control strategies which include vaccination, treatment in endemic region and environmental hygiene in controlling the disease spread in Western and Mid-Eastern regions of African setting. Through analysis of the local and global stability of the model and assessing the reproduction number (��0), this research highlights how targeted interventions can influence transmission rates of cholera disease. Sensitivity analysis identifies key parameters driving cholera dynamics, underlining the urgency of timely and adequate intervention. Utilizing the innovative Homotopy Perturbation Method for the numerical simulation, the study explores the interplay between …


An Age-Structured Model For The Effects Of Time Delay On The Dynamics Of Malaria In The Presence Of Temperature And Rainfall, Alanus Mapunda, Eunice Mureithi, Nyimvua Shaban Mar 2026

An Age-Structured Model For The Effects Of Time Delay On The Dynamics Of Malaria In The Presence Of Temperature And Rainfall, Alanus Mapunda, Eunice Mureithi, Nyimvua Shaban

Tanzania Journal of Science

An age-structured model with a class of pregnant women that captures the impact of time-delay on the dynamics of malaria is established in this work. The main goal is to explore the transmission dynamics of malaria in natural setting which is comprised of pregnant women and other individuals. Some weather conditions are also considered in the model. The main importance is to investigate the evolution of various states involved in the transmission of malaria in the community. The model equilibria are analyzed to study their stability, and numerical solution of the system is presented and discussed. The result shows that …


Qualitative And Numerical Observations Into The Career Trajectories Of Early Career Academics: A Mathematical Model Approach, Oluwatayo M. Ogunmiloro Jan 2026

Qualitative And Numerical Observations Into The Career Trajectories Of Early Career Academics: A Mathematical Model Approach, Oluwatayo M. Ogunmiloro

Tanzania Journal of Science

This study develops and analyzes a mathematical model that describes the interplay among different researcher groups within academia by focusing on how variables such as mentorship, access to funding, and academic peer influence affect the career trajectories of early-career, experienced, redundant, and successful researchers. Using stability theory and relevant theorems of differential equations, this study ensures the existence, uniqueness, positivity, and boundedness of the model's solutions. Additionally, the model’s equilibrium states, are analyzed to determine the local asymptotic stability. Numerical simulations using the Runge-Kutta fourth-order (RK4) method, implemented in Python, are performed to illustrate issues related to career growth within …


The Analysis Of Non-Newtonian Blood Flow Through An Atherosclerotic Artery In The Presence Of Body Acceleration, Radiation Effect And Magnetic Field, Johnson N. Katabwa Dec 2025

The Analysis Of Non-Newtonian Blood Flow Through An Atherosclerotic Artery In The Presence Of Body Acceleration, Radiation Effect And Magnetic Field, Johnson N. Katabwa

Tanzania Journal of Science

The unsteady analysis of two-dimensional laminar flow of the non-Newtonian blood through an atherosclerotic artery in the presence of body acceleration, radiation effect and magnetic field has been studied. The blood flow has been assumed to satisfy the Herschel-Bulkley fluid model characteristics. The two- dimensional model equations have been developed from the physical laws of continuity, momentum and energy conservation. These equations are transformed to non-dimensional form and solved numerically using explicit finite difference method under suitable radial coordinate transformation. The study findings show that, the presence of body acceleration increases both velocity and temperature profiles of the blood in …


Mathematical Modeling Of Awareness-Driven Interventions For Gender-Based Violence Control In A Closed Population, Furaha M. Chuma, Edward K. Ngailo, Zubeda S. Mussa Dec 2025

Mathematical Modeling Of Awareness-Driven Interventions For Gender-Based Violence Control In A Closed Population, Furaha M. Chuma, Edward K. Ngailo, Zubeda S. Mussa

Tanzania Journal of Science

Gender-based violence (GBV) remains a critical global health issue with profound social, economic, and psychological implications. Despite concerted efforts to address this challenge, traditional intervention approaches often fall short of effectively mitigating its prevalence. In recent years, there has been growing recognition of the potential impact of awareness-based interventions in addressing various social and health crises. This paper introduces a modeling framework to explore the efficacy of awareness-based interventions in influencing the dynamics of the GBV epidemic within a closed population. A detailed sensitivity analysis, utilizing a normalized sensitivity index method, reveals that the violence transfer rate between perpetrators and …


Modelling The Impact Of Multiple Control Strategies On The Spread Of Phyllody Disease In Sesame, Augustino I. Msigwa, Furaha M. Chuma Dec 2025

Modelling The Impact Of Multiple Control Strategies On The Spread Of Phyllody Disease In Sesame, Augustino I. Msigwa, Furaha M. Chuma

Tanzania Journal of Science

Phyllody disease, caused by phytoplasma and transmitted by insect vectors such as leafhoppers, poses a serious threat to the productivity of sesame (Sesamum indicum) as it has caused substantial yield and oil-quality losses worldwide, with documented seed-yield reductions ranging from 38% to as high as 80% in severe outbreaks, particularly in Africa and India. Understanding phyllody dynamics is therefore critical to safeguard yields and trade. While some modeling efforts exist for sesame phyllody (for example, statistical and prediction-focused approaches), mechanistic transmission models (SEIR) assessing its full impact remain scarce. This study therefore develops and analyses impact of multiple control strategies …


Modeling And Forecasting Wholesale Gasoline Prices In Tanzania Using Arima And Neural Network Autoregressive Models, Thadei D. Sagamiko, Edward K. Ngailo Dec 2025

Modeling And Forecasting Wholesale Gasoline Prices In Tanzania Using Arima And Neural Network Autoregressive Models, Thadei D. Sagamiko, Edward K. Ngailo

Tanzania Journal of Science

Fluctuations in wholesale gasoline prices significantly impact the economy of import-dependent countries like Tanzania, making accurate forecasting essential for policymakers and market participants. This study forecasts monthly wholesale gasoline prices in Dar es Salaam by comparing the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model with a Neural Network Autoregressive (NNAR) model. Using data from January 2015 to December 2024 from the Energy and Water Utilities Regulatory Authority (EWURA), the models were evaluated. The ARIMA(1,1,1) model was identified as the best-fitting linear model, but the NNAR(11,7) model demonstrated superior accuracy. On the holdout test set, the NNAR model achieved a lower Mean …


Simulation Based Model For Canine Distemper Virus In Prey-Predator Dynamics, Mussa A. Stephano Dec 2025

Simulation Based Model For Canine Distemper Virus In Prey-Predator Dynamics, Mussa A. Stephano

Tanzania Journal of Science

This study investigates the dynamic interactions of a prey-predator ecosystem infected with Canine Distemper Virus (CDV), focusing on predation and disease transmission. A deterministic model, coupled with Monte Carlo simulations (MCS), employed to capture both stochastic variability and environmental fluctuations. The findings indicate that classical prey-predator cycles provide the baseline for population dynamics, but the introduction of CDV and environmental noise fundamentally alters system behavior. Initially, populations exhibit oscillations that gradually stabilize into dynamic equilibria. However, the disease persists within both prey and predator populations, suggesting endemicity rather than extinction. Predation plays a dual role in disease dynamics, while it …


Fahp-Topsis Model In Ranking Critical Success Factors Of E-Learning: A Comparative Analysis Of Normalization Methods, Judith R. Pande, David Koloseni, Septimi Kitta Oct 2025

Fahp-Topsis Model In Ranking Critical Success Factors Of E-Learning: A Comparative Analysis Of Normalization Methods, Judith R. Pande, David Koloseni, Septimi Kitta

Tanzania Journal of Science

The teaching and learning process has become effective and explicit due to the progressive development of e-learning. This has significantly transformed the education framework. As a result, evaluating the usefulness of e-learning requires a detailed understanding of the critical success factors that impact the success of e-learning environments. This study ranked these factors using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making techniques. Specifically, the Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process was used to determine the weight of each factor, while the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution was used to rank the factors of e-learning. The study also examined and compared four normalization …


A Comparative Study For Classical Machine Learning Models For Swahili Social Media Sentiment Analysis, Mahadia Tunga, Davis David Oct 2025

A Comparative Study For Classical Machine Learning Models For Swahili Social Media Sentiment Analysis, Mahadia Tunga, Davis David

Tanzania Journal of Science

Despite sentiment analysis being one of the most popular applications in Natural Language Processing (NLP), most studies are skewed towards languages with a rich corpus (language database). Less emphasis has been placed on low-resource languages like Swahili. Swahili is the official language of the African Union and of 4 countries in East Africa, and is spoken by many people on the African continent. This study performed sentiment analysis using 3,000 tweets hosted on the Zindi Africa platform. Data was processed using a term frequency-inverse document frequency vectorization method, and five classical machine learning algorithms (RandomForest, XgBoost, and CatBoost, HistogramGradientBoost, LightGradientBoos) …


Evaluating Weather Research And Forecasting Model In Simulating March-May Rainfall In Tanzania: Implications Of Selecting Parameterization Schemes, Mohamed H. Mohamed, Makungu James Ng'oga Oct 2025

Evaluating Weather Research And Forecasting Model In Simulating March-May Rainfall In Tanzania: Implications Of Selecting Parameterization Schemes, Mohamed H. Mohamed, Makungu James Ng'oga

Tanzania Journal of Science

The current study evaluates the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in simulating seasonal rains of March-May (MAM) in Tanzania, based on the implication of selecting parameterization scheme combinations. The model was configured into two domains with horizontal resolutions of 36 km and 12 km and the initial and lateral boundary conditions were provided by the Climate Forecast System Version 2 at 00 UTC. However, only the inner domain of 12 km was used for analysis, which has a fine horizontal resolution that accounts for small scale features such as terrains. Twelve simulations have been performed using …


Mathematical Analysis Of Toxicants And Diseases Impact On A Prey-Predator System With Control Interventions, Nuru Yazidi Juma, Thadei Damas Sagamiko, James Philbert Mpele Oct 2025

Mathematical Analysis Of Toxicants And Diseases Impact On A Prey-Predator System With Control Interventions, Nuru Yazidi Juma, Thadei Damas Sagamiko, James Philbert Mpele

Tanzania Journal of Science

This study developed a generic prey-predator mathematical model incorporating logistic growth for prey and a Holling Type I functional response for predator consumption. Prey-predator interactions form the foundation of ecological balance, but in recent decades these systems have been increasingly threatened by toxicants and infectious diseases. The combined effect of these challenges can lead to severe population declines, biodiversity loss, and ecosystem instability, making their study important for conservation and environmental management. The model includes the effects of diseases and toxicants on prey and toxicants only on predators, and explores optimal control strategies to mitigate these threats. Without considering time …


Comparative Study On The Application Of Gra, Psi And Hybrid Psi-Gra Techniques For Optimising Turning Parameters In Multi-Criteria Problems, Mussa Iddi Mgwatu Oct 2025

Comparative Study On The Application Of Gra, Psi And Hybrid Psi-Gra Techniques For Optimising Turning Parameters In Multi-Criteria Problems, Mussa Iddi Mgwatu

Tanzania Journal of Science

The optimum turning parameters help to justify the investment in machine tools for manufacturing industries. However, solving optimisation models to achieve optimum turning parameters in multi-criteria environment is complex leading to the application of multi-criteria decision-making techniques. This paper compares three multi-criteria decision-making techniques in determining optimum turning process parameters namely spindle speed, feed rate and depth of cut. The performance criteria are material removal rate, consumed electrical energy and tool wear rate. Example data for turning process were obtained from other studies while the analyses for multi-criteria decision-making were performed using grey relational analysis (GRA), preference selection index (PSI) …


Energy-Saving Simple Adaptive Recursive Terminal Sliding Mode Control For Industrial Feed Drive Systems, Haryson Johanes Nyobuya Oct 2025

Energy-Saving Simple Adaptive Recursive Terminal Sliding Mode Control For Industrial Feed Drive Systems, Haryson Johanes Nyobuya

Tanzania Journal of Science

This paper proposes a simple adaptive recursive terminal sliding mode control approach for industrial feed drive systems. The design employs a recursive sliding mode structure that eliminates the reaching phase and ensures finite-time convergence of the tracking error. To mitigate chattering, a second-order nonsingular terminal sliding mode is used and the parameters to compensate for disturbances are obtain in terms of integral form and a proportional terminal term, which enhances disturbance rejection and further guarantees finite-time convergence. The proposed controller significantly reduces the tracking error and saves energy for the feed drive system. Numerical simulations on an industrial feed drive …


Modeling The Effects Of Screening, Vaccination, Treatment, And Non-Pharmaceutical Controls On Leptospirosis Transmission Dynamics, Janeth Michael, Herieth Rwezaura, Goodluck Mlay, Nyimvua Shaban Mbare Oct 2025

Modeling The Effects Of Screening, Vaccination, Treatment, And Non-Pharmaceutical Controls On Leptospirosis Transmission Dynamics, Janeth Michael, Herieth Rwezaura, Goodluck Mlay, Nyimvua Shaban Mbare

Tanzania Journal of Science

Leptospirosis is the world’s most common zoonotic disease and remains a significant public health challenge, particularly in regions with poor sanitation and high exposure risks. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of combined interventions: screening, vaccination, treatment, and non-pharmaceutical controls in reducing leptospirosis transmission in human and domestic animal populations. The study develops and analyzes a deterministic compartmental model with eleven compartments representing human, domestic animal, and bacterial populations. Stability analysis reveals that the Disease-Free Equilibrium (DEF) is globally asymptotically stable when the effective reproduction number is less than a unit ( < 1), ensuring disease eradication under these conditions, whereas the Endemic Equilibrium Point (EEP) remains stable when > 1. The study employs the normalized forward …


Modeling The Transmission Dynamics Of Tuberculosis In Humans, Farida Kisinda, Joshua A. Mwasunda, Mbwiga S. Aloni Apr 2024

Modeling The Transmission Dynamics Of Tuberculosis In Humans, Farida Kisinda, Joshua A. Mwasunda, Mbwiga S. Aloni

Tanzania Journal of Science

Tuberculosis (TB) is a major threat to human health particularly in most of developing countries. In this article, we formulate and analyze a deterministic model for the transmission dynamics of pulmonary and extra-pulmonary tuberculosis. The next generation method is employed to find the basic reproduction number which helps to determine whether TB clears or persists in the human population. Global stability of model equilibria is done through Lyapunov functions whereas the normalized forward sensitivity index method is adopted to determine parameters that drive tuberculosis. Analysis shows that both TB free and endemic equilibria exist. The TB free equilibrium is globally …


Prevalence And Predictors Of Cesarean Delivery In A Tertiary Hospital In Taraba State, Nigeria, Olateju Alao Bamigbala, Ayodeji Oluwatobi Ojetunde, Maza Tanko Apr 2024

Prevalence And Predictors Of Cesarean Delivery In A Tertiary Hospital In Taraba State, Nigeria, Olateju Alao Bamigbala, Ayodeji Oluwatobi Ojetunde, Maza Tanko

Tanzania Journal of Science

A cesarean section (CS) is a surgical technique in which a baby is delivered through an abdomen and uterine incision following fetal viability. It is imperative to identify the factors that influence the use of CS to reduce the needless use of this life-saving procedure and increase its availability for those who need it most. Therefore, this study assesses the prevalence and predictors of cesarean delivery in a tertiary hospital in Taraba state, Nigeria. Information of pregnant women who came for delivery to Federal Medical Center, Jalingo, Taraba state Nigeria from August 2021 to August 2023 was collected. Binary Logistic …


Modelling The Combined Use Of Long-Lasting Insecticidal Nets And Insecticides Zooprophylaxis Against The Resilience Of Anopheles Arabiensis For Effective Malaria Control, Watson Levens Apr 2024

Modelling The Combined Use Of Long-Lasting Insecticidal Nets And Insecticides Zooprophylaxis Against The Resilience Of Anopheles Arabiensis For Effective Malaria Control, Watson Levens

Tanzania Journal of Science

Malaria is a significant public health concern, especially in tropical regions. It remains endemic in many areas where malaria mosquitoes are prevalent. This study investigates the viability of insecticide zooprophylaxis (IZ) in conjunction with Long Lasting Insecticidal Nets (LLINs) as a strategic approach to combat malaria transmission, particularly in regions dominated by zoophagic vectors. Through the presentation and analysis of a mathematical model that integrates IZ and LLINs for the control of Anopheles arabiensis (An. arabiensis), the research underscores IZ's role in reducing zoophagic vector populations and enhancing malaria control efforts. Notably, the study reveals that achieving comprehensive coverage of …


Modelling And Forecasting Claim Payments Of Tanzania National Health Insurance Fund, Imani Kapungu, Emmanuel Evarest, Nyimvua Shaban, Andongwisye J. Mwakisisile Oct 2023

Modelling And Forecasting Claim Payments Of Tanzania National Health Insurance Fund, Imani Kapungu, Emmanuel Evarest, Nyimvua Shaban, Andongwisye J. Mwakisisile

Tanzania Journal of Science

The expenses of medical services are increasing across the globe. As a result, pressure is placed on government and insurance companies’ budgets. The amounts of money collected are not enough to cover the claim payments. Therefore, it threatens the sustainability of the health insurance companies due to the mismatch of income and expenditures. This study aimed to model and forecast claim payments for the national health insurance fund (NHIF) in Tanzania. The claim payment data for the period of 2001–2021 from NHIF were used in building the ARIMA model. It was proven that ARIMA (0, 2, 2) is the most …


Assessment Of The Offline Setup Correction Protocol And Thermoplastic Mask Use For Head And Neck Cancer Radiotherapy: A Single Institution Experience, Furahini Yoram, Nazima Dharsee, Khamza Maunda, Jumaa D. Kisukari, Geofrey F. Soko Sep 2023

Assessment Of The Offline Setup Correction Protocol And Thermoplastic Mask Use For Head And Neck Cancer Radiotherapy: A Single Institution Experience, Furahini Yoram, Nazima Dharsee, Khamza Maunda, Jumaa D. Kisukari, Geofrey F. Soko

Tanzania Journal of Science

This study assessed the efficiency of offline setup correction protocol and the use of a thermoplastic mask for head and neck cancer (HNC) patients treated with three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy at Ocean Road Cancer Institute. A prospective study was conducted from April to August 2021 to verify 62 patients’ treatment setup using an offline setup correction protocol while immobilized with a thermoplastic mask. Megavoltage images were matched with digitally reconstructed radiographs obtained during CT simulation to determine the gross set-up deviations. Box plots were used to show the deviations on three consecutive days of the first week and a successive weekly …


Wind Speed Forecasting Using Wavelet Analysis And Recurrent Artificial Neural Networks Based On Local Measurements In Singida Region, Tanzania, Rajabu J. Mangara, Mwingereza J. Kumwenda Sep 2023

Wind Speed Forecasting Using Wavelet Analysis And Recurrent Artificial Neural Networks Based On Local Measurements In Singida Region, Tanzania, Rajabu J. Mangara, Mwingereza J. Kumwenda

Tanzania Journal of Science

High accuracy wind speed forecasting is essential for wind energy harvest and plays a significant role in wind farm management and grid integration. Wind speed is intermittent in nature, which makes the forecasting to be a big challenge. In the present study, three hybrid single-step wind speed forecasting techniques are proposed and tested by local measurement data in Singida region, Tanzania. The three techniques are based on Wavelet Analysis (WA), Back Propagation (BP) optimization algorithm, and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). They are referred to as WA-RNN, BP-RNN, and WA-BP-RNN. The model results showed that WA-BP-RNN outperforms the other two proposed …