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Moisture Sensitivity Of Contrail Forecast Algorithms, Allen C. Rabayda Mar 1997

Moisture Sensitivity Of Contrail Forecast Algorithms, Allen C. Rabayda

Theses and Dissertations

This thesis looked at using new relative humidity (RH) climatologies to improve the Air Force Global Weather Center's (AFGWC) contrail forecasts. To study the effect of the new RH climatolgies, the currently used empirical relative humidity (RH) profile is replaced with a more accurate climatological one, the Stratospheric And Gaseous Experiment II (SAGE II). The study begins by examining accuracy and bias of forecast contrail bases generated by the empirical and SAGE II RH profiles on 42 days. Both sets of forecast bases are shown to be statistically similar with a series of hypothesis tests. Additional RH profiles, from 0% …


Selecting A Health Care Option For Military Beneficiaries That Minimizes Health Care Costs While Maintaining Personal Desires For Choice, Norman H. Pallister Mar 1997

Selecting A Health Care Option For Military Beneficiaries That Minimizes Health Care Costs While Maintaining Personal Desires For Choice, Norman H. Pallister

Theses and Dissertations

Tricare, the triservice, triple-option, managed care plan for the uniformed services, incorporates a managed care support contract to complement Military Treatment Facilities. Currently being implemented throughout the CONUS, Tricare provides more equitable health care service to all military beneficiaries, improved access to care, a reduction in health care costs, and provides beneficiaries with an expanded choice of medical-care providers. This thesis examines the Tricare program and reviews relevant health care literature, both military and civilian. Using these inputs, the author presents a deterministic decision analysis model that allows a military beneficiary to select a health care option that minimizes his …


A Comparison Of Circular Error Probable Estimators For Small Samples, Charles E. Williams Mar 1997

A Comparison Of Circular Error Probable Estimators For Small Samples, Charles E. Williams

Theses and Dissertations

Several previous studies investigated the performance of competing circular error probable (CEP) estimators for small samples. This estimation is important in ICBM analysis because, due to expense, there are a limited number of ICBM test launches. In the most recent previous study (1993), Tongue considered five CEP estimators in a simulation test, attempting to determine the behavior of these estimators for populations of various bias, ellipticity, correlation, and sample size. In this paper, we build on Tongue's findings in three ways: (1) The number of estimators compared is expanded to eight. (2) Different factors and factor levels are used. (3) …


An Object Oriented Simulation Of The C-17 Wingtip Vortices In The Airdrop Environment, Hans J. Petry Mar 1997

An Object Oriented Simulation Of The C-17 Wingtip Vortices In The Airdrop Environment, Hans J. Petry

Theses and Dissertations

This thesis effort focuses on the development of an object-oriented simulation of C-17 personnel airdrop operations and provides a tool for risk assessment of jumper and wingtip vortex interaction. Using the initial modeling efforts of the Wright Laboratory, this model expands those efforts to include random aircraft, wind and jumper movement within the simulation using MODSIM III as its language. Once the model was built, verified, and calibrated, it helped perform a preliminary analysis of jumper risk with varying element spacing and no crosswind. The results of the simulation provided 15 data points with which linear and logistic regression provided …


Decision Boundary Analysis Feature Selection For Breast Cancer Diagnosis, Daniel W. Gregg Mar 1997

Decision Boundary Analysis Feature Selection For Breast Cancer Diagnosis, Daniel W. Gregg

Theses and Dissertations

The general pattern recognition problem always involves the extraction of features to be used in pattern classification. There are no theoretical limitations to the number of features which can be obtained for a given pattern recognition problem. This research will develop a correlation procedure for screening a large feature set without the use of a trained classifier. The results will be compared to established saliency metrics such as the Fisher ratio and derivative-based techniques such as Ruck's saliency.


Analysis Of A Methodology For Linear Programming Optimality Analysis, Chanseok Jeong Mar 1997

Analysis Of A Methodology For Linear Programming Optimality Analysis, Chanseok Jeong

Theses and Dissertations

The methodology of Johnson, Baner, Moore, and Grant can be applied to large scale linear programming models. A methodology for optimality analysis of linear programs was developed to create metamodels using response surface methodology techniques such as experimental design and least squares regression. A metamodel consists of a simple equation which is able to predict the optimal objective function value of a linear program. What is needed is some large scale application of the techniques to verify how accurate they are. In the research, I plan to use the large scale LP model, STORM. I use the "Hot Start" idea …


C-17/Paratrooper Risk Assessment Analysis, Jose C. Belano Mar 1997

C-17/Paratrooper Risk Assessment Analysis, Jose C. Belano

Theses and Dissertations

The C-17 test and evaluation community has been testing different aircraft formation geometries in search of a configuration which minimizes paratrooper encounter with the wake vortices of upstream aircraft. This thesis develops a simulation tool that the C-17 test and evaluation community can utilize as an advanced risk assessment model to use on proposed formation geometries prior to live testing. The model is developed under the architecture of object-oriented simulation using MODSIM III and parallels similar efforts by the Aerodynamic Decelerator Technology community in creating object-oriented counterparts to already developed trajectory models of various degrees of freedom. This thesis develops …


Turkish Air Mobility Modeling, Huseyin Topcuoglu Mar 1997

Turkish Air Mobility Modeling, Huseyin Topcuoglu

Theses and Dissertations

The aim of this research is to provide a tactical mobility model which is user friendly and flexible so the user is able to change the inputs, and evaluate the situation with the projected data for an operational plan. Thus, the users can analyze their system by using the model to see whether or not mobility requirements can be met within a definite time frame, and how long it takes to satisfy the requirements. Generalized Air Mobility Model (GAMM) was chosen to model TAMC's airlift system and has been found suitable for application to TUAF mobility problems. The software enables …


Decision Support Model To Select The Optimal Municipal Solid Waste Management Policy At United States Air Force Installations, Johnathon L. Dulin Mar 1997

Decision Support Model To Select The Optimal Municipal Solid Waste Management Policy At United States Air Force Installations, Johnathon L. Dulin

Theses and Dissertations

The United States Air Force has recently defined three objectives in developing strategies regarding the management of municipal solid waste at the base level. They are: (1) 50 percent reduction in total waste generated, from a 1992 baseline amount, by 1999; (2) 50 percent recycling of all waste generated, beginning in 1999; and, (3) a minimum cost program. With these objectives in mind, base environmental engineers must take appropriate actions in an effort to develop a program that meets these goals. Through consultations with base environmental managers, as well as research of the available literature, a decision support model was …


Robust Parameter Estimation For The Mixed Weibull (Seven Parameter) Including The Method Of Minimum Likelihood And The Method Of Minimum Distance, Donald A. Mumford Mar 1997

Robust Parameter Estimation For The Mixed Weibull (Seven Parameter) Including The Method Of Minimum Likelihood And The Method Of Minimum Distance, Donald A. Mumford

Theses and Dissertations

Robust parameter estimation is successfully applied to the Mixed Weibull (seven parameter) using the Method of Minimum Distance and the Method of Maximum Likelihood. That is, parameters can now be estimated for a mixture of two Weibull distributions where the true populations are co-located, partially co-located or highly separated. Both techniques provided very robust estimates that were far superior to current parameter estimation techniques. Sample sizes as low as ten with mixing proportions down to 0.1 were investigated. For the MLEs, innovative bounding techniques are presented to allow consistent and correct convergence using any reasonable point estimate. The likelihood function …


The Roles Of Offset Organizations In The Republic Of Korea And The Republic Of China, Tsung-Cheng Wang, Sang-Bum Shin Mar 1997

The Roles Of Offset Organizations In The Republic Of Korea And The Republic Of China, Tsung-Cheng Wang, Sang-Bum Shin

Theses and Dissertations

This study sought to describe the role of offset organizations in international arms sales. To describe the role of offset organizations, we separated the political, military, and industrial offset organizations in the international arms sale. In the literature review, offset history was introduced for the background of this research, and the impact of offset agreements on both sellers and buyers was discussed. The U.S. and McDonnell Douglas offset policies and organizations were described as a main supplier. South Korea and Taiwan offset policies procedures and organizations were described as an example of recipient countries. Korean Fighter Programs and Taiwan F-16 …


A Crosstalk Correcting Router That Uses Online Noise Simulation To Route High Speed Multichip Modules, Kenneth J. Mcclellan Jr. Mar 1997

A Crosstalk Correcting Router That Uses Online Noise Simulation To Route High Speed Multichip Modules, Kenneth J. Mcclellan Jr.

Theses and Dissertations

Existing MultiChip Module (MCM) auto-routers either ignore crosstalk or use over simplified crosstalk approximations. Of the routers that do consider crosstalk, very few have the capability to correct crosstalk problems after they occur. This dissertation describes a router that not only has an internal crosstalk model for high speed MCMs which is more accurate than that of other existing routers, but also has the capability to use an online simulator to more accurately determine noise levels. After crosstalk problems occur, the router has the ability to correct these problems. Through memory usage reductions and routing efficiency improvements, this maze router …


Nested Fork-Join Queuing Networks And Their Application To Mobility Airfield Operations Analysis, Craig J. Willits Mar 1997

Nested Fork-Join Queuing Networks And Their Application To Mobility Airfield Operations Analysis, Craig J. Willits

Theses and Dissertations

A single-chain nested fork-join queuing network (FJQN) model of mobility airfield ground processing is proposed. In order to analyze the queuing network model, advances on two fronts are made. First, a general technique for decomposing nested FJQNs with probabilistic forks is proposed, which consists of incorporating feedback loops into the embedded Markov chain of the synchronization station, then using Marie's Method to decompose the network. Numerical studies show this strategy to be effective, with less than two percent relative error in the approximate performance measures in most realistic cases. The second contribution is the identification of a quick, efficient method …


Numerical And Experimental Investigation Of The Flowfield Near A Wrap-Around Fin, Carl P. Tilmann Mar 1997

Numerical And Experimental Investigation Of The Flowfield Near A Wrap-Around Fin, Carl P. Tilmann

Theses and Dissertations

A wall-mounted semi-cylindrical model fitted with a single wrap-around fin (WAF) has been investigated both numerically and experimentally, with the objective of characterizing the mean and turbulent flowfield in the vicinity of the fin. Numerical and experimental results are used to determine the nature of the flowfield and quantify the effects of fin curvature on the character of the flow near WAFs. This research has been motivated by the need to identify possible sources of a rolling moment reversal observed at high speeds in sub-scale flight tests. Detailed mean flow and turbulence measurements were obtained in the AFIT Mach 3 …


Modern Flight Control Design, Implementation, And Flight Test, Phillip T. Edwards Mar 1997

Modern Flight Control Design, Implementation, And Flight Test, Phillip T. Edwards

Theses and Dissertations

This thesis addresses the application issues raised implementing flight control designs derived from optimal control theory and the challenges in obtaining acceptable handling qualities when using these techniques. Using the USAF TPS FCS project as the controller architecture, four controllers were designed using classical methods, and H2, H3, and mixed H2/H optimal control theory. These designs were implemented in the Calspan VSS II Learjet, simulating unstable aircraft longitudinal dynamics and a limited handling qualities flight test evaluation was performed. The design phase found the optimal control techniques, as applied, difficult to design to handling qualities specifications. The H2, H3 and …


The Effects Of Elevator Rate Limiting And Stick Dynamics On Longitudinal Pilot-Induced Oscillations, Patrick J. Peters Mar 1997

The Effects Of Elevator Rate Limiting And Stick Dynamics On Longitudinal Pilot-Induced Oscillations, Patrick J. Peters

Theses and Dissertations

This report presents the results of an investigation into the effects of elevator rate limiting and stick dynamics on longitudinal pilot-induced oscillations (PIO). A simulation study was conducted to prepare for the flight test, but also to gain insight into the effects of rate limiting and stick dynamics. Due to the non-numerical nature of the simulation results, a flexible three-phase flight test plan was developed, first varying the rate limits, then varying the stick dynamics, and finally flying a matrix determined in the first two phases. There were three major conclusions. First, the offset landing task flown was insufficient to …


A Framework For An Automated Compilation System For Reconfigurable Architectures, George R. Roelke Iv Mar 1997

A Framework For An Automated Compilation System For Reconfigurable Architectures, George R. Roelke Iv

Theses and Dissertations

The advent of the Field Programmable Gate Array has allowed the implementation of runtime reconfigurable computer systems. These systems are capable of configuring their hardware to provide custom hardware support for software applications. Since these architectures can be reconfigured during operation, they are able to provide hardware support for a variety of applications, without removal from the system. The Air Force is currently investigating reconfigurable architectures for avionics and signal processing applications. This thesis investigates the problem of automating the application development process for reconfigurable architectures. The lack of automated development support is a major limiting factor in the use …


Net-Centric Design And Analysis Of Information Systems, Timothy R. Schmoyer Mar 1997

Net-Centric Design And Analysis Of Information Systems, Timothy R. Schmoyer

Theses and Dissertations

This thesis presents a unique methodology merging state of the art Internet and distributed database technology to support distributed simulations with programming language and platform independence. Standardized models of Command, Control, Communications, Computers, and Intelligence (C4I) systems using Integrated Definition (IDEF) models and executable simulation objects are placed in database repositories which can be accessed and implemented over a distributed simulation network using the Common Object Request Broker Architecture (CORBA). The CORBA distributed simulation network accesses heterogeneous distributed databases, performs distributed processes, and supports portability and reuse of simulation objects and interoperability across operating systems and programming languages.


An Examination Of The Hanson Contrail Forecast Algorithm Under Low Relative Humidity Conditions, Robert P. Asbury Iii Mar 1997

An Examination Of The Hanson Contrail Forecast Algorithm Under Low Relative Humidity Conditions, Robert P. Asbury Iii

Theses and Dissertations

Accurate forecasts of contrail occurrence are essential to military aircrews. Although classical forecast methods have been reasonably successful predicting contrails, there is need for improvement at low ambient relative humidity. This thesis examines the performance of the Hanson method, which was developed to provide better contrail forecasts under drier atmospheric conditions. As a secondary objective, the forecast methods of Schumann and Hanson are compared to the algorithm currently in use by the Air Force Global Weather Central. Data used to validate the algorithms were collected at Wright-Patterson AFB, OH and Edwards AFB, CA. Theoretical contrail forecasts were made for each …


A Validation Study Of The Ssm/I Temperature Algorithm And Comparison With The Cal/Val Land Surface Temperatures, Ronald L. Comoglio Mar 1997

A Validation Study Of The Ssm/I Temperature Algorithm And Comparison With The Cal/Val Land Surface Temperatures, Ronald L. Comoglio

Theses and Dissertations

The USAF operational cloud model, the Real-Time Nephanalysis (RTNEPH), requires infrared and visual scene scans as well as input from the Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I), featured on the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) polar orbiters. Additionally, SSM/I provides input to the Air Force Global Weather Center (AFGWC) surface temperature model (SFCTMP). The global surface temperatures are required for identifying which pixel of a scene is cloud and which is ground and as a first guess input to initialize NWP models. The SSM/I provides brightness temperatures sampled at four discrete: frequencies and dual polarizations to produce surface temperatures. Two algorithms …


An Atmospheric Sensitivity And Validation Study Of The Variable Terrain Radio Parabolic Equation Model (Vtrpe), Matthew K. Doggett Mar 1997

An Atmospheric Sensitivity And Validation Study Of The Variable Terrain Radio Parabolic Equation Model (Vtrpe), Matthew K. Doggett

Theses and Dissertations

The Variable Terrain Radio Parabolic Equation (VTRPE) computer model is a powerful and flexible program that provides calculations of the radar propagation conditions of the atmosphere. It is limited however, by the accuracy and resolution of the input data. This study quantifies the sensitivity of the VTRPE model to the accuracy and resolution of the atmospheric parameters that go into it. Also, two case studies are examined to test the utility of VTRPE in operational use. The sensitivity to measurements of pressure, temperature, and humidity was found to be dependent on the meteorological environment. In standard and subrefractive environments, average …


Optimization Of The Velocity Azimuth Display (Vad) Algorithm's Adaptable Parameters In The Wsr-88d System, Donald R. Farris Mar 1997

Optimization Of The Velocity Azimuth Display (Vad) Algorithm's Adaptable Parameters In The Wsr-88d System, Donald R. Farris

Theses and Dissertations

Meteorologists have encountered problems with the Velocity Azimuth Display (VAD) algorithm in the Weather Surveillance Radar - 1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) System. Under certain meteorological conditions, forecasters have observed differences between the radar's wind profiles and wind profiles from rawinsonde upper-air soundings, or wind profilers. One of the main causes of this problem is inversions in the atmosphere which cause the radar beam to subrefract or superefract, causing the VAD winds to be inaccurately reported at a particular height. This thesis used the WSR-88D Algorithm Testing and Display System (WATADS) to compare VAD winds from recorded Level 2 NEXRAD data at …


Adaption Of The Air Weather Service Fog Model To Forecast Radiation Fog Events In The Southeast United States, Andrew C. Goodnite Mar 1997

Adaption Of The Air Weather Service Fog Model To Forecast Radiation Fog Events In The Southeast United States, Andrew C. Goodnite

Theses and Dissertations

This research examined the performance of the Air Weather Service (AWS) Fog Model and the potential for using it in the Southeast United States for predicting fog. This task was accomplished in four separate steps. First, a correlation study was performed by comparing different weather elements in observations that met radiational cooling conditions to the observed visibility. This correlation study showed that the 22 UTC dewpoint depression was correlated (0.60) with early morning fog and no other weather elements that are commonly observed had significant correlation with early morning fog. Second, a verification study was conducted on the Saint Louis …


Validation Of The Air Force Global Weather Center Relocatable Window Model Total Cloud Forecast, Edward C. Harris Mar 1997

Validation Of The Air Force Global Weather Center Relocatable Window Model Total Cloud Forecast, Edward C. Harris

Theses and Dissertations

Air Force Global Weather Center's (AFGWC) Relocatable Window Model (RWM) total cloud forecasts were validated using data for selected days in May, June, and July, 1996. Forecasts were generated twice daily (00 UTC and 12 UTC) to determine the RWM's ability to accurately forecast total cloud cover during the late spring and early summer. The RWM forecasts were post-processed using the Slingo cloud forecast algorithm and compared against AFGWC's operational real time nephanalysis (RTNEPH) cloud analysis model. As a minimal-skill baseline comparison to the RWM's total cloud forecast, the RTNEPH initial analysis hour was persisted and evaluated against the same …


Quantification Of Weather Effects On Imaging Laser Radar, Clifton D. Stargardt Mar 1997

Quantification Of Weather Effects On Imaging Laser Radar, Clifton D. Stargardt

Theses and Dissertations

The Air Force is investigating the use of imaging laser radar systems as autonomous guidance systems on future precision guided munitions. The Air Force's Wright Laboratory is currently testing a 1.06 micron wavelength laser radar (ladar) at Eglin Air Force Base. Since laser radiation can be susceptible to propagation problems through weather, quantitative understanding of these effects is important to the development of this weapon system. Ladar image degradation, in the form of target dropouts and false returns, was evaluated in various weather conditions. Statistical analysis of the images presented expected degrees of degradation according to visibility and rain fall …


Sensitivity Analysis Of A Combat Simulation Using Response Surface Methodology, William J. Berg Mar 1997

Sensitivity Analysis Of A Combat Simulation Using Response Surface Methodology, William J. Berg

Theses and Dissertations

This thesis provides a methodology to analyze the sensitivity of a combat simulation relative to the capabilities of the modeled weapon systems. Response Surface Methodology (RSM) was the primary technique used for analysis. A ground battle scenario was developed with a commercial PC wargame Empire II: The Art of War(TM). In the computer verses computer mode, the wargame was transformed into a combat simulation'. A screening experiment was used to determine which of an original 23 weapon factors were actually significant to this scenario. After analyzing the remaining five factors, only three ended up as truly significant to the battle …


Statistical Modeling And Optimization Of Nuclear Waste Vitrification, Todd E. Combs Mar 1997

Statistical Modeling And Optimization Of Nuclear Waste Vitrification, Todd E. Combs

Theses and Dissertations

This thesis describes the development of a methodology to minimize the cost of vitrifying nuclear waste. Pacific Northwest Laboratory (PNL) regression models are used as baseline equations for modeling glass properties such as viscosity, electrical conductivity, and two types of durability. Revised PNL regression models are developed that eliminate insignificant variables from the original models. The Revised PNL regression model for electrical conductivity is shown to better predict electrical conductivity than the original PNL regression model. Neural networks are developed for viscosity and the two types of durability, PCT-B and MCC-1 B. The neural network models are shown to outperform …


Ranking And Generating Alternatives For The National Air Intelligence Center's (Naic) Resource Allocation Strategy, Steven M. Cox Mar 1997

Ranking And Generating Alternatives For The National Air Intelligence Center's (Naic) Resource Allocation Strategy, Steven M. Cox

Theses and Dissertations

Allocating resources is never an easy task, especially when requirements call for more resources than those available. It gets more difficult when the availability of resources shrinks from year to year. This is the case at the National Air Intelligence Center (NAIC). In each of the past five years, NAIC has been forced to make their resource allocation decision with fewer dollars and less manpower. This decision has been time consuming, manpower intensive, and sometimes very heated. In an effort to lessen these three consequences, a resource allocation model, based upon the NAIC Commander's values and preferences, was developed. The …


Modeling Mirv Footprint Constraints In The Weapons Assignment Model, Elliot T. Fair Mar 1997

Modeling Mirv Footprint Constraints In The Weapons Assignment Model, Elliot T. Fair

Theses and Dissertations

US Strategic Command (USSTRATCOM) is developing a new linear programming model called the Weapons Assignment Model (WAM) to perform weapons assignment for the Strategic Integrated Operations Plan (SIOP). One of the major improvements WAM will have over its predecessor is the ability to include Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicle (MIRV) footprinting constraints in the optimization process. In order to include MIRV footprint constraints in WAM, a methodology is needed to model the MIRV footprints in a manner that is consistent with the limitations of linear programming. Two techniques for modeling MIRV footprints were developed. The first, Geometric Approximation (GA), uses …


Modeling A Chemical Battlefield And The Resulting Effects In A Theater-Level Combat Model, Todd M. Gesling Mar 1997

Modeling A Chemical Battlefield And The Resulting Effects In A Theater-Level Combat Model, Todd M. Gesling

Theses and Dissertations

This thesis describes the development of a methodology to model chemical weapons use in the Joint Staff's Joint Warfare Analysis Experimental Prototype (JWAEP) and to quantify the resulting effects. The methodology incorporates organic unit assets and theater-level chemical assets into JWAEP by using the three principles of nuclear, biological, and chemical defense (NBC) which reflect joint and Army doctrine, and combines them with the basic concepts already used in existing theater-level models. Other aspects of the problem include representing chemical 'packages' on the battlefield, determining attrition and time effects, adjusting unit effectiveness, determining chemical package intelligence acquisition procedures, identifying solution …