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College Football Rankings And Market Efficiency, Ray C. Fair, John F. Oster Sep 2002

College Football Rankings And Market Efficiency, Ray C. Fair, John F. Oster

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

The results in this paper show that various college football ranking systems have useful independent information for predicting the outcomes of games. Optimal weights for the systems are estimated, and the use of these weights produces a predictive system that is more accurate than any of the individual systems. The results also provide a fairly precise estimate of the size of the home field advantage. These results may be of interest to the Bowl Championship Series in choosing which teams to play in the national championship game. The results also show, however, that none of the systems, including the optimal …


East Asian Financial Cooperation, C. Randall Henning Sep 2002

East Asian Financial Cooperation, C. Randall Henning

Documents

No abstract provided.


Yale Nurse, Yale School Of Nursing Sep 2002

Yale Nurse, Yale School Of Nursing

Yale School of Nursing Alumni Newsletters and Magazines

No abstract provided.


Moving Beyond Bilateralism? Japan And The Asian Monetary Fund, Jennifer Amyx Sep 2002

Moving Beyond Bilateralism? Japan And The Asian Monetary Fund, Jennifer Amyx

Documents

No abstract provided.


Yale Scientific Magazine: Volume 76, Number 1 Sep 2002

Yale Scientific Magazine: Volume 76, Number 1

Yale Scientific Magazine

No abstract provided.


Argentina's Currency Crisis: Lessons For Asia, Mark Spiegel Aug 2002

Argentina's Currency Crisis: Lessons For Asia, Mark Spiegel

Documents

No abstract provided.


The Genus Podocerus (Crustacea: Amphipoda: Podoceridae) From Guana Island, British Virgin Islands, Adam J. Baldinger, Michael F. Gable Aug 2002

The Genus Podocerus (Crustacea: Amphipoda: Podoceridae) From Guana Island, British Virgin Islands, Adam J. Baldinger, Michael F. Gable

Postilla

A new species of Podocerus is described from Guana Island, British Virgin Islands. Podocerus jareckii n. sp. has dorsal carinations and an interramal spine on uropod 1. A second species of Podocerus collected from similar habitats lacks dorsal carinations and uropodal interramal spines; it is indistinguishable from Podocerus fissipes described from the coast of Brazil. The relationships of the species reported here to Podocerus found in Bermuda, and in the Caribbean and Mediterranean Seas, are discussed.


Interview: Mario Blejer, Central Banking Staff Aug 2002

Interview: Mario Blejer, Central Banking Staff

Documents

No abstract provided.


2 Aout 2002. - Loi Relative À La Surveillance Du Secteur Financier Et Aux Services Financiers, Kingdom Of Belgium/Belgium/Belgian State Aug 2002

2 Aout 2002. - Loi Relative À La Surveillance Du Secteur Financier Et Aux Services Financiers, Kingdom Of Belgium/Belgium/Belgian State

Documents

Original title in French is: Loi relative la surveillance du secteur financier et aux services financiers (1)


Demography And The Long-Run Predictability Of The Stock Market, John Geanakoplos, Michael Magill, Martine Quinzii Aug 2002

Demography And The Long-Run Predictability Of The Stock Market, John Geanakoplos, Michael Magill, Martine Quinzii

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

Stock market price/earnings ratios should be influenced by demography. Since demography is predictable, stock returns should be as well. We provide a simple stochastic OLG model with a cyclical structure that generates cyclical P/E ratios. We calibrate the model to roughly fit the cyclical features of historical P/E ratios.


Higher-Order Improvements Of The Parametric Bootstrap For Long-Memory Gaussian Processes, Donald W.K. Andrews, Offer Lieberman Aug 2002

Higher-Order Improvements Of The Parametric Bootstrap For Long-Memory Gaussian Processes, Donald W.K. Andrews, Offer Lieberman

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

This paper determines coverage probability errors of both delta method and parametric bootstrap confidence intervals (CIs) for the covariance parameters of stationary long-memory Gaussian time series. CIs for the long-memory parameter d 0 are included. The results establish that the bootstrap provides higher-order improvements over the delta method. Analogous results are given for tests. The CIs and tests are based on one or other of two approximate maximum likelihood estimators. The first estimator solves the first-order conditions with respect to the covariance parameters of a “plug-in” log-likelihood function that has the unknown mean replaced by the sample mean. The second …


The Value Of Benchmarking, Dirk Bergemann, Ulrich Hege Aug 2002

The Value Of Benchmarking, Dirk Bergemann, Ulrich Hege

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

We consider the provision of venture capital in a dynamic model with multiple research stages, where time and investment needed to meet each benchmark are unknown. The allocation of funds is subject moral hazard. The optimal contract provides for incentive payments linked to attaining the next benchmark, which must be increasing in the funding horizon of each stage. Benchmarking reduces agency costs, directly by shortening the agent’s guaranteed funding horizon, and indirectly via an implicit incentive effect of information rents in future financing rounds. The ex ante need to provide incentives and the venture capitalist’s desire to cut information rents …


Japan: 2002 Article Iv Consultation-Staff Report; Staff Statement; And Public Information Notice On The Executive Board Discussion, International Monetary Fund (Imf) Aug 2002

Japan: 2002 Article Iv Consultation-Staff Report; Staff Statement; And Public Information Notice On The Executive Board Discussion, International Monetary Fund (Imf)

Documents

No abstract provided.


China's Asset Management Corporations, Guonan Ma, Ben S.C. Fung Aug 2002

China's Asset Management Corporations, Guonan Ma, Ben S.C. Fung

Documents

No abstract provided.


Demography And The Long-Run Predictability Of The Stock Market, John Geanakoplos, Michael Magill, Martine Quinzii Aug 2002

Demography And The Long-Run Predictability Of The Stock Market, John Geanakoplos, Michael Magill, Martine Quinzii

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

This paper was begun during a visit at the Cowles Foundation in Fall 2000 and revised during a visit in Fall 2002: Michael Magill and Martine Quinzii are grateful for the stimulating environment and the research support provided by the Cowles Foundation. We are also grateful to Bob Shiller for helpful discussions, and to participants at the Cowles Conference on Incomplete Markets at Yale University, the SITE Workshop at Stanford University, the Incomplete Markets Workshop at SUNY Stony Brook during the summer 2001, the Southwest Economic Conference at UCLA, and the Conference for the Advancement of Economic Theory at Rhodes …


Decreto 1316/2002, Republica Argentina Jul 2002

Decreto 1316/2002, Republica Argentina

Documents

No abstract provided.


Argentina Overcomes Debt Hurdle For Now, Central Banking Staff Jul 2002

Argentina Overcomes Debt Hurdle For Now, Central Banking Staff

Documents

No abstract provided.


Российская Федерация Федеральный Закон О Центральном Банке Российской Федерации (Банке России), Russian Federation Jul 2002

Российская Федерация Федеральный Закон О Центральном Банке Российской Федерации (Банке России), Russian Federation

Documents

No abstract provided.


Federal Law On The Central Bank Of The Russian Federation, As Amended July 18, 2017, Russian Federation Jul 2002

Federal Law On The Central Bank Of The Russian Federation, As Amended July 18, 2017, Russian Federation

Documents

English version


72nd Annual Report, Bank For International Settlements (Bis) Jul 2002

72nd Annual Report, Bank For International Settlements (Bis)

Documents

No abstract provided.


Nota Bene; Volume Xvi, Number Ii, Yale University Library Jul 2002

Nota Bene; Volume Xvi, Number Ii, Yale University Library

Nota Bene

Nota Bene is published during the academic year to acquaint the Yale community and others with the resources of the Yale Library.


Trade Policy, Trade Volumes And Plant-Level Productivity In Colombian Manufacturing Industries, Ana Fernandes Jul 2002

Trade Policy, Trade Volumes And Plant-Level Productivity In Colombian Manufacturing Industries, Ana Fernandes

Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


Best Response Equivalence, Stephen Morris, Takashi Ui Jul 2002

Best Response Equivalence, Stephen Morris, Takashi Ui

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

Two games are best-response equivalent if they have the same best-response correspondence. We provide a characterization of when two games are best-response equivalent. The characterizations exploit a dual relationship between payoff differences and beliefs. Some “potential game” arguments (cf. Monderer and Shapley, 1996, Games. Econ. Behav. 14, 124-143) rely only on the property that potential games are best-response equivalent to identical interest games. Our results show that a large class of games are best-response equivalent to identical interest games, but are not potential games. Thus we show how some existing potential game arguments can be extended.


Econometric Methods For Endogenously Sampled Time Series: The Case Of Commodity Price Speculation In The Steel Market, George J. Hall, John Rust Jul 2002

Econometric Methods For Endogenously Sampled Time Series: The Case Of Commodity Price Speculation In The Steel Market, George J. Hall, John Rust

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

This paper studies the econometric problems associated with estimation of a stochastic process that is endogenously sampled . Our interest is to infer the law of motion of a discrete-time stochastic process { p t } that is observed only at a subset of times { t 1 ,…, t n } that depend on the outcome of a probabilistic sampling rule that depends on the history of the process as well as other observed covariates x t . We focus on a particular example where p t denotes the daily wholesale price of a standardized steel product. However there …


La Rèforme Du Secteur Financier En Afrique, Anne Joseph Jul 2002

La Rèforme Du Secteur Financier En Afrique, Anne Joseph

Documents

No abstract provided.


Crisis And Dollarization In Ecuador”¯: Stability, Growth, And Social Equity, Paul Beckerman, Andrès Solimano Jun 2002

Crisis And Dollarization In Ecuador”¯: Stability, Growth, And Social Equity, Paul Beckerman, Andrès Solimano

Documents

No abstract provided.


Thai Asset Management Company To Begin Debt Transfer In July, Agence France Presse (Afp) Jun 2002

Thai Asset Management Company To Begin Debt Transfer In July, Agence France Presse (Afp)

Documents

No abstract provided.


Fiscalization Of Financial Institutions Development Fund's Losses, Bank Of Thailand Jun 2002

Fiscalization Of Financial Institutions Development Fund's Losses, Bank Of Thailand

Documents

Notice describing the repayment plan for FIDF debt


Garbage In: The Irresolution Corporation, Unknown Jun 2002

Garbage In: The Irresolution Corporation, Unknown

Documents

No abstract provided.


Thai Bad Debt Agency Off To Good Start - Pm's Adviser, Vikram Khanna Jun 2002

Thai Bad Debt Agency Off To Good Start - Pm's Adviser, Vikram Khanna

Documents

No abstract provided.