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A Principal-Agent Approach For Estimating Firm Efficiency: Revealing Bank Managerial Behavior, Levent Kutlu, Emmanuel Mamatzakis, Mike G. Tsionas Jul 2022

A Principal-Agent Approach For Estimating Firm Efficiency: Revealing Bank Managerial Behavior, Levent Kutlu, Emmanuel Mamatzakis, Mike G. Tsionas

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

We consider agency-theory-based structural and reduced form models of bank performance. In the structural models, we take into account the managerial decision-making processes, and reveal underlying managerial efforts and thereby managerial behavior. In an empirical application, we estimate performance of Eurozone banks using our novel structural and reduced form approaches by Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques. Our findings show, for the first time, that bank underperformance persists in the Eurozone whereas considerable variability across Member States exists. Our agency-theory-based structural modeling would favor cooperation of all interested parties and towards higher financial integration.


A General Equilibrium Assessment Of Covid-19’S Labor Productivity Impacts On China’S Regional Economies, Xi He, Edward J. Balistreri, Gyu Hyun Kim, Wendong Zhang Jul 2022

A General Equilibrium Assessment Of Covid-19’S Labor Productivity Impacts On China’S Regional Economies, Xi He, Edward J. Balistreri, Gyu Hyun Kim, Wendong Zhang

Department of Economics: Faculty Publications

This study introduces a database for analyzing COVID-19’s impacts on China’s regional economies. This database contains various sectoral and regional economic outcomes at the weekly and monthly level. In the context of a general equilibrium trade model, we first formulate a mathematical representation of the Chinese regional economy and calibrate the model with China’s multi-regional input-output table. We then utilize the monthly provincial and sectoral value-added and national trade series to estimate COVID-19’s province-by-month labor-productivity impacts from February 2020 to September 2020. As a year-on-year comparison, relative to February 2019 levels, we find an average 39.5% decrease in labor productivity …


External Factors And Economic Growth In Tunisia: Ardl Approach With Structural Change Analysis, Saif Eddine Ayouni, Ramzi Farhani, Mekki Hamdaoui Jun 2022

External Factors And Economic Growth In Tunisia: Ardl Approach With Structural Change Analysis, Saif Eddine Ayouni, Ramzi Farhani, Mekki Hamdaoui

Arab Economic and Business Journal

This paper examined the effect of external factors on economic growth in Tunisia. The economic analysis was carried out using recent quantitative technique of annual time series data from 1976 to 2017. Based on co-integration test with unknown structural breaks and ARDL bound testing we investigated importance of each factor in stimulating economic growth. Our results show that in the long-run FDI does not affect economic growth. Remittances and imports negatively affect economic growth. Exports promote economic growth such that a 1% increase stimulates economic activity by 0.702%. In the short term, our estimates emphasize a structural break in 1988 …


Food Price Volatility And Household Welfare: A Case Study Of Major Cities Of Pakistan, Nigar Zehra, Ambreen Fatima Jun 2022

Food Price Volatility And Household Welfare: A Case Study Of Major Cities Of Pakistan, Nigar Zehra, Ambreen Fatima

Business Review

The purpose of this paper is to find the impact of food price volatility on the welfare of urban households of Pakistan. Food price volatility in monthly prices of major food commodities for main cities of Pakistan is calculated through standard deviation method. Moreover, the study adopts the methodology provided by Alkire and Foster 2007, and Alkire and Santos 2010 to develop Household Deprived Welfare Index (DWI) for major cities of Pakistan. Following Deaton 1985, the study uses pseudo panel approach. Fixed Effect technique is applied to estimate the impact of volatility on household welfare. The results generated from pseudo …


Western Australian Regional Development Trust Annual Report 2021-22, West Australian Development Trust Jun 2022

Western Australian Regional Development Trust Annual Report 2021-22, West Australian Development Trust

Western Australian Regional Development Trust Annual Reports

The Trust is an independent statutory advisory body to the Minister, established under the Royalties for Regions Act 2009 (Act).

The functions of the Trust are to provide advice and make recommendations to the Minister:

  • for the purposes of sections 5(2) and 9(1) of the Act; and
  • on any other matter relating to the operation of the Fund that is referred to it by the Minister.

In addition to its monitoring and advisory role, the Trust also works to engage and enhance relationships with key regional stakeholders and influencers to promote greater collaboration and innovation in the delivery of regional …


Evaluasi Pengkreditan Pajak Masukanbagi Pengusaha Kena Pajak Belum Berproduksipasca Omnibus Law Studi Kasus Pt Z, Elsie Sylviana Kasim, Qanitha Mayra Salsabila Jun 2022

Evaluasi Pengkreditan Pajak Masukanbagi Pengusaha Kena Pajak Belum Berproduksipasca Omnibus Law Studi Kasus Pt Z, Elsie Sylviana Kasim, Qanitha Mayra Salsabila

Jurnal Administrasi Bisnis Terapan

Crediting input tax prior to the Omnibus Law is only for the acquisition and/or import of capital goods. After the Omnibus Law, input tax credits are not only limited to the acquisition and/or import of capital goods. This study discusses input tax crediting for Taxable Entrepreneurs who have not produced after the Omnibus Law at PT Z. The data collection techniques used in this research are library research and field research. The results of the research and analysis can be concluded as follows: the input tax of Rp.391,869,212 is the acquisition of Taxable Goods or Taxable Services which are not …


Analisis Pengaruh Total Assets Turnover, Working Capitalturnover, Debt To Equity Ratio, Dan Current Ratio Terhadapkinerja Keuangan Perusahaan, Hanifah Aidha Zakaria Putri, Kiagus Andi, Ahmad Zubaidi Indra Jun 2022

Analisis Pengaruh Total Assets Turnover, Working Capitalturnover, Debt To Equity Ratio, Dan Current Ratio Terhadapkinerja Keuangan Perusahaan, Hanifah Aidha Zakaria Putri, Kiagus Andi, Ahmad Zubaidi Indra

Jurnal Administrasi Bisnis Terapan

This study aims to determine how the influence of Total Assets Turnover, Working Capital Turnover, Debt to Equity Ratio, and Current Ratio on the Company's Financial Performance. The company's financial performance can be described one of them through the company's financial ratios which can be seen and known through the company's financial statements. There are 3 financial ratios with 4 measurement methods used in this study: Activity Ratio (Total Assets Turnover and Working Capital Turnover), Leverage Ratio (Debt to Equity Ratio), and Liquidity Ratio (Current Ratio). This study uses a quantitative method using the Slovin technique and stratified random sampling …


Satisfaction Of Non-Covid-19 Patients Under National Health Insurance (Jkn) In Changes In Health Services During The Covid-19 Pandemic And Associated Factors, Istianah Surury, Nastiti Dyah Prastiwi, Luthfiah Haifah Ali Jun 2022

Satisfaction Of Non-Covid-19 Patients Under National Health Insurance (Jkn) In Changes In Health Services During The Covid-19 Pandemic And Associated Factors, Istianah Surury, Nastiti Dyah Prastiwi, Luthfiah Haifah Ali

Jurnal Ekonomi Kesehatan Indonesia

Currently, health care services follow the first edition of the COVID-19 Prevention Guidelines from the Indonesian Health Ministry. Therefore, health care services should continue to deliver services equally between COVID-19 patients and general patients. Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, a non-COVID-19 patient satisfaction survey has not been conducted at the hospital. Inpatient services are the most affected by COVID-19 because large capacity of bed is allocated for COVID-19. The aims of this study is to determine the level of satisfaction of non-COVID-19 patients under JKN and its associated factors regarding the changes in health care services during the …


Dak Fisik Kesehatan To Reduce Maternal And Infant Mortality Rate, Rendy Alvaro, Ratna Christianingrum, Tio Riyono Jun 2022

Dak Fisik Kesehatan To Reduce Maternal And Infant Mortality Rate, Rendy Alvaro, Ratna Christianingrum, Tio Riyono

Jurnal Ekonomi Kesehatan Indonesia

Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR) and Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) are essential indicators of health development that are written on the national development plan documents. Nevertheless, Indonesia has not yet achieved the national target of MDG’s and SDG’s. In prediction, without extraordinary policies, the target of SDGs will not be reached by 2030. The government has allocated DAK Fisik Penugasan as one of the efforts to reduce MMR and IMR. So this study aims to capture the effect of DAK Fisik in decreasing MMR and IMR. Panel data from 34 provinces level in 2019 and 2020 are analyzed using mean difference …


Two Essays In Applied Microeconomics: Retirement, Income Inequalities, And Other Economic Indicators Of Health And Life Satisfaction, Zahra Akbari Jun 2022

Two Essays In Applied Microeconomics: Retirement, Income Inequalities, And Other Economic Indicators Of Health And Life Satisfaction, Zahra Akbari

USF Tampa Graduate Theses and Dissertations

The following proposal includes two essays in applied microeconomics. The first essay studied the relationship between income differences among siblings and the health outcomes of the individuals. Health inequalities and the factors associated with them have been a significant interest of health economists. Among those factors that can lead to health differences in adulthood, many studies have studied financial status. There are still many questions about these factors which should be answered in this area, especially about the adulthood income relative to a reference group and how it can be related to differences in adulthood health. The main goal of …


A Universally Translatable Explication Of Adam Smith's Famous Proposition On "The Extent Of The Market", Bart J. Wilson, Gian Marco Farese Jun 2022

A Universally Translatable Explication Of Adam Smith's Famous Proposition On "The Extent Of The Market", Bart J. Wilson, Gian Marco Farese

ESI Publications

Following Adam Smith’s line of argument, we examine the semantics of four economic principles in Chapter III of the Wealth of Nations that compose his famous proposition “that the division of labour is limited by the extent of the market.” We apply the Natural Semantic Metalanguage framework in linguistics to produce a series of explications that are clear and plain, cross-translatable into any language, intelligible to twenty-first-century readers, and faithfully close to the original text. Our paper explicates Smith’s logical argument in Chapter III and demonstrates how his ideas can be shared among speakers with different linguacultural backgrounds in line …


Inflation Variations In Egypt: An Asymmetrical Analysis Of Pass-Through Effects, Yassmina Rashad Helmi Abouelhassan Jun 2022

Inflation Variations In Egypt: An Asymmetrical Analysis Of Pass-Through Effects, Yassmina Rashad Helmi Abouelhassan

Theses and Dissertations

Inflation variations has become an issue that impedes efficient resource allocation and inclusive growth in Egypt. High inflationary pressures negatively affect standards of living, poverty alleviation and finally markets’ efficiency. For the past decade, Research on the causes of inflation in emerging markets has been closely linked to exchange rates pass-through (ERPT). This is due to its perceived impacts on import prices and terms of trade shocks, which lead to a pass-through effect to domestic inflation. This research aims to contribute to the literature by investigating ERPT in Egypt with a nonlinear Autoregressive distributed lag model (NARDL). Recent research on …


Education-Occupation Mismatch Among University Graduates In Egypt: Determinants And Consequences, Nouran Elkhouly Jun 2022

Education-Occupation Mismatch Among University Graduates In Egypt: Determinants And Consequences, Nouran Elkhouly

Theses and Dissertations

This thesis reviews the literature on the education-occupation mismatch. The thesis focuses on Egyptian university graduates and postgraduates in 2018. It studies the determinants of the education-occupation mismatch, and its effect on earnings and workers’ job satisfaction using the 2018 wave of the Egyptian Labor Market Survey (ELMPS). Ordinary least squares (OLS) and probit models were used to investigate the determinants of the education-occupation mismatch, and an OLS and a two-stage least square (2SLS) regressions were estimated with the use of the father’s education and father’s employment status as instrumental variables to determine the effect of the mismatch on labors’ …


Addressing Teacher Attrition Through Trauma-Informed Practices In The Workplace, Amy Pahl, Amy L. Pahl Jun 2022

Addressing Teacher Attrition Through Trauma-Informed Practices In The Workplace, Amy Pahl, Amy L. Pahl

Dissertations, Theses, and Projects

Teacher attrition and turnover have been widely studied to understand the reason for the number of teachers moving each year or leaving the profession altogether. Researchers have attempted to understand the contributing factors that lead to teacher movement and attrition, yet a knowledge gap exists between understanding the problem and finding solutions. The aim of this study was to investigate how implementing trauma-informed practices in the workplace impacts teacher mobility and attrition. A grounded theory approach was taken, which data from interviews to investigate the problem. Teachers who have left the profession or have moved from a position were interviewed …


Working Paper No. 55, An Inquiry Into The Assumptions And Tenets Of Neoclassical Economics That Lead Towards Income Inequality, Katharine Nester Jun 2022

Working Paper No. 55, An Inquiry Into The Assumptions And Tenets Of Neoclassical Economics That Lead Towards Income Inequality, Katharine Nester

Working Papers in Economics

This inquiry seeks to establish that key assumptions foundational to Neoclassical Economics contribute towards income inequality. A consideration of the Neoclassical interpretation and assumptions of the laissez-faire approach to market economies opens the inquiry. I examine the economic outcomes that result when the assumptions underpinning the Neoclassical application of laissez-faire are false, as they often are in the real world. The inquiry then turns to the theories and natural “laws” as advanced by Vilfredo Pareto (1848-1923) and John Bates (J. B.) Clark (1847-1938), which were built upon the Neoclassical adaptation of laissez-faire and became canon in the Neoclassical school. Finally, …


Working Paper No. 54, Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen And Ecological Economics, Miriam Silverman Jun 2022

Working Paper No. 54, Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen And Ecological Economics, Miriam Silverman

Working Papers in Economics

This inquiry seeks to establish that in his book The Entropy Law and the Economic Process [1971] (2013), author Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen provides a foundation for Ecological Economics. The Entropy Law implies that the economic process is limited because it is reliant on finite natural resources, e.g., fossil fuels and minerals, as the economic process involves relying upon low-entropy natural resources in the production of consumer goods, and then results in the discarding of high-entropy waste, e.g., heat in the form of CO2 and other greenhouse gasses, into the environment, eventually resulting in noticeable degradation. Notably, these ideas from Georgescu-Roegen’s …


Working Paper No. 59, Cultural Imperialism And Hegemony, Maria Zavala Jun 2022

Working Paper No. 59, Cultural Imperialism And Hegemony, Maria Zavala

Working Papers in Economics

While the traditional colonial imperialism of France and Great Britain ended after World War Two, it can be argued that a new form of imperialism replaced it. What is known as “cultural imperialism” includes the art of inserting a covert idea into person's mind by use of popular culture. Herein, Antonio Gramsci’s ideas of cultural imperialism are contemplated. This paper explores the topic by focusing upon some of the effects that popular American music has had on Latin music and the changes in culturally acceptable trends that have followed. Then, American beauty standards and the Eurocentric beauty standards of Latin …


Working Paper No. 64, Ecological Economics Versus Environmental Economics, Audrey Demeaux Jun 2022

Working Paper No. 64, Ecological Economics Versus Environmental Economics, Audrey Demeaux

Working Papers in Economics

This inquiry seeks to establish that the field within the Discipline of Economic Science known as Ecological Economics is based upon assumptions and methodological foundations that differ from the field of Environmental Economics. It shall be argued that Environmental Economics did not emerge as the result of a new shift in economic thinking, but rather formed around a reorientation of standard neoclassical assumptions. This was undertaken in an effort to address environmental issues emerging several decades back. In contrast, it shall be argued that the field of Ecological Economics has brought to the Economics Discipline an appreciation for novel assumptions …


Housing Affordability For Top Occupations In Nevada Metros, 2022, Kristian Thymianos, Elia Del Carmen Solano-Patricio, Ally M. Beckwith, Caitlin J. Saladino, William E. Brown Jr. Jun 2022

Housing Affordability For Top Occupations In Nevada Metros, 2022, Kristian Thymianos, Elia Del Carmen Solano-Patricio, Ally M. Beckwith, Caitlin J. Saladino, William E. Brown Jr.

Housing & Real Estate

This fact sheet combines housing and employment data from the National Housing Conference (NHC) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) to examine housing affordability for the 10 most common occupations in the Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV and the Reno-Sparks, NV metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in Quarter 1 of 2022.


The Unemployment-Crime Relationship In California: A Reexamination At The County-Level, Taylor M. Friedman Jun 2022

The Unemployment-Crime Relationship In California: A Reexamination At The County-Level, Taylor M. Friedman

Pennsylvania Economic Review

This study investigates the unemployment-crime relationship using a panel of the 58 counties in California from 2015-2019. A regression is estimated using a one-way random effects model to control for unobserved heterogeneity. The dependent variables are categorized into two groups: violent and property crimes. Independent variables are also placed into categories: state expenditures, socioeconomic, demographic, law enforcement, and county. The results indicate that for violent crimes, poverty, Black racial composition, young males aged 14-17, and college educational attainment for people aged 18-24 are positively significant contributors to the crime rate. Population density and college educational attainment for people aged 25+ …


Us - China Trade Conflict - How Bad, Exactly - For China?, Rubina Vohra, Ning Liao Jun 2022

Us - China Trade Conflict - How Bad, Exactly - For China?, Rubina Vohra, Ning Liao

Pennsylvania Economic Review

This paper examines the ongoing trade war between China and the US and attempts to identify the causes of the trade conflict and impact on output, employment, and current account balance of China’s economy. The research conclude that the causes of the trade conflict are threefold, namely, trade imbalances, the midterm/presidential elections in the US, and the competition for global economic control. The worst-case scenario suggests that China will lose about 1% of its job positions and 1.13% of GDP, suggesting that the trade conflict will have some impact on China, but it may not be devastating. The large size …


A Consistent Specification Test For Dynamic Quantile Models, Peter Horvath, Jia Li, Zhipeng Liao, Andrew J. Patton Jun 2022

A Consistent Specification Test For Dynamic Quantile Models, Peter Horvath, Jia Li, Zhipeng Liao, Andrew J. Patton

Research Collection School Of Economics

Correct specification of a conditional quantile model implies that a particular conditional moment is equal to zero. We nonparametrically estimate the conditional moment function via series regression and test whether it is identically zero using uniform functional inference. Our approach is theoretically justified via a strong Gaussian approximation for statistics of growing dimensions in a general time series setting. We propose a novel bootstrap method in this nonstandard context and show that it significantly outperforms the benchmark asymptotic approximation in finite samples, especially for tail quantiles such as Value-at-Risk (VaR). We use the proposed new test to study the VaR …


Three Essays In The Economics Of Education, Md Ohiul Islam Jun 2022

Three Essays In The Economics Of Education, Md Ohiul Islam

Dissertations

This dissertation explores three distinct topics in the economics of education. These topics explore the relationship between factors such as race, gender, national origin, and educational and labor market outcomes. Educational attainment in the STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics) areas receives a major focus in this dissertation; a college-level specialization in STEM areas generally leads to high incomeyielding career tracks. Below I briefly explain the research objectives and findings of each chapter.

The first chapter focuses on the impact of teacher-student demographic mismatch on student success in classrooms at the high school level. When students, particularly those of disadvantaged …


Reskilling And Upskilling : To Stay Relevant In Today’S Industry, Rhea Sawant, Bryan Thomas, Swati Kadlag Jun 2022

Reskilling And Upskilling : To Stay Relevant In Today’S Industry, Rhea Sawant, Bryan Thomas, Swati Kadlag

International Review of Business and Economics

The rapid modernization and influx of various new technologies and methodologies currently being employed today greatly and continuously changes the definition of professional competence expected of employees that work for companies that are directly or indirectly impacted because of these advancements or changes, this creates a demand for new jobs requiring new skill sets and so, one finds that in order to keep relevant to the workforce, refreshing and adding to one’s skill set has become a necessity. Candidates thinking about entering the job market need to possess the right kind of skills for the right kind of job and …


Prevalence Of Duesenberry’S Relative Income Hypothesis In Nepalese Economy, Rajendra Adhikari Jun 2022

Prevalence Of Duesenberry’S Relative Income Hypothesis In Nepalese Economy, Rajendra Adhikari

International Review of Business and Economics

Present paper examines the prevalence of Duesenberry’s relative income hypothesis in Nepalese economy during 1974/75-2019/20 through ARDL bound tests under DEF and Davis-SK specifications. The ARDL under DEF specification is found to be not valid. However, the ARDL bound test under Davis-SK specification is found valid. There exists cointegration among average propensity to consume, demonstration effect and ratchet effect. The coefficient of demonstration effect is found to be negative and that of ratchet effect to be positive as reported by ARDL models. The error correction model also implies that short run shocks significantly affect long run relations among the variables. …


Effects Of Real Effective Exchange Rate And Trade Openness On Remittances: Evidence For Bangladesh, Anisul Islam, Matiur Rahman Dr Jun 2022

Effects Of Real Effective Exchange Rate And Trade Openness On Remittances: Evidence For Bangladesh, Anisul Islam, Matiur Rahman Dr

Pennsylvania Economic Review

This paper studies the effects of real effective exchange rate and trade openness on expatriates’ remittances inflows to Bangladesh. Annual data from 1975 through 2014 are employed. Efficient unit root tests, linear ARDL bounds testing and VECM are implemented. All variables are nonstationary in log-levels with I(1) behavior. The evidence on cointegration among the variables is inconclusive. The estimates of VECM reveal moderate pace of convergence toward long-run equilibrium with mixed evidence on short-run interactive feedback effects. Remittances are much more responsive to changes in real effective exchange rate and trade openness in the long run than in the short …


Evaluating The Convergence Of Incomes In Pennsylvania, 1980-2018: Did The Incomes In Pennsylvania Converge?, Yaya Sissoko, Brian Sloboda, Rubens Da Silva Jun 2022

Evaluating The Convergence Of Incomes In Pennsylvania, 1980-2018: Did The Incomes In Pennsylvania Converge?, Yaya Sissoko, Brian Sloboda, Rubens Da Silva

Pennsylvania Economic Review

This paper analyzed the recent change in both per capita earnings from employment and per capita income (including that from transfers and non-earnings sources) by Pennsylvania’s counties between 1980 and 2018, inclusive. Then, we also divided the period into the following five time periods for additional analysis: 1980-1990, 1990-2000, 2000-2010, and 2010-2018. Absolute convergence seems to have occurred among the counties in Pennsylvania that may be attributed to the gradual heterogenization of the regional economies. This result may modify some of the conclusions drawn in the recent literature regarding the mechanisms that have generated convergence in their regions. We also …


Kentuckians And Expanded Gaming: Opposition To Protect The Vulnerable?, Thomas E. Lambert Jun 2022

Kentuckians And Expanded Gaming: Opposition To Protect The Vulnerable?, Thomas E. Lambert

Faculty and Staff Scholarship

During the 2022 meeting of the Kentucky General Assembly, gambling interests in the state had both triumphs and setbacks. An attempt to raise taxes on revenues earned by specialty slot machines (historical horse racing machines, or HHR machines) was turned back, yet an attempt to legalize sports gambling on sports such as the NFL, NBA, NCAA, etc., was also turned back. Lotteries, charitable gaming, and pari-mutuel wagering on horse racing have been legal in the state for some time, and HHR machines were made fully legal after state laws were re-written in 2021 to have them comply with the state …


Weak Identification Of Long Memory With Implications For Inference, Peter C. B. Phillips Jun 2022

Weak Identification Of Long Memory With Implications For Inference, Peter C. B. Phillips

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

This paper explores weak identification issues arising in commonly used models of
economic and financial time series. Two highly popular configurations are shown to
be asymptotically observationally equivalent: one with long memory and weak autoregressive dynamics, the other with antipersistent shocks and a near-unit autoregressive
root. We develop a data-driven semiparametric and identification-robust approach to
inference that reveals such ambiguities and documents the prevalence of weak identification in many realized volatility and trading volume series. The identification-robust empirical evidence generally favors long memory dynamics in volatility and volume, a conclusion that is corroborated using social-media news flow data.


Prudential Policy With Distorted Beliefs, Eduardo Dávila, Ansgar Walther Jun 2022

Prudential Policy With Distorted Beliefs, Eduardo Dávila, Ansgar Walther

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

This paper studies leverage regulation when equity investors and/or creditors have distorted beliefs relative to a planner. We characterize how the optimal regulation responds to arbitrary changes in investors’/creditors’ beliefs, relating our results to practical scenarios. We show that the optimal regulation depends on the type and magnitude of such changes. Optimism by investors calls for looser leverage regulation, while optimism by creditors, or jointly by both investors/creditors, calls for tighter leverage regulation. Our results apply to environments with i) planners with imperfect knowledge of investors’/creditors’ beliefs, ii) monetary policy, iii) bailouts and pecuniary externalities, and iv) endogenous beliefs.