Digital Commons Network^™

Built By Hand, Run By Machine: Robots And The Uneven Displacement Of Native And Migrant Workers In Germany (2012-2024), Farida Mohamed Elkhosht

Theses and Dissertations

This study investigates whether industrial robot adoption generates differential employment effects for native and migrant workers across German local labor markets, using district-level data for 393 districts over 2012–2024. This question matters because Germany combines one of the world's highest concentrations of industrial robots with one of the largest migrant workforces in the OECD. Despite growing policy interest in the distributional effects of technological change, limited evidence exists on whether automation affects native and migrant employment differently within the same local labor markets. Using Bartik shift-share design to measure exogenous variation in robot exposure, the study finds that the effect …

Policy Coherence And Private Sector Development In Egypt: Aligning Governance Reforms With Development Finance, Shereef El Tanahi

Theses and Dissertations

Despite record volumes of development finance flowing into Egypt, the private sector, particularly its micro, small, and medium enterprises, has yet to experience the broad-based growth these investments were designed to catalyze. Between 2020 and 2025, international development partners committed more than 15.6 billion dollars to Egypt's private sector, yet private investment remains a modest share of the national economy, and most domestic firms continue to face severe barriers to credit.

This thesis argues that the answer lies not in the volume of capital mobilized, but in the coherence of the policies that govern how that capital reaches firms. The …

Bridging The Gap Between Career Expectations Versus Labor Market Realities, Reinette P. Madrid, Grethel T. Ledesma, Ignatius Aryono Putranto, Jyro B. Triviño

Leadership and Strategy Faculty Publications

Most students lack awareness regarding the labor market outcomes for their chosen college majors. This study aims to answer what factors affect the career expectations of graduating students at Quezon City University and how these expectations align with the prevailing labor market situation. It employed descriptive, causal, and explanatory research using a sample of 108 respondents from fourth-year information technology students for the school year 2021 to 2022. Eight of the nine null hypotheses were rejected by employing multinomial logistic and linear regression. Student fixed effects and other labor market outcomes significantly predicted salary, estimated stability, and estimated skills in …

Bayesian Linear, Heteroskedastic, Multilevel, And Dynamic Models For Assessing The Effects Of Policy Uncertainty, Green Finance, Innovation, And Environmental Stringency On Sustainable Economic Growth In Oecd Economies, Md Qamruzzaman, Abdulrahman Alomair, Abdulaziz S. Al Naim, Sylvia Kor

Student Publications [Scholarly]

This study analyzes how policy uncertainty, green finance, green innovation, and the stringency of environmental policy affect sustainable economic growth in OECD member countries from 1996 to 2023. Given the growing evidence that advanced economies are facing structural lock-ins, a lack of coherent policy credibility, and insufficient financial and innovative capabilities, the current study integrates these factors into a coherent empirical framework that continues to prevent disintegration in the current literature. Using environmentally adjusted multifactor productivity as a proxy for green economic growth, the analysis employs a panel of Bayesian econometric models that include linear, heteroskedastic, multilevel, random-effects, and panel …

Horizontal Regulatory Barriers In International Trade: Evidence From Electric Plugs, Yuan Mei, Mingzhi (Jimmy) Xu

Research Collection School Of Economics

Domestic policies regulating the horizontal dimensions of product differentiation can impede international trade and have become a major concern in contemporary trade negotiations. We estimate trade frictions associated with incompatible designs of electric plugs, a well-known example of a horizontal regulatory barrier. Our findings indicate that fewer electronic devices are exported to destinations with incompatible electric plugs, and this effect operates through both the extensive margin and the intensive margin of exports. These results are further corroborated by an online survey of Chinese electronics exporters. Moreover, incompatible plugs are associated with lower average quality of exported electronic devices, suggesting that …

Upjohn Regional Economic Outlook, Vol. 1, No. 3, October 2026, Iryna V. Lendel, Chloe Wieber, Sevrin Williams, Gerrit Anderson, Lee Adams, Emily Petz

Reports

No abstract provided.

Do Village Funds Promote Rural Industrialization? Evidence From Micro And Small Industries In Indonesia, Nurul Hasanah, Riyanto Riyanto

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan

This study examines whether village funds promote rural industrialization in Indonesia by estimating their association with the number of micro and small industries at the village level. We construct a balanced village-level panel of 71,526 villages observed in four waves of the Village Potential Statistics (PODES) — 2018, 2020, 2021 and 2024 — merged with village fund realization data from the Ministry of Finance, yielding 286,104 village-year observations. Employing a fixed effects model, the analysis finds that village funds are positively and significantly associated with the number of micro and small industries. The results remain robust across multiple specifications. However, …

Urbanization Trends In Asean: The Impact Of Key Sosioeconomics Factors, Rifki Khoirudin, Muhammad Safar Nasir

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan

This study aims to analyze the influence of agricultural land, carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions, Gini index, environmental quality index, and foreign direct investment (FDI) on urbanization in seven ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam during the period 2014–2023. Urbanization in this region is an important phenomenon in the process of economic development, but also poses significant ecological and social challenges. This study uses a quantitative approach with panel data types (time series and cross section). The data are processed with the panel data regression analysis method, and the selection of the best model based …

The Interaction Between Fiscal Policy And Investment In Moderating Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence From 32 Countries, Fariha Rizqiyah Febriana, Alifa Fauzia Ardania, Aminudin Ma'ruf

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan

This study analyzes the moderating role of investment in the relationship between fiscal policy and economic growth across 32 Asian countries during the period 2005-2022. Using balanced panel data and a fixed-effects regression model, this study includes an interaction term between government spending and gross capital formation and controls for inflation, population growth, and trade openness. The results show a statistically significant positive interaction between government spending and investment, reflecting a complementary crowding-in effect on economic growth. Investment itself has a positive effect on growth, while government spending, when considered separately, has a negative correlation. The moderating effect is conditional, …

Multicriteria Policy (Multipol) Analysis For Enhancing Indonesian Coffee Exports, Indri Arrafi Juliannisa, Sarah Ghania, Jubaedah Jubaedah, Masripah Masripah, Abdul Razak Abdul Hadi

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan

Indonesia, a major global coffee producer, faces challenges in boosting coffee exports due to low productivity, production fluctuations, and competition from countries like Vietnam and Brazil. Despite large plantation areas, issues such as climate change, pests, and aging plants have caused declining export volumes and market share. This study aims to develop strategies to increase Indonesian coffee exports, specifically for Cijantur Aroma Coffee beyond Malaysia, using the MULTIPOL method—a participatory multi-criteria decision analysis. Findings highlight that the most effective strategy is strengthening international market demand through innovative promotion, especially on social media. Additionally, improving processing technology, diversifying export destinations, and …

Comparative Case Study Of Production Efficiency, Financial Performance, And Business Risk In Laying Hen Farms With Different Housing Systems And Management Conditions, Aliffa Mahayu Swastiratu, Fanny Widadie, Darsono

Jurnal Ilmu Ternak Universitas Padjadjaran

The laying hen sector continues to expand in response to increasing demand for animal protein; however, productivity remains sensitive to environmental conditions, particularly temperature fluctuations that affect production stability. The housing system represents a key management factor influencing farm performance. This study aims to compare production efficiency, financial performance, and business risk between closed-house and open-house laying hen systems. A comparative case study approach was applied to two commercial farms in Bayat District, Klaten Regency, representing each housing system. Data were analyzed using feed conversion ratio (FCR) and mortality rate for production efficiency, cost–revenue analysis, R/C ratio, and return on …

Climate Transition Stress Testing For Corporate Credit Risk: A Replicable Data-Mining Pipeline Using Esg Risk Scores, Huynh Long Hung Nguyen, Alan @ Ali Madjelisi Megargel, Rajesh Krishna Balan, Paul Robert Griffin

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

We present a replicable data-mining pipeline for illustrative, scenario-conditioned corporate distress analysis under feature decoupling. The pipeline links Compustat financial statements with Sustainalytics ESG Risk Rating records for 2,144 U.S. non-financial public firms, constructs a standardized Transition Risk Index (TRI), estimates a contemporaneous accounting-distress classifier, and applies transparent transition-cost sensitivities. Distress is defined as annual operating income insufficient to cover annual interest expense; interest coverage itself is excluded from the predictors. The resulting model is not a forward default forecast or a regulatory probability-of-default model. On a held-out cross-sectional test set, the logistic specification obtains AUC 0.909, PR-AUC 0.822, and …

Primitive Accumulation In The Late Twentieth Century: Mexico, The United States, And Nafta, Mark Huffman

Scholars Week

Between 1971 and 1994, American capital succeeded in redirecting state action toward the interests of the largest transnational firms, facilitating extreme concentrations of wealth and capital alongside a profound defeat of organized labor and the dismantling of social programs. The post-Keynesian political economy produced the North American Free Trade Agreement, an event which demonstrated both the ideological capture of the American state by neoliberalism and the purpose of the ideology as a social force (as opposed to a strictly economic one). This article investigates the neoliberal turn generally and NAFTA specifically as engines of social dislocation in North America and …

Sezs Vs Industrial Areas: Growth Determinants In Indonesia, Henny Oktavianti, Ambariyanto Ambariyanto, Burentegsh Dorjjugder

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan

This study aims to analyze the differences in the influence of the Gini ratio, unemployment rate, and education on economic growth in ten regencies/municipalities located within Special Economic Zones (SEZs) and ten conventional non-SEZ industrial regencies/municipalities in Indonesia during the period 2017–2023. The research adopts a quantitative approach using panel data regression analysis. The selected model is the Common Effect Model. The results indicate that the Gini ratio, unemployment rate, and education significantly affect economic growth in Special Economic Zones. Meanwhile, in conventional industrial regencies/municipalities, the unemployment rate and education have a significant impact on economic growth, whereas the Gini …

Women’S Employment And Intrahousehold Bargaining Power: Evidence From Nigeria, Temitope O. Olalude, Olanrewaju A. Olaniyan

Journal of International Women's Studies

Although women’s participation in paid employment has increased in recent years, the extent to which this improvement correlates with increased intrahousehold bargaining power (IHBP) remains understudied. Women’s intrahousehold bargaining power plays a critical role in achieving a more inclusive and sustainable economy. This study therefore investigates the relationship between women’s employment status and IHBP in Nigeria using data from the 2013 and 2018 Nigeria Demographic and Health Surveys (NDHS) to evaluate progress over time. We measured women’s employment status and assessed women’s intrahousehold bargaining power using two indices: the direct bargaining power index (DBPI) and the indirect bargaining power index …

The Nevada Innovation Economy And Federal Funding, Len Jessup, Sean Curry

Policy Briefs and Reports

This policy brief examines the nascent Nevada innovation economy and the funding capacity of the federal government. The analysis highlights how federal innovation programs have stimulated research, commercialization, and long-term economic development in Nevada. Using a multi-level framework encompassing technological, industrial, and spatial innovation, this policy brief documents how federal research funding, augmented by state programs and university infrastructure, has contributed to the formation of new research capabilities, seeded industry clusters and startups, and expanded workforce capacity. The findings suggest that federal resources have been productively deployed to date, generating significant scientific, economic, and social returns, but that more must …

Did Statewide School Smoking Bans Reduce Smoking Rates?, Rachana Bhatt, Peter Hinrichs

Employment Research Newsletter

No abstract provided.

The Economic Benefits And Costs Of State And Local Incentives For Clean Energy Projects, Timothy J. Bartik, Gerrit Anderson, Brian J. Asquith, Kathleen Bolter, Kyle Huisman, Iryna V. Lendel, Jeremy Morris, Sevrin Williams

Employment Research Newsletter

No abstract provided.

What Do Teacher Applicant Pools Look Like In School Districts And Charter Schools?, Dan Goldhaber, Cyrus Grout, Constance A. Lindsay, Elton Mykerezi, Aaron Sojourner, Lauren Dachille

Upjohn Institute Policy and Research Briefs

No abstract provided.

Forecasting Annual Capture Fisheries Production In Somalia Using Arima Models, Mohiadin Ahmed Mohamed, Dhaqane Rooble Halane, Hassan Omar Sabrie

Journal of Ocean and Coastal Economics

The study aims to forecast the production of Somalia's capture fisheries for the five years that follow, from 2024 to 2028, using the Box-Jenkins method and employing in-sample data spanning 50 years, from 1974 to 2023. Among the alternative models, ARIMA (1,1,1) was determined by the study to be the most suitable. The study obtained the data from World Bank development indicators (WDI) for the period between 1975 and 2023. According to the prediction's findings, the nation's capture fishing output will drop by roughly 1475 metric tons over the course of the following five years. The model was found to …

Converging, But Not Together: Regional Growth After Eu Enlargement, Armine Kardashyan

Claremont-UC Undergraduate Research Conference on the European Union

Using annual NUTS-3 data for eleven Central and Eastern European member states from 2000 to 2023, this paper studies whether regional catch-up after EU enlargement reflects absolute or conditional convergence. I estimate rolling ten-year convergence regressions within a steady-state framework in which regional GDP per capita depends on investment, human capital, and EU exposure. The results show strong conditional convergence during the early and middle phases of enlargement: Regions above their predicted steady states grow more slowly, consistent with adjustment toward heterogeneous long-run targets. This relationship weakens over time and becomes statistically indistinguishable from zero in later windows. Absolute convergence …

Educational Attainment Among Latinos In The New York Metropolitan Area 2000 - 2024., Laird W. Bergad

Center for Latin American, Caribbean, and Latino Studies

This report shows that between 2000 and 2024 Latinos have experienced a substantial rise in the percentage of college graduates 25 years of age and older. In 2000, 12% of all adult Latinos in the entire New York metro area had achieved a B.A. degree or greater. This more than doubled to 26% in 2024.

These higher levels of educational attainment led to higher household incomes. In 2024, Latino household heads in the New York metro region who had achieved a B.A. or higher degree earned median household incomes ($125,000) which were twice the incomes of those who had only …

Assessment Of The Potential Training Population Within Selected Neighborhoods In The City Of Chattanooga, Tennessee, Kathleen Bolter, Gerrit Anderson, Kyle Huisman

Upjohn Institute Technical Reports

This report provides a strategic analysis of the potential job training population of prime-age (25–54) “Recompete” residents within 14 identified census tracts in South and East Chattanooga, Tennessee. The data reveal a distinct population facing compounded physical and economic barriers that require a multisectoral approach beyond traditional skills training. The report offers neighborhood-specific strategies to improve stable employment through better access to training and other forms of transportation, childcare, and language assistance.

Progress, Challenges, And Policy Recommendations For China’S Climate Investment And Financing Pilot Zones In Context Of Carbon Neutrality, Xianchun Tan, Zhaoyang Deng, Chenxu Wang, Zhe Peng

Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version)

To implement the decisions and arrangements of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council on addressing climate change and to channel more capital toward climate action, China launched its first batch of 23 climate investment and finance pilot areas in 2022. Through the end of 2025, this study tracks and assesses of pilot development, synthesizes innovative models, identifies major challenges, and proposes policy recommendations. The results show that the pilot areas have made solid progress, with more than 260 supporting policy documents issued and over 6 300 projects, representing total planned investment exceeding RMB …

The Law Of General Average, Luca Anderlini, Joshua C. Teitelbaum

Georgetown Law Faculty Publications and Other Works

Part of a ship’s cargo is jettisoned in order to save the vessel and the remaining cargo from imminent peril. How should the loss be shared among the cargo owners? The law of general average, an ancient principle of maritime law, prescribes that the owners share the loss proportionally according to the respective values of their cargo. We analyze whether the law of general average is a truthful and efficient mechanism. That is, we investigate whether it induces truthful reporting of cargo values and yields a Pareto efficient allocation in equilibrium. We show that the law of general average is …

Constructing The Cyber Workforce Gap: Measurement And Its Consequences, Ryan Straight

Journal of Cybersecurity Education, Research and Practice

Cyber workforce-gap figures steer federal strategy, industry advocacy, and the growth of educational programs. Rather than estimating the U.S. gap, this review examines how the estimates are made: through job-posting analytics, survey-based estimation, and federal accounting, each of which must assume its way from instrument to labor market. A census of this journal's complete run illustrates what those figures underwrite in one venue: of 176 items published across eleven years, 51 invoke a labor-market workforce claim, 46 treat it as settled fact, and only one, an editorial, interrogates it. Meanwhile, the producers and auditors of those figures have diverged. Between …

The Profitability Of Racial Diversity And Gender Balance In Modern Hollywood, M. Garrett Roth, William Mcandrew

The Journal of Economics and Politics

This paper investigates the effects of racial and gender diversity in modern Hollywood. The primary objective is to determine if an objectively measurable increase in diverse casting over the last two decades has had a positive or negative impact on profits, and a secondary objective to measure diversity’s impact on critic scores. The study utilizes data focusing on the fifty most expensive films from 2003, 2008, 2013, 2018, and 2023. The findings indicate that profit is neither positively nor negatively affected by diversity, whether in ethnicity or gender. However, movie critic ratings are negatively affected by ethnic diversity when using …

21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve From The Great Inflation To Covid-19, Greg Arburn

The Journal of Economics and Politics

No abstract provided.

Profit Shifting And Tax Avoidance: Evidence From Us Multinational Enterprises, Dimitris Giakoulas, Kostas Gemenis, Nikolaos Daskalakis

The Journal of Economics and Politics

In this paper, we investigate tax avoidance of MNEs through profit shifting to tax havens. Using macro data from US MNEs, we analyze at the host country level where US affiliates book their profits and where their actual production activities take place. We find that the effect of the corporate tax on excess profits is conditional on whether the host country is considered to be a tax haven. Among tax haven host countries, a difference of 1% in the corporate tax is associated with a change of 8-15% in excess profits, while the relationship between corporate tax and excess profits …

An Analysis Of Poverty Convergence: Evidence From Pennsylvania Counties, Angel Alcantara, Stephanie M. Brewer, James J. Jozefowicz

The Journal of Economics and Politics

This paper extends applications of unconditional and conditional β-convergence and σ-convergence analysis to poverty rates in a panel data sample of Pennsylvania counties during the period 1990-2019. Spatial structural breaks between rural and urban counties in Pennsylvania plus the possibility that Philadelphia County is an outlier are acknowledged to avoid spurious inferences. The findings support the existence of unconditional β-convergence in the pooled, urban, and rural samples with non-metropolitan areas exhibiting the greatest convergence. However, the largest conditional β-convergence is observed for urban counties, and this outcome is robust to the exclusion of Philadelphia County. Graphical evidence evinces a greater …