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Portland State University

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Oregon Population Forecast Program

Population forecasting -- Oregon -- Malheur County

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Full-Text Articles in Urban Studies and Planning

Coordinated Population Forecast For Malheur County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2019-2069, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Rhey Haggerty, Jason R. Jurjevich, Charles Rynerson Jun 2019

Coordinated Population Forecast For Malheur County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2019-2069, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Rhey Haggerty, Jason R. Jurjevich, Charles Rynerson

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of the County experience different growth patterns. Local trends within UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the County as a whole. UGBs in Malheur County include Adrian, Jordan Valley, Nyssa, Ontario, and Vale.

Malheur County’s total population declined slightly in the 2000s; however, some of its sub-areas experienced minor population growth during this period.

The population growth that did occur in Malheur County in the 2000s was largely the result of natural increase (more deaths than births). An aging population not only led to an increase in deaths but also resulted in …


Coordinated Population Forecast For Malheur County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2016-2066, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Xiaomin Ruan, Risa Proehl, Jason R. Jurjevich, Kevin Rancik, Janai Kessi, David Tetrick, Julia Michel Jun 2016

Coordinated Population Forecast For Malheur County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2016-2066, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Xiaomin Ruan, Risa Proehl, Jason R. Jurjevich, Kevin Rancik, Janai Kessi, David Tetrick, Julia Michel

Oregon Population Forecast Program

During the 2000s, Malheur County, as a whole, experienced population decline (Figure 1); however three of its sub-areas recorded a slight population increase. Adrian grew at an average annual rate of nearly two percent, while Ontario and the area outside UGBs saw more modest growth rates. Even so the population loss recorded by Vale, Nyssa, and Jordan Valley totaled nearly 600, leading the countywide population to decrease.

Malheur County’s population decline in the 2000s was the combined result of a diminishing natural increase and periods of substantial net out-migration (Figure 12). The larger number of births relative to deaths has …