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Full-Text Articles in Politics and Social Change
Who Changed Their Minds About Erap? Hypothesis Tests Based On Design-Consistent Estimates Of An Ordered Probit Model Of The Philippine President’S Ratings, Michael M. Alba, Geriz Bigol, Reina Filipina Deacosta, Ria Pulumbarit
Who Changed Their Minds About Erap? Hypothesis Tests Based On Design-Consistent Estimates Of An Ordered Probit Model Of The Philippine President’S Ratings, Michael M. Alba, Geriz Bigol, Reina Filipina Deacosta, Ria Pulumbarit
Angelo King Institute for Economic and Business Studies (AKI)
Using data from the March and June 1999 surveys of the Social Weather Stations (SWS), we generate and analyze design-based estimates of the subpopulation means and standard deviations of President Estrada’s ratings and of his net satisfaction index over certain respondent characteristics. We also estimate the parameters of a design-consistent ordered probit model of the ratings and compare the coefficient estimates as well as the marginal effects on the ratings probabilities of the March and June regressors to identify the respondent attributes that contributed to the net decline in his popularity. We find that although the estimates of the population …