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Social Work Faculty Publications

2021

CART analysis

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Prediction Tool To Identify Children At Highest Risk Of Tuberculosis Disease Progression Among Those Exposed At Home, Meredith B. Brooks, Leonid Lecca, Carmen Contreras, Roger Calderon, Rosa Yataco, Jerome Galea, Chuan-Chin Huang, Megan B. Murray, Mercedes C. Becerra Jan 2021

Prediction Tool To Identify Children At Highest Risk Of Tuberculosis Disease Progression Among Those Exposed At Home, Meredith B. Brooks, Leonid Lecca, Carmen Contreras, Roger Calderon, Rosa Yataco, Jerome Galea, Chuan-Chin Huang, Megan B. Murray, Mercedes C. Becerra

Social Work Faculty Publications

Background: There is a dearth of research to understand which children, among those who are exposed at home to tuberculosis (TB), are at the highest risk of TB disease, to tailor care. We sought to identify predictors of TB progression in children.

Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study of children living with adults with pulmonary TB in Lima, Peru (2009–2012). We applied classification and regression tree analysis to examine potential predictors of incident TB disease during 12 months in 3 age groups (0–4, 5–9, and 10–14 years). We calculated the relative risk (RR) for top predictors in each age …