Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®
Articles 1 - 4 of 4
Full-Text Articles in Social Statistics
The Relevance Of Garch-Family Models In Forecasting Nigerian Oil Price Volatility, Garzali Muhammed, Bashir Umar Faruk Ph.D
The Relevance Of Garch-Family Models In Forecasting Nigerian Oil Price Volatility, Garzali Muhammed, Bashir Umar Faruk Ph.D
Bullion
This study aims at investigating the relevancy of GARCH - family models in measuring the Nigeria bonny light crude oil price volatility. The study also compares the forecasting power of different GARCH models with the aim of identifying the best forecasting model. The study uses the best GARCH family model to predict the future bonny light oil prices. The paper is structured into five sections. First section is introduction and second section is the literature review. The third section highlight the methodology while section four analyses the result and gives discussions of findings. Conclusion and recommendations are in the last …
Geopolitical Tensions, Crude Oil Price And Output Dynamics: Implications For Fiscal Governance In Nigeria, Harrison O. Okafor
Geopolitical Tensions, Crude Oil Price And Output Dynamics: Implications For Fiscal Governance In Nigeria, Harrison O. Okafor
Bullion
This paper examined the linkages between geopolitical tensions, crude oil prices and oil output dynamics vis-a-vis the implication for fiscal governance in Nigeria. within a strategic game theoretical framework, anchored on moral hazard assumptions (incentive problem) and applying VAR model, findings indicate that geopolitical tensions affects Nigeria's bonny light crude oil price and export. Results also revealed that the timing and impact of geopolitical tensions last fairly long thus, could affect fiscal revenue and economic governance in Nigeria. Therefore, the paper recommends a complete diversification of the economy from oil will strengthen the nation's fiscal space and development planning.
Fintech As A Tool For Promoting Financial Inclusion And Economic Development In Nigeria, Mayowa O. Agbelusi
Fintech As A Tool For Promoting Financial Inclusion And Economic Development In Nigeria, Mayowa O. Agbelusi
Bullion
In Nigeria, 67% of the population lives below the poverty line. Access to basic financial services can make a significant difference in reducing poverty and financial technology has been used to enhance the provision of financial services to the poor and unbanked in sub-Saharan Africa. This paper seeks to highlight the nexus between financial inclusion and financial technology as well as how it can help reduce poverty in Nigeria.
Monetary Policy Management In Nigeria Today: Issues In Stagflation And Recession, Moses K. Tule
Monetary Policy Management In Nigeria Today: Issues In Stagflation And Recession, Moses K. Tule
Bullion
This article explore the rare and challenging economic problem faced by Nigeria refers to as stagflation. i.e. a condition characterized by the co-existence of declining growth rates along with high unemployment and inflation rates. These negative economic development have raised major concern for policy makers and other economic agents because of the adverse effects on investment, financial stability and livelihood.