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Consideration Of Probability Assessments Relevant To Hazard And Risk For Landslides, R N. Chowdhury, P N. Flentje

Faculty of Engineering and Information Sciences - Papers: Part A

Probability of occurrence is the most important component of landslide hazard and risk and this paper outlines different approaches for its assessment. The reasons for the popularity of qualitative approaches are first outlined. Quantitative approaches can be best applied if the important influencing factors and issues are fully understood. Formal probabilistic approaches are often based on geotechnical models or on a combination of hydrological and geotechnical models. The paper also highlights the situations for which the performance function must be formulated in terms of lateral displacements rather than the conventional safety factor. Reference is then made to a procedure, based …