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Articles 1 - 18 of 18
Full-Text Articles in Economics
Some Empirics On Economic Growth Under Heterogeneous Technology, Peter C. B. Phillips, Donggyu Sul
Some Empirics On Economic Growth Under Heterogeneous Technology, Peter C. B. Phillips, Donggyu Sul
Research Collection School Of Economics
A new econometric approach to testing for economic growth convergence is overviewed. The method is applicable to panel data, involves a simple regression based one-sided t-test, and can be used to form a clustering algorithm to assess the existence of growth convergence clubs. The approach allows for heterogeneous technology, utilizes some new asymptotic theory for nonlinear dynamic factor models, and is easy to implement. Some background growth theory is given which shows the form of augmented Solow regression (ASR) equations in the presence of heterogeneous technology and explains sources of potential misspecification that can arise in conventional formulations of ASR …
Forecasting The Car Penetration Rate (Cpr) In China: A Nonparametric Approach, Sainan Jin, Liangjun Su
Forecasting The Car Penetration Rate (Cpr) In China: A Nonparametric Approach, Sainan Jin, Liangjun Su
Research Collection School Of Economics
With strong economic growth, the auto industry has made great breakthroughs in recent years and has become a backbone industry in China, while cars play an increasingly important role, and are now the principal part of the auto industry. Both China's government and academic circles take strong interest in the prediction of CPR (i.e. car penetration rate or cars per thousand people), which will be the main guidance for the future industry policy. We summarize the existing problems in recent research and propose to use nonparametric methods to estimate the CPR and its elasticity with respect to GDP per capita …
Economic Dashboard Supplemental Report: Other Social And Economic Indicators, George A. Erickcek
Economic Dashboard Supplemental Report: Other Social And Economic Indicators, George A. Erickcek
Reports
No abstract provided.
Flint, Michigan: Dashboard Indicators Report, George A. Erickcek
Flint, Michigan: Dashboard Indicators Report, George A. Erickcek
Reports
Provides a Dashboard of Economic Indicators for the Flint, Michigan MSA.
Henry George: The Theory Of Distribution In Progress And Poverty, Phillip J. Bryson
Henry George: The Theory Of Distribution In Progress And Poverty, Phillip J. Bryson
Faculty Publications
The core of Henry George's economic theory appeared in his most widely-read book, Progress and Poverty. On the basis of his dramatic "single tax" theory, his work became widely known and gained some avid followers who endeavored to base policy on it. But the work was also of value in George's day and interest in our day because of its economic content. George was not a part of the academic economics establishment of his day and his theory was of strictly classical methodology, but it still had much to commend it. A simple model to present his concepts in more …
Linking Economic Development And Poverty: The Role Of Innovation And Innovation Capacity In The South, Jeremy Hall
Linking Economic Development And Poverty: The Role Of Innovation And Innovation Capacity In The South, Jeremy Hall
University of Kentucky Center for Poverty Research Discussion Paper Series
While most economic development research views poverty as a sign of need for development or poverty reduction as an outcome of successful development, this study treats poverty as an independent variable alongside contemporary measures of innovation capacity that reflect state potential for economic development, examining the combined impact of poverty and innovation capacity on economic development outcomes. The study examines the effect poverty has on economic development outcomes given levels of innovation capacity, and the effect poverty has on formation of state innovation capacity. The methodology consists of pooled cross-sectional time-series analysis with panel corrected standard errors with lags. The …
Economic Scan And Workforce Development Profile: Barry, Branch, Calhoun, Kalamazoo, And St. Joseph Counties, Brad R. Watts, George A. Erickcek, Bridget F. Timmeney, Suprotik Stotz-Ghosh
Economic Scan And Workforce Development Profile: Barry, Branch, Calhoun, Kalamazoo, And St. Joseph Counties, Brad R. Watts, George A. Erickcek, Bridget F. Timmeney, Suprotik Stotz-Ghosh
Reports
No abstract provided.
Michigan Socioeconomic Conditions And Trends: West Michigan Compared To East Michigan, Brad R. Watts
Michigan Socioeconomic Conditions And Trends: West Michigan Compared To East Michigan, Brad R. Watts
Reports
No abstract provided.
The Impact Of Privatization On Economic Growth And Income Inequality In Developing Countries, Samuel Adams
The Impact Of Privatization On Economic Growth And Income Inequality In Developing Countries, Samuel Adams
School of Public Service Theses & Dissertations
In the 1960s and 1970s academicians, economists and politicians favored state ownership over private ownership in the production and provision of goods and services. By the end of the 1980s, however, there was a reversal of public policy from state domination of the production and provision of goods and services to private ownership and operation. This was due in part to what the World Bank referred to as "state failure”, which was characterized by inefficient service delivery, unprofitable SOEs, high government debt, and stagnant economic growth rates. Accordingly, privatization caught on in many countries as a policy tool to foster …
Industrial And Occupational Strengths And Potential In Michigan’S Economic Regions: A Description And Presentation Of A New Database, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek, Wei-Jang Huang
Industrial And Occupational Strengths And Potential In Michigan’S Economic Regions: A Description And Presentation Of A New Database, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek, Wei-Jang Huang
Reports
This report describes a preliminary version of an Upjohn Institute database that covers the economic development potential of different industries and occupations in Michigan’s regions. The MERIOD (Michigan Economic Region Industrial and Occupational Development) database surveys specialized industries and high-growth industries in each of the fifteen metro areas. It identifies export- based industries to the six-digit NAICS level and explores recent growth trends in these industries in both the Michigan metro area and at the national level.
Capital Flight And Economic Performance, Edsel L. Beja Jr
Capital Flight And Economic Performance, Edsel L. Beja Jr
Economics Department Faculty Publications
Capital flight aggravates resource constraints and contributes to undermine longterm economic growth. Counterfactual calculations on the Philippines suggest that capital flight contributed to lower the quality of long-term economic growth. Sustained capital flight over three decades means that capital flight had a role for the Philippines to lose the opportunities to achieve economic takeoff. Unless decisive policy actions are taken up to address enduring capital flight and manage the macroeconomy more effectively, the Philippines remains caught in the perpetuity of crises, its economy hollowed-out, the people trapped in poverty, and once again, the country is frustrated from realizing a takeoff.
Business Output And Business Experience: Evidence From China's Nongovernmental Businesses, Liangjun Su
Business Output And Business Experience: Evidence From China's Nongovernmental Businesses, Liangjun Su
Research Collection School Of Economics
We study the application of the Solow growth model in China's non-governmental businesses and propose a reasonable modification for it. Our analysis indicates that business experience is closely tied to the output of China's non-governmental businesses. Our major findings include: (1) the business experience has little overall impact on the elasticity of output with respect to labour; (2) the business experience has a large impact on the elasticity of output with respect to capital and the elasticity increases as the business experience increases; (3) the adjusted Solow residual that reflects technological progress exhibits a negative relationship with the business experience, …
Capital Flight And Economic Performance: Growth Projections For The Philippines, Edsel L. Beja Jr
Capital Flight And Economic Performance: Growth Projections For The Philippines, Edsel L. Beja Jr
Economics Department Faculty Publications
Capital flight aggravates resource constraints and contributes to undermine longterm economic growth. Counterfactual calculations on the Philippines suggest that capital flight contributed to lower the quality of long-term economic growth. Sustained capital flight over three decades means that capital flight had a role for the Philippines to lose the opportunities to achieve economic takeoff. Unless decisive policy actions are taken up to address enduring capital flight and manage the macroeconomy more effectively, the Philippines remains caught in the perpetuity of crises, its economy hollowed-out, the people trapped in poverty, and once again, the country is frustrated from realizing a takeoff.
Gender, Distribution, And Balance Of Payments Constrained Growth In Developing Countries, Stephanie Seguino
Gender, Distribution, And Balance Of Payments Constrained Growth In Developing Countries, Stephanie Seguino
PERI Working Papers
An unresolved debate in the development literature concerns the impact of gender inequality on economic growth. Previous studies have found that the effect varies, depending on the measure of inequality (wages or capabilities). This paper expands that discussion by considering both the short- and long-run, evaluating the effects of gender equality in two types of economies—semi-industrialized economies (SIEs) and low-income agricultural economies (LIAEs). Further, it incorporates the effect of gender equity on the balance of payments constraint to growth. These preliminary results suggest that gender equality is more likely to stimulate growth in LIAEs than in SIEs in both the …
External Shocks, Structural Change, And Economic Growth In Mexico, 1979–2006, Robert A. Blecker
External Shocks, Structural Change, And Economic Growth In Mexico, 1979–2006, Robert A. Blecker
PERI Working Papers
This paper estimates the effects of external constraints on growth and investment in the Mexican economy, and how those effects have changed since the economic liberalization of the 1980s and the formation of NAFTA in 1994. Shocks to net financial inflows, world oil prices, the U.S. growth rate, and the real value of the peso explain most of the fluctuations in Mexico’s annual growth since 1979 (with structural breaks in some of these effects due to liberalization or NAFTA). Both Hausman weak exogeneity tests and simultaneous equations estimates generally support the view that growth drives investment but not the other …
Stock Prices And Economic Growth: Are They Related?, Peter J. Saunders, Koushik Ghosh
Stock Prices And Economic Growth: Are They Related?, Peter J. Saunders, Koushik Ghosh
All Faculty Scholarship for the College of Business
This paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and stock prices in the U.S. Quarterly data on NASDAQ, DJIA, S&P 500 and real GDP ranging from the first quarter of 1971 to the fourth quarter of 2005 are analyzed. Cointegration test results indicate that while RGDP and S&P 500 are not cointegrated, RGDP and NASDAQ appear to be cointegrated. VEC analyses of the RGDP and NASDAQ data indicate that in the short-run, RGDP has a positive impact on stock prices. Further Granger causality testing of the data indicates that RGDP Granger -causes both changes in DJIA and S&P 500.
The Equipment Hypothesis And U.S. Economic Growth, Alexander J. Field
The Equipment Hypothesis And U.S. Economic Growth, Alexander J. Field
Economics
In several articles published in the 1990s, de Long and Summers argued that investment in producer durables had a high propensity to generate externalities in using industries, resulting in a systematic and substantial divergence between its social and private return. They maintained, moreover, that this was not the case for structures investment. Together, these claims constitute the equipment hypothesis. This paper explores the degree to which the history of US economic growth in the 20th century supports it.
Fiscal Decentralization And Economic Growth Reconsidered, John Thornton
Fiscal Decentralization And Economic Growth Reconsidered, John Thornton
John Thornton
Recent studies examining the relation between fiscal decentralization and economic growth have failed to take account of the extent of the independent taxing powers available to sub-national governments and thus have substantially overstated the degree of effective decentralization. Results from a cross section study of 19 OECD member countries suggest that when the measure of fiscal decentralization is limited to the revenues over which sub-national governments have full autonomy, its impact on economic growth is not statistically significant.