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Full-Text Articles in Economics
Consumer Bankruptcy, Mortgage Default And Labor Supply, Wenli Li, Costas Meghir, Florian Oswald
Consumer Bankruptcy, Mortgage Default And Labor Supply, Wenli Li, Costas Meghir, Florian Oswald
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
We specify and estimate a lifecycle model of consumption, housing demand and labor supply in an environment where individuals may file for bankruptcy or default on their mortgage. Uncertainty in the model is driven by house price shocks, education specific productivity shocks, and catastrophic consumption events, while bankruptcy is governed by the basic institutional framework in the US as implied by Chapter 7 and Chapter 13. The model is estimated using micro data on credit reports and mortgages combined with data from the American Community Survey. We use the model to understand the relative importance of the two chapters (7 …
Continuous Workout Mortgages: Efficient Pricing And Systemic Implications, Robert J. Shiller, Rafal M. Wojakowski, M. Shahid Ebrahim, Mark B. Shackleton
Continuous Workout Mortgages: Efficient Pricing And Systemic Implications, Robert J. Shiller, Rafal M. Wojakowski, M. Shahid Ebrahim, Mark B. Shackleton
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
This paper studies the Continuous Workout Mortgage (CWM), a two in one product: a fixed rate home loan coupled with negative equity insurance, to advocate its viability in mitigating financial fragility. In order to tackle the many issues that CWMs embrace, we perform a range of tasks. We optimally price CWMs and take a systemic market-based approach, stipulating that mortgage values and payments should be linked to housing prices and adjusted downward to prevent negative equity. We illustrate that amortizing CWMs can be the efficient home financing choice for many households. We price CWMs as American option style, defaulting debt …
Affective Decision Making And The Ellsberg Paradox, Anat Bracha, Donald J. Brown
Affective Decision Making And The Ellsberg Paradox, Anat Bracha, Donald J. Brown
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
Affective decision-making is a strategic model of choice under risk and uncertainty where we posit two cognitive processes — the “rational” and the “emotional” process. Observed choice is the result of equilibrium in this intrapersonal game. As an example, we present applications of affective decision-making in insurance markets, where the risk perceptions of consumers are endogenous. We derive the axiomatic foundation of affective decision making, and show that affective decision making is a model of ambiguity-seeking behavior consistent with the Ellsberg paradox.
Affective Decision Making: A Behavioral Theory Of Choice, Anat Bracha, Donald J. Brown
Affective Decision Making: A Behavioral Theory Of Choice, Anat Bracha, Donald J. Brown
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
Affective decision-making is a strategic model of choice under risk and uncertainty where we posit two cognitive processes — the “rational” and the “emotional” process. Observed choice is the result of equilibirum in this intrapersonal game. As an example, we present applications of affective decision-making in insurance markets, where the risk perceptions of consumers are endogenous. We then derive the axiomatic foundation of affective decision making, and show that, although beliefs are endogenous, not every pattern of behavior is possible under affective decision making.
Affective Decision Making: A Behavioral Theory Of Choice, Anat Bracha, Donald J. Brown
Affective Decision Making: A Behavioral Theory Of Choice, Anat Bracha, Donald J. Brown
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
Affective decision-making (ADM) is a refutable and predictive theory of individual choice under risk and uncertainty. It generalizes expected utility theory by positing the existence of two cognitive processes — the “rational” and the “emotional” process. Observed choice is the result of their simultaneous interaction. We present a model of affective choice in insurance markets, where risk perceptions are endogenous.
Competitive Pooling: Rothschild-Stiglitz Reconsidered, Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos
Competitive Pooling: Rothschild-Stiglitz Reconsidered, Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
We build a model of competitive pooling, which incorporates adverse selection and signalling into general equilibrium. Pools are characterized by their quantity limits on contributions. Households signal their reliability by choosing which pool to join. In equilibrium, pools with lower quantity limits sell for a higher price, even though each household’s deliveries are the same at all pools. The Rothschild-Stiglitz model of insurance is included as a special case. We show that by recasting their hybrid oligopolistic-competitive story into our perfectly competitive framework, their separating equilibrium always exists (even when they say it doesn’t) and is unique.
Competitive Pooling: Rothschild-Stiglitz Reconsidered, Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos
Competitive Pooling: Rothschild-Stiglitz Reconsidered, Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
We build a model of competitive pooling, which incorporates adverse selection and signalling into general equilibrium. Pools are characterized by their quantity limits on contributions. Households signal their reliability by choosing which pool to join. In equilibrium, pools with lower quantity limits sell for a higher price, even though each household’s deliveries are the same at all pools. The Rothschild-Stiglitz model of insurance is included as a special case. We show that by recasting their hybrid oligopolistic-competitive story in our perfectly competitive framework, their separating equilibrium always exists (even when they say it doesn’t) and is unique.
Competitive Pooling: Rothschild-Stiglitz Reconsidered, Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos
Competitive Pooling: Rothschild-Stiglitz Reconsidered, Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
We build a model of competitive pooling, which incorporates adverse selection and signalling into general equilibrium. Pools are characterized by their quantity limits on contributions. Households signal their reliability by choosing which pool to join. In equilibrium, pools with lower quantity limits sell for a higher price, even though each household’s deliveries are the same at all pools. The Rothschild-Stiglitz model of insurance is included as a special case. We show that by recasting their hybrid oligopolistic-competitive story into our perfectly competitive framework, their separating equilibrium always exists (even when they say it doesn’t) and is unique.