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Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

2018

Adaptation

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Adaptation Bounds For Confidence Bands Under Self-Similarity, Timothy B. Armstrong Oct 2018

Adaptation Bounds For Confidence Bands Under Self-Similarity, Timothy B. Armstrong

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

We derive bounds on the scope for a confidence band to adapt to the unknown regularity of a nonparametric function that is observed with noise, such as a regression function or density, under the self-similarity condition proposed by Gine and Nickl (2010). We find that adaptation can only be achieved up to a term that depends on the choice of the constant used to define self-similarity, and that this term becomes arbitrarily large for conservative choices of the self-similarity constant. We construct a confidence band that achieves this bound, up to a constant term that does not depend on the …


Adaptation Bounds For Confidence Bands Under Self-Similarity, Timothy B. Armstrong Oct 2018

Adaptation Bounds For Confidence Bands Under Self-Similarity, Timothy B. Armstrong

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

We derive bounds on the scope for a confidence band to adapt to the unknown regularity of a nonparametric function that is observed with noise, such as a regression function or density, under the self-similarity condition proposed by Gine and Nickl (2010). We find that adaptation can only be achieved up to a term that depends on the choice of the constant used to define self-similarity, and that this term becomes arbitrarily large for conservative choices of the self-similarity constant. We construct a confidence band that achieves this bound, up to a constant term that does not depend on the …